WSJ Jenkins: The Volt Sucks, CAFE Must Die and Obama’s a Fraud
By Robert FaragoNovember 16, 2008 -
Holman W. Jenkins Jr. is not a happy camper. The Wall Street Journal columnist begins his broadside by taking on the Hail Mary-shaped plug-in hybrid gas - electric Chevrolet Volt. Jenkins reckons it’s what the Brits call a “non-starter.” “Even as GM teeters toward bankruptcy and wheedles for billions in public aid, its forthcoming plug-in hybrid continues to absorb a big chunk of the company’s product development budget. This is a car that, by GM’s own admission, won’t make money. It’s a car that can’t possibly provide a buyer with value commensurate with the resources and labor needed to build it. It’s a car that will be unsalable without multiple handouts from government.” While Jenkins’ anti-Volt tirade isn’t especially accurate (you could even call it inaccurate), at least his rhetoric is a moving target, as he changes targets.
Posted in Hybrid | Industry | News Blog | Union News | 19 comments 
This Is Sick: European Auto (Non-)Sales
By Bertel SchmittNovember 14, 2008 -
Scientists all over the world are in a mad scramble to find a vaccine against the vehicular flu, commonly called “motor malaise.” Now, Europe also finds itself in the grips of the pandemic. Today (Farago beat me to it), the European association of auto makers ACEA released their January through October numbers. Analysts from the automotive anorexia formerly known as America may envy the fact that from January to October, Europe (as defined by ACEA) fell only 5.4 percent to 12.852m units. Taking a closer look, we now know why the EU was so eager to enlarge eastwards. In the new easterly member states, there was at least an ittsy bit of growth, 2.5 percent for the first 10 months. Without the eastern comrades– make that members– the EU would be looking at an even heftier percentage-letting. Have a Maalox, or a stiff drink, and read on, if you dare ….
Posted in Europe | Industry | News Blog | 7 comments
GM Deathwatch, German Edition: Cui Bono?
By Bertel SchmittNovember 13, 2008 -
Germany’s industry rag Automobilwoche [sub] is running an interesting ballot. “Who do you think would profit the most if GM goes bust?” (or German words to that effect). The options are kind of odd. Only Ford, Renault/Nissan, Toyota, and Volkswagen are eligible. But keep in mind, Automobilwoche is a German rag. They could have asked “What if Opel would die?” But they didn’t. Do they know more than we do? 846 souls have voted so far.
Posted in Bailout Watch | Europe | Germany | Industry | News Blog | 5 comments
Automotive R&D Means Not So Very Much
By Martin SchwoererNovember 12, 2008 -
One of the theories explaining GM’s downfall is that they did not invest enough in R&D. Wrong! Booz & Co.’s latest report on Global R&D spending says: bar Toyota, GM was tops. Here’s the 2007 ranking:
Company R&D expenditures in $m
Toyota 8,386
GM 8,100
Ford 7,500
Honda 5,142
VW 4,757
Daimler 4,321
Nissan 4,001
BMW 3,995
Peugeot 2,835
Renault 2,531
Booz says in comparison to 2006, R&D expenditures in the auto industry grew by about 10 percent. European “champs” pale, with the European primo (VW) being only around half as research-intensive as the biggest spender. Here are some other findings…
Posted in High Finance | Industry | News Blog | 25 comments
Production Flexibility is the Key To Automakers’ Survival (Oh So NOW You Tell Me)
By Edward NiedermeyerOctober 31, 2008 -
Production maven Laurie Harbour-Flex has a guest column in Automotive News [sub] that could easily run as a Deathwatch editorial on any of The Big 2.8. Describing the tough conditions that automakers find themselves in, Harbour-Flex argues that flexible production lines will be key in determining who survives and who doesn’t. As the market for new cars swings from segment to segment, chasing volatile fuel prices, manufacturers who can shift production on the fly to meet changing demand will do well. The upshot? Japanese firms use flexible production, Detroit doesn’t. Sure, Chrysler (for example) can claim that its Belvedere, Ill plant is “fully flexible,” but the Patriot and Compass are built on identical platforms. True flexibility, argues Harbour-Flex, means the ability for a manufacturer to “produce any vehicle in their lineups within their body, paint and assembly shops.” And this actually happens. Honda’s Alliston, Ontario plant builds the Honda Civic and Ridgeline and the Acura CSX and MDX, while its East Liberty, Ohio plant produces the Honda CR-V, Civic and Element. Harbour-Flex identifies four key points that are necessary for truly flexible production.
Posted in Chapter 11 | Industry | News Blog | 13 comments
Bailout Watch 134: McCain Takes “Wait And See” Approach To Bailout 2.0
By Edward NiedermeyerOctober 30, 2008 -
Reuters reports that Republican presidential candidate John McCain is taking a cautious tack on a Michigan economist’s suggestion that Detroit should get an additional $15b in government support. “Let’s get the $25 billion to them to start with and see how that goes,” McCain told NBC’s Meet The Press. McCain had initially opposed that bailout before bowing to political pressure and blessing the deal. Top McCain economic adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin echoed the Senator from Arizona’s position on CBS’s Face The Nation, saying “The top priority should be get (the $25b) out quickly, not take 18 months, which seems to be the current plan.” The Department of Energy is currently writing regulations governing the disbursment of that money, a process expected to take longer than GM and Chrysler can probably stay in business. Meanwhile, Barack Obama’s advisors refuse to rule out further auto industry suport. “The auto industry clearly is extremely important to the economy and now has enormous difficulties,” Obama advisor and former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said on Face the Nation. “We do need to face those difficulties and see if there are ways that public policy can be helpful that make sense … without having a whole raft of unintended consequences.”
Posted in Bailout Watch | High Finance | Industry | News Blog | 6 comments
Buick To China
By Edward NiedermeyerOctober 30, 2008 -
GM’s overseas operations have long been touted as the only part of the General that is worth actual money. But might it make sense for GM to sell of profitable foreign operations? Though it’s doubtful that GM would ever voluntarily spin off, say, Buick and sell it to a Chinese firm, Charles Child has a column in Automotive News [sub] suggesting lawmakers should consider making such an asset sale a condition to further bailout cash. Child suggests that a sale of Buick to Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC) makes lots of sense, cutting the number of US brands, and putting cash in the General’s pocket. How much? Based on Jag/Land Rover’s recent price tag of $2.3b, Child guesses Buick could be worth a billion to SAIC. Sure, The JagRover sale happened before credit markets took a dirt nap, but hell, GM could even use thre-quarters of that much cash right now. Plus the US market needs the Buick brand like it needs another run on the banks. Child’s analysis is thorough and compelling, and his thesis is well summarized in the final two sentences of his piece.”In today’s crisis, creative solutions are imperative. Nowadays, nothing is sacred in Detroit.” Truer words were never spoken.
Posted in China | High Finance | Industry | News Blog | 12 comments
Perks Die Last
By Edward NiedermeyerOctober 30, 2008 -
We need not review the litany of bad news to remind you the Motown’s money’s too tight to mention. But amidst all of the plant closings, layoffs and rumors of bankruptcy, one song remains the same: management perks. The Detroit News reports that even as executives descend on DC begging for bailout billions, Ford, GM and Chrysler refuse to eliminate programs which subsidize car leases for management, often with insurance, maintenance and gasoline included. And this isn’t going over well with workers. “We’re taking concessions,” says UAW worker Jim Willington of Ford’s Woodhaven Stamping Plant. “They should level the playing field. They ought to be willing to buy the products. They can afford it.” A little perspective after the jump..
Posted in High Finance | Incentives | Industry | News Blog | 22 comments
Bailout Watch 127: GM Might Be Ineligible For Bad-Loan Bailout
By Justin BerkowitzOctober 28, 2008 -
The GM-Chrysler bailout article in today’s New York Times (written by Edmund Andrews and our friend Bill Vlasic) just recaps yesterday’s bailout news. But it raises an interesting point. The argument thus far has been that auto manufacturers (namely Chrysler and GM) would be entitled to the Treasury Department’s bad loan buy ups (TARP) because they have large credit arms. Except for one glitch: General Motors only owns 49% of GMAC (the NY Times article oddly reports the reverse “General Motors … spun off 49 percent of its financing unit, the General Motors Acceptance Corporation.”) As a result, even if GMAC qualifies as a financial institution, General Motors would not. This isn’t the same as Ford, which wholly owns Ford Credit. Fortunately for GM, as Vlasic notes, the government will find a way, one way or the other, to put cash in GM’s coffers. Until GM blows through that, too.
Posted in Bailout Watch | High Finance | Industry | News Blog | one comment
Avis Loses $1 billion, Fires 700 Employees
By Justin BerkowitzOctober 28, 2008 -
Reuters is reporting that Avis is getting hit by the slowing economy. Perhaps even more than retailers, vacation-related businesses really take a beating when the economy gets rough, and just like hotels are getting slammed, so too are car rental companies. They say that the “workforce reductions” should save $50 million/year. Against a $1 billion loss, that sounds like a worthwhile way to ruin 700 lives. (Avis CEO Ronald Nelson only made $2.15 million last year before taxes). So much for trying harder.
Warning: Video contains profanity
Posted in Industry | News Blog | 5 comments
POWERED