As Auto Production Roars To New Records, Worldwatch Institute Sounds The Alarm

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

The car industry is slowly getting healthy again (except in Europe.) Worldwide sales are up 6.8 percent so far, and it looks like 81 million units could be sold worldwide this year, as data by LMC Automotive show. This has the Worldwatch Institute up in arms. Basically, it wants us to buy fewer cars and drive them less.

Woldwide Light Vehicle Sales, August 2012Aug’12Aug’11YoYYTD 2012YTD 2011YoYWORLD 6,335,746 5,888,5857.6% 53,994,214 50,545,8916.8%USA 1,283,046 1,069,84319.9% 9,692,378 8,446,12014.8%CANADA 149,301 140,4406.3% 1,162,254 1,087,4746.9%WESTERN EUROPE 750,781 818,745-8.3% 8,967,580 9,710,521-7.7%EASTERN EUROPE 410,128 379,5358.1% 3,197,898 3,001,8476.5%JAPAN 365,210 325,05412.4% 3,756,479 2,576,03945.8%KOREA 94,706 120,884-21.7% 963,428 1,026,037-6.1%CHINA 1,487,198 1,363,2119.1% 12,361,487 11,591,5216.6%BRAZIL / ARGENTINA 414,959 385,8957.5% 2,814,658 2,850,770-1.3%OTHER 1,380,416 1,284,9787.4% 11,078,053 10,255,5628.0%Source: LMC Automotive

Says Worldwatch Senior Researcher Michael Renner:

“Automobiles are major contributors to air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. Greater fuel efficiency, along with the use of cleaner fuels, can help mitigate these impacts, although increases in the numbers of cars and the distances driven threaten to overwhelm fuel economy advances.”

Worldwatch singles out China as “the major driver of increased production and sales.” China had the nerve to grow its passenger vehicle fleet “at an annual average rate of 25 percent during 2000-11, from fewer than 10 million cars to 73 million cars,” says Worldwatch.

What the study does not mention: In the U.S., there are 240 million light vehicles on the road. That is one car or light truck per 1.3 people.

Using the Worldwatch number of 73 million cars in China, there would only be one car for 18 Chinese.

Cause to be alarmed even more: The official number is 114 million automobiles on China’s streets, one automobile for 11 Chinese.

Wait until Chinese car ownership reaches the standards of the developed world, that is one car for two people. Chinese car ownership would rise to 673 million cars, or about the same of what we now have on the road in the whole world.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Adamatari Adamatari on Sep 13, 2012

    I feel ambivalent about cars. I have owned a couple really fun cars, I like the freedom that having a car brings... But the bills are too much. Parking is a pain. Traffic sucks. Plus they pollute. There is such thing as "too much of a good thing". I think we are way past that with cars. I have ridden public transit that was very nice - in Japan, in Boston, in Europe. I have ridden bikes as my main mode of transit in Japan and in Hawaii. Personally, I think the idea of everyone having a car is ultimately crazy. Car sharing is a great idea, as is making cities very bike friendly and full of public transit. For everyday errands, I don't need a car, but it would be nice to have one to go places public transit doesn't go or for special occasions. If I had to give up cars forever to keep the world healthy, I could deal with that. My desires are not the end all and be all of life on this planet - that is to say, I put life on this planet, things like coral reefs and forests, above my desire to have a car. I think we can live very well with fewer cars; in fact, better than we live today. But it won't be the suburban fantasy, it will be something different. Maybe more walking streets like Stroget in Denmark. I've been there, and it was great. That doesn't mean I don't like cars. It just means I have priorities. A healthy planet comes before cars. The Worldwatch institute stating the obvious is not an attack on everything you've ever loved, unless you love parking, traffic jams, and commuting. I prefer being able to walk and bike to where I need to go.

  • Doctor olds Doctor olds on Sep 13, 2012

    Worldwide vehicle population rising into the billions is the reason that electrification of the automobile is inevitable.

  • Alan Well, it will take 30 years to fix Nissan up after the Renault Alliance reduced Nissan to a paltry mess.I think Nissan will eventually improve.
  • Alan This will be overpriced for what it offers.I think the "Western" auto manufacturers rip off the consumer with the Thai and Chinese made vehicles.A Chinese made Model 3 in Australia is over $70k AUD(for 1995 $45k USD) which is far more expensive than a similar Chinesium EV of equal or better quality and loaded with goodies.Chinese pickups are $20k to $30k cheaper than Thai built pickups from Ford and the Japanese brands. Who's ripping who off?
  • Alan Years ago Jack Baruth held a "competition" for a piece from the B&B on the oddest pickup story (or something like that). I think 5 people were awarded the prizes.I never received mine, something about being in Australia. If TTAC is global how do you offer prizes to those overseas or are we omitted on the sly from competing?In the end I lost significant respect for Baruth.
  • Alan My view is there are good vehicles from most manufacturers that are worth looking at second hand.I can tell you I don't recommend anything from the Chrysler/Jeep/Fiat/etc gene pool. Toyotas are overly expensive second hand for what they offer, but they seem to be reliable enough.I have a friend who swears by secondhand Subarus and so far he seems to not have had too many issue.As Lou stated many utes, pickups and real SUVs (4x4) seem quite good.
  • 28-Cars-Later So is there some kind of undiagnosed disease where every rando thinks their POS is actually valuable?83K miles Ok.new valve cover gasket.Eh, it happens with age. spark plugsOkay, we probably had to be kewl and put in aftermarket iridium plugs, because EVO.new catalytic converterUh, yeah that's bad at 80Kish. Auto tranny failing. From the ad: the SST fails in one of the following ways:Clutch slip has turned into; multiple codes being thrown, shifting a gear or 2 in manual mode (2-3 or 2-4), and limp mode.Codes include: P2733 P2809 P183D P1871Ok that's really bad. So between this and the cat it suggests to me someone jacked up the car real good hooning it, because EVO, and since its not a Toyota it doesn't respond well to hard abuse over time.$20,000, what? Pesos? Zimbabwe Dollars?Try $2,000 USD pal. You're fracked dude, park it in da hood and leave the keys in it.BONUS: Comment in the ad: GLWS but I highly doubt you get any action on this car what so ever at that price with the SST on its way out. That trans can be $10k + to repair.
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