GM's Factory Shuffle Could Point to Big Electric Car Plans
Something electric could be brewing at General Motors, and we’re not talking about just the Chevrolet Bolt.
John Rosevear at the Motley Fool has an interesting take on what the future holds for Orion Assembly (the Michigan facility tapped to produce the Bolt this fall), and why GM seems to be keeping other models away from the plant.
Yesterday, we brought you news of the Buick Verano’s impending death, but the manufacturing space the luxury compact would leave behind is also interesting. With the Verano (likely) gone from Orion after 2017, the plant would hold only the Chevrolet Sonic and Bolt.
A small, yet-unnamed Cadillac model was due to be produced at Orion within a few years, until GM kiboshed that plan in April and moved its production to Fairfax Assembly in Kansas City.
“That doesn’t make sense,” Rosevear writes, “unless GM is planning to move something else into the Orion factory.”
While recent developments imply that GM has something special in mind for Orion, there’s no hint from the automaker that any new small car models are on the way, electric or otherwise.
Analysts are predicting between 30,000 and 80,000 Bolts sold in its first year — a wide range, for sure, but far less than the 400,000 Model 3 reservations Tesla has to work through. If the utility-minded Bolt proves a success, and EVs steadily gain market share, GM could diversify its electric offerings to battle a growing number of competitors, including Ford.
It could do that, but only if it had space to build more models on the same architecture. And that’s where Orion’s spare capacity enters the picture again.
Rosevear speculates that a new EV model from GM could be a halo car for Buick, though that seems to be the opposite direction of where the crossover-infatuated brand is heading. Buick’s global chief Duncan Aldred said in the past that he didn’t want low-volume models in the lineup, but viewpoints can change.
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- W Conrad I'd gladly get an EV, but I can't even afford anything close to a new car right now. No doubt if EV's get more affordable more people will be buying them. It is a shame so many are stuck in their old ways with ICE vehicles. I realize EV's still have some use cases that don't work, but for many people they would work just fine with a slightly altered mindset.
- Master Baiter There are plenty of affordable EVs--in China where they make all the batteries. Tesla is the only auto maker with a reasonably coherent strategy involving manufacturing their own cells in the United States. Tesla's problem now is I think they've run out of customers willing to put up with their goofy ergonomics to have a nice drive train.
- Cprescott Doesn't any better in red than it did in white. Looks like an even uglier Honduh Civic 2 door with a hideous front end (and that is saying something about a Honduh).
- Kwik_Shift_Pro4X Nice look, but too short.
- EBFlex Considering Ford assured us the fake lightning was profitable at under $40k, I’d imagine these new EVs will start at $20k.
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Actually, the logic is two-fold. First, I don't believe that Tesla can do the basic manufacturing any cheaper than the other companies. More important, the others can sell their electric cars at a loss, since they offset that loss with bigger profits from big trucks and sport-utes (which they can sell more of due to the EV mileage offsets under CAFE).
I would be delighted to see the Volt drivetrain make its way into more offerings by GM. From the test market I am aware of, my business partner and his 60k mile volt, it works flawlessly.