Chinese Lockdowns Force Toyota to Cut Production Again

Matt Posky
by Matt Posky

The automotive industry has basically resigned itself to running with lessened production for the foreseeable future. A significant number of automakers have suggested that it might be more lucrative to scale back output, reduce overhead, and focus on achieving broader margins per car during this prolonged period of economic and logistical duress. However, Toyota started the year saying it would do its utmost to raise production output as a way to make up for losses incurred during the pandemic. The company even said it anticipated things to gradually normalize through the spring.

Unfortunately, things have not gone according to plan. By March, the Japanese automaker had lowered its output goal for the fiscal year by 500,000 global units. Another 20 percent was lopped off for the month of April and leadership began expressing concerns that those preexisting goals might be totally untenable. While there were moments with the target actually rose, Toyota has repeatedly been forced to walk those claims back as the realities of the market dashed its dreams. Now, the company is once again cutting planned output for the month of June over supply chain issues with China.

Toyota recently stated that it expected next month’s output to be about 100,000 units shy of its original target and has just added another 50,000 impossible-to-build vehicles to that list. The company said that would leave it with about 800,000 cars for the entire month. According to Reuters, Toyota blamed the incredibly strict COVID-19 lockdowns that are currently taking place in and around Shanghai.

From Reuters:

Japan’s largest automaker said it still expects to produce 9.7 million vehicles worldwide in the current financial year, though there is a “possibility” of a lower estimate.

The company said it would suspend operations at some of its domestic plants for the week of June 6.

The reduced estimate by Toyota – widely viewed as a bellwether for Japan Inc — is the latest evidence of how China’s pandemic lockdown has added to uncertainty for automakers and other manufacturers already grappling with a shortage of microchips.

Ongoing Chinese lockdowns are creating serious problems for the global supply chain and are accompanied by chip shortages and a slew of other factors that are making it exceptionally difficult to produce goods in a state of normalcy. Many automakers had hoped that things would have stabilized by the summer. But the current prognosis offered by industry analysts, the media, and industry leadership has problems persisting for all automakers into 2023.

[Image: Andrii Medvediuk/Shutterstock]

Matt Posky
Matt Posky

Consumer advocate tracking industry trends and regulations. Before joining TTAC, Matt spent a decade working for marketing and research firms based in NYC. Clients included several of the world’s largest automakers, global tire brands, and aftermarket part suppliers. Dissatisfied, he pivoted to writing about cars. Since then, he has become an ardent supporter of the right-to-repair movement, been interviewed about the automotive sector by national broadcasts, participated in a few amateur rallying events, and driven more rental cars than anyone ever should. Handy with a wrench, Matt grew up surrounded by Detroit auto workers and learned to drive by twelve. A contrarian, Matt claims to prefer understeer and motorcycles.

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  • Dimwit Dimwit on May 29, 2022

    All the manufacturers are raising the transaction prices. I will wager this is so they can cut China out of the supply chain without hitting the bottom line too bad. Cheap is useless if it's unavailable. They have cut their own throats to save face on COVID. It looks good on them.

  • Jeff S Jeff S on May 31, 2022

    I wouldn't be that upset if there were less Chinese sourced parts but I don't think it will last and as for the Chinese they will eventually be selling their vehicles in the US. The Chinese will probably be marketing less expensive EVs in a few years.

    • RHD RHD on Aug 01, 2022

      It would be safe to expect dumping of EVs at under cost in order to establish a foothold in the market. Meanwhile, if Toyota would move more of their parts production back to Japan, their supply chain would be shorter, and the quality of the components would certainly not suffer.




  • EBFlex Garbage but for less!
  • FreedMike I actually had a deal in place for a PHEV - a Mazda CX-90 - but it turned out to be too big to fit comfortably in my garage, thus making too difficult to charge, so I passed. But from that, I learned the Truth About PHEVs - they're a VERY niche product, and probably always be, because their use case is rather nebulous. Yes, you can run on EV power for 25-30 miles, plug it in at home on a slow charger, and the next day, you're ready to go again. Great in theory, but in practice, a) you still need a home charger, b) you paid a LOT more for the car than you would have for a standard hybrid, and c) you discover the nasty secret of PHEVs, which is that when they're on battery power, they're absolute pigs to drive. Meanwhile, to maintain its' piglike battery-only performance, it still needs to be charged, so you're running into all the (overstated) challenges that BEV owners have, with none of the performance that BEV owners like. To quote King George in "Hamilton": " Awesome. Wow." In the Mazda's case, the PHEV tech was used as a performance enhancer - which worked VERY nicely - but it's the only performance-oriented PHEV out there that doesn't have a Mercedes-level pricetag. So who's the ideal owner here? Far as I can tell, it's someone who doesn't mind doing his 25 mile daily commute in a car that's slow as f*ck, but also wants to take the car on long road trips that would be inconvenient in a BEV. Meanwhile, the MPG Uber Alles buyers are VERY cost conscious - thus the MPG Uber Alles thing - and won't be enthusiastic about spending thousands more to get similar mileage to a standard hybrid. That's why the Volt failed. The tech is great for a narrow slice of buyers, but I think the real star of the PHEV revival show is the same tax credits that many BEVs get.
  • RHD The speed limit was raised from 62.1 MPH to 68.3 MPH. It's a slight difference which will, more than anything, lower the fines for the guy caught going 140 KPH.
  • Msquare The argument for unlimited autobahns has historically been that lane discipline is a life-or-death thing instead of a suggestion. That and marketing cars designed for autobahn speeds gives German automakers an advantage even in places where you can't hope to reach such speeds. Not just because of enforcement, but because of road conditions. An old Honda commercial voiced by Burgess Meredith had an Accord going 110 mph. Burgess said, "At 110 miles per hour, we have found the Accord to be quiet and comfortable. At half that speed, you may find it to be twice as quiet and comfortable." That has sold Mercedes, BMW's and even Volkswagens for decades. The Green Party has been pushing for decades for a 100 km/h blanket limit for environmental reasons, with zero success.
  • Varezhka The upcoming mild-hybrid version (aka 500 Ibrida) can't come soon enough. Since the new 500e is based on the old Alfa Mito and Opel Adam platform (now renamed STLA City) you'd have thought they've developed the gas version together.
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