Bailout Watch 320: All Eyes Turn to "The One"

Robert Farago
by Robert Farago

The post-apocalyptic analysis of December’s sales results continues, as pundits and producers attempt to make sense of the crater that’s replaced the U.S. new car market. Obviously, the situation will have the greatest impact on the Chrysler and GM. The domestic automakers have just finished their first suckle on Uncle Sugar’s taxpayer teat, with GM auguring-in for its second go mid-month. And both companies face a congressional grilling when they return for more money in March. So, what to do? What to do? For answers to that question, for the manufacturers’ spin, we turn to their unofficial mouthpiece, The Detroit News. “Auto sales skid: Recovery rests on stimulus” starts with good news! “After barely making it through the worst year for auto sales since 1992, Detroit’s Big Three expect consumer demand to remain very weak in the first half of 2009 but begin to recover in the second half.” I’d like to point out that a general “sales” recovery does not necessarily mean Chrysler or GM’s recovery. But that would kind of ruin the flow, if you know what I mean. To wit…

“Auto executives on Monday said they were pinning their hopes on President-elect Barack Obama’s plan to introduce a massive stimulus package to revive the flagging economy and encourage consumers to start spending.”

Meanwhile, how’s GM doing with that grieving process? Not so well…

“‘We have a lot of challenges out there with the economy,’ said Mike DiGiovanni, GM’s executive director of global market analysis. ‘We are in a recession.’ But, he added, ‘we are optimistic as the Obama administration comes in given that it’s the first new administration in eight years and is likely to be a honeymoon period. There is going to be lot of excitement generated across the country because of the change. People like that.'”

So, do they believe this shit? It’s just spin, right?

“Looking at 2009, Mark LaNeve, GM’s vice president of sales for North America, said: ‘We’re optimistic that it’ll be a year that’ll gradually improve.’

The automaker expects to benefit from the launch next year of six important models, including the Buick LaCrosse sedan, the new Camaro and a new Chevrolet Equinox crossover.”

LaNeve. I mean, he has to say stuff like that, right? Nope.

“But [Ed: note the but] Japan’s automakers also are finding themselves in unfamiliar territory in this downturn. With the recent drop in gas prices, demand for their small cars has fallen along with truck sales. Toyota and Honda Motor Co. have cut production and said they are now losing money.

‘We have no illusions about the coming year,’ [Toyota NA Prez Jim] Lentz said. ‘It may get worse before it gets better.'”

Robert Farago
Robert Farago

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  • Ruckover Ruckover on Jan 06, 2009

    Man, do we hate an intrusive government. Love, Ken Lay and Bernie Madoff

  • AG AG on Jan 07, 2009

    If Barack Obama is The One, does that make George Bush The Zero, or The Negative One?

  • Bd2 Lexus is just a higher trim package Toyota. ^^
  • Tassos ONLY consider CIvics or Corollas, in their segment. NO DAMNED Hyundais, Kias, Nissans or esp Mitsus. Not even a Pretend-BMW Mazda. They may look cute but they SUCK.I always recommend Corollas to friends of mine who are not auto enthusiasts, even tho I never owed one, and owned a Civic Hatch 5 speed 1992 for 25 years. MANY follow my advice and are VERY happy. ALmost all are women.friends who believe they are auto enthusiasts would not listen to me anyway, and would never buy a Toyota. They are damned fools, on both counts.
  • Tassos since Oct 2016 I drive a 2007 E320 Bluetec and since April 2017 also a 2008 E320 Bluetec.Now I am in my summer palace deep in the Eurozone until end October and drive the 2008.Changing the considerable oils (10 quarts synthetic) twice cost me 80 and 70 euros. Same changes in the US on the 2007 cost me $219 at the dealers and $120 at Firestone.Changing the air filter cost 30 Euros, with labor, and there are two such filters (engine and cabin), and changing the fuel filter only 50 euros, while in the US they asked for... $400. You can safely bet I declined and told them what to do with their gold-plated filter. And when I changed it in Europe, I looked at the old one and it was clean as a whistle.A set of Continentals tires, installed etc, 300 EurosI can't remember anything else for the 2008. For the 2007, a brand new set of manual rec'd tires at Discount Tire with free rotations for life used up the $500 allowance the dealer gave me when I bought it (tires only had 5000 miles left on them then)So, as you can see, I spent less than even if I owned a Lexus instead, and probably less than all these poor devils here that brag about their alleged low cost Datsun-Mitsus and Hyundai-Kias.And that's THETRUTHABOUTCARS. My Cars,
  • NJRide These are the Q1 Luxury division salesAudi 44,226Acura 30,373BMW 84,475Genesis 14,777Mercedes 66,000Lexus 78,471Infiniti 13,904Volvo 30,000*Tesla (maybe not luxury but relevant): 125,000?Lincoln 24,894Cadillac 35,451So Cadillac is now stuck as a second-tier player with names like Volvo. Even German 3rd wheel Audi is outselling them. Where to gain sales?Surprisingly a decline of Tesla could boost Cadillac EVs. Tesla sort of is now in the old Buick-Mercury upper middle of the market. If lets say the market stays the same, but another 15-20% leave Tesla I could see some going for a Caddy EV or hybrid, but is the division ready to meet them?In terms of the mainstream luxury brands, Lexus is probably a better benchmark than BMW. Lexus is basically doing a modern interpretation of what Cadillac/upscale Olds/Buick used to completely dominate. But Lexus' only downfall is the lack of emotion, something Cadillac at least used to be good at. The Escalade still has far more styling and brand ID than most of Lexus. So match Lexus' quality but out-do them on comfort and styling. Yes a lot of Lexus buyers may be Toyota or import loyal but there are a lot who are former GM buyers who would "come home" for a better product.In fact, that by and large is the Big 3's problem. In the 80s and 90s they would try to win back "import intenders" and this at least slowed the market share erosion. I feel like around 2000 they gave this up and resorted to a ton of gimmicks before the bankruptcies. So they have dropped from 66% to 37% of the market in a quarter century. Sure they have scaled down their presence and for the last 14 years preserved profit. But in the largest, most prosperous market in the world they are not leading. I mean who would think the Koreans could take almost 10% of the market? But they did because they built and structured products people wanted. (I also think the excess reliance on overseas assembly by the Big 3 hurts them vs more import brands building in US). But the domestics should really be at 60% of their home market and the fact that they are not speaks volumes. Cadillac should not be losing 2-1 to Lexus and BMW.
  • Tassos Not my favorite Eldorados. Too much cowbell (fins), the gauges look poor for such an expensive car, the interior has too many shiny bits but does not scream "flagship luxury", and the white on red leather or whatever is rather loud for this car, while it might work in a Corvette. But do not despair, a couple more years and the exterior designs (at least) will sober up, the cowbells will be more discreet and the long, low and wide 60s designs are not far away. If only the interiors would be fit for the price point, and especially a few acres of real wood that also looked real.
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