The Honda HR-V Did Not Kill The Honda Fit After All, Thank Goodness

Timothy Cain
by Timothy Cain

Within months of the Honda HR-V arriving in North America, it seemed as though the Honda Fit was dead to rights.

Last summer, U.S. sales of the Honda Fit tumbled 35 percent as the starting point of a second-half in which Fit sales would plunge 54 percent.

The cause was obvious, or so it seemed. Consumers don’t want subcompact cars, consumers want subcompact crossovers.

With the subcompact crossover, the Honda HR-V, lining up alongside the subcompact car, the Honda Fit, inside Honda showrooms, consumers were driving away in HR-Vs 80 percent of the time.

Fast forward one year: it seems as though Honda has remedied the situation. Not only are U.S. sales of the Fit rising rapidly, the Honda HR-V continues to strengthen its share of the American subcompact crossover market.

How’d they do it? Don’t tell a certain presidential candidate, but it’s all because of Honda’s Japanese-Mexican arrangement.

Known in these parts as the worst current Honda product, the Honda HR-V nevertheless generated more U.S. sales in its first seven months on the market than its Fit platform-sharing sibling did in the whole of calendar year 2015. From the perspective of the Fit, one of its segment’s freshest products, the HR-V’s launch period was a disaster.

After averaging nearly 5,800 monthly Fit sales in the year leading up to the HR-V’s launch, Honda then sold fewer than 3,500 Fits per month in the six months after the HR-V’s launch.

POST HOC ERGO PROPTER HOC


After this, therefore because of this? So the market trend would lead you to believe.

The assumption: America’s growing appetite for crossovers, combined with America’s decreased demand for small cars, was causing consumers of Honda’s magic-seated subcompacts to choose the HR-V four times out of five.

The assumption was incorrect.

Recalls plagued the third-gen’s Fit early tenure. Then inventory dried up. From a 79-day supply of Fits two years ago, Honda only had 27-day supply of Fits a year ago.

In other words, the Honda Fit was struggling because Honda didn’t have enough Fits. The Fit, your punny Dad would say, was not fit to serve.

DON’T TURN THAT BOAT AROUND


But heading into August of this year, Automotive News reported an 81-day supply of Fits in Honda showrooms, inventory levels that increased once again heading of September.

The Fit’s rising inventory comes not as Fit sales dwindle, but rather as Fit volume surges. Year-over-year, sales of the Fit during the last three months grew 33 percent. American Honda has reported more than 5,000 Fit sales in five consecutive months after averaging 3,000 monthly sales over the previous eight months. August volume jumped 85 percent.

Month to month, Fit sales have improved in five of the last seven months, rising to a 14-month high in July. At the current rate of growth, Honda will report in 2016 more than 60,000 Fit sales for the first time since 2009.

So, a year ago, Honda’s HR-V emphasis brought the Fit low. Is the reverse true this year?

Not at all. Coinciding with the Fit’s improvements are increased HR-V sales. After its first-full-month performance of 7,760 sales in June 2015, limited supply also hampered HR-V volume for many months. But HR-V inventory is ramping up, and American Honda reported 7,580 HR-V sales in August 2016, a 14-month high. Over the last four months, HR-V sales have jumped 18 percent, year-over-year.

Heading into September, Automotive News said American Honda had 27,000 HR-Vs in stock, the greatest level of supply since Honda’s subcompact CUV was launched.

LAND OF THE RISING FIT


What changed? Japanese Fit production.

Of the HR-V and Fit, American Honda spokesperson James Jenkins tells TTAC, “We are seeing a good production level that is getting closer to overall customer demand.”

Last year, the Celaya, Mexico, facility tasked with bringing HR-Vs to the American market was also responsible for delivering Fits to the United States. But fast forward to the present and 96 percent of the Fits sold in the United States in August 2016 were imported from Japan. Yes, that Japan, where the first two generations of Fit were sourced before Honda began building the third-generation Fit in the Mexican state of Guanajuato.

Assembly of Japanese-built Fits destined for U.S. consumption began one year ago at a long-awaited plant in Yorii. Fit production switched in May 2016 to a plant in Suzuka “to optimize the volume distribution,” said Honda’s Jenkins.

Regardless of their origins, it’s clear that American Honda’s dealers now have Fits and HR-Vs to sell. The duo combined for 12,950 U.S. sales in August 2016, up 73 percent from August 2015. Only 1 out of every 20 Hondas sold in the U.S. in August 2015 were Fits and HR-Vs. That figure jumped to 1 in 10 in August 2016.

After briefly sharing a bedroom, the Honda HR-V did not kill its older brother. The HR-V merely asked the Fit to move into an apartment on the other side of town.

Now the siblings get along fine.

[Images: American Honda]

Timothy Cain is the founder of GoodCarBadCar.net, which obsesses over the free and frequent publication of U.S. and Canadian auto sales figures. Follow on Twitter @goodcarbadcar and on Facebook.

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  • Anonymic Anonymic on Sep 25, 2016

    I got one of the last 2016 manual Fits available, they had to truck it in from over 700 miles away. That was in February, they'd run a lot of manuals, then a lot of CVT's and shut the plant down and moved it to Japan a few months prior. Anyone who speculated that the HR-V killed the Fit was talking out of their ass.

  • Kc1980 Kc1980 on Sep 26, 2016

    Honda dropped the ball on the fits styling big time. The previous generation was much more appealing. I suspect that might have something to do with it.

  • Jalop1991 In a manner similar to PHEV being the correct answer, I declare RPVs to be the correct answer here.We're doing it with certain aircraft; why not with cars on the ground, using hardware and tools like Telsa's "FSD" or GM's "SuperCruise" as the base?Take the local Uber driver out of the car, and put him in a professional centralized environment from where he drives me around. The system and the individual car can have awareness as well as gates, but he's responsible for the driving.Put the tech into my car, and let me buy it as needed. I need someone else to drive me home; hit the button and voila, I've hired a driver for the moment. I don't want to drive 11 hours to my vacation spot; hire the remote pilot for that. When I get there, I have my car and he's still at his normal location, piloting cars for other people.The system would allow for driver rest period, like what's required for truckers, so I might end up with multiple people driving me to the coast. I don't care. And they don't have to be physically with me, therefore they can be way cheaper.Charge taxi-type per-mile rates. For long drives, offer per-trip rates. Offer subscriptions, including miles/hours. Whatever.(And for grins, dress the remote pilots all as Johnnie.)Start this out with big rigs. Take the trucker away from the long haul driving, and let him be there for emergencies and the short haul parts of the trip.And in a manner similar to PHEVs being discredited, I fully expect to be razzed for this brilliant idea (not unlike how Alan Kay wasn't recognized until many many years later for his Dynabook vision).
  • B-BodyBuick84 Not afraid of AV's as I highly doubt they will ever be %100 viable for our roads. Stop-and-go downtown city or rush hour highway traffic? I can see that, but otherwise there's simply too many variables. Bad weather conditions, faded road lines or markings, reflective surfaces with glare, etc. There's also the issue of cultural norms. About a decade ago there was actually an online test called 'The Morality Machine' one could do online where you were in control of an AV and choose what action to take when a crash was inevitable. I think something like 2.5 million people across the world participated? For example, do you hit and most likely kill the elderly couple strolling across the crosswalk or crash the vehicle into a cement barrier and almost certainly cause the death of the vehicle occupants? What if it's a parent and child? In N. America 98% of people choose to hit the elderly couple and save themselves while in Asia, the exact opposite happened where 98% choose to hit the parent and child. Why? Cultural differences. Asia puts a lot of emphasis on respecting their elderly while N. America has a culture of 'save/ protect the children'. Are these AV's going to respect that culture? Is a VW Jetta or Buick Envision AV going to have different programming depending on whether it's sold in Canada or Taiwan? how's that going to effect legislation and legal battles when a crash inevitibly does happen? These are the true barriers to mass AV adoption, and in the 10 years since that test came out, there has been zero answers or progress on this matter. So no, I'm not afraid of AV's simply because with the exception of a few specific situations, most avenues are going to prove to be a dead-end for automakers.
  • Mike Bradley Autonomous cars were developed in Silicon Valley. For new products there, the standard business plan is to put a barely-functioning product on the market right away and wait for the early-adopter customers to find the flaws. That's exactly what's happened. Detroit's plan is pretty much the opposite, but Detroit isn't developing this product. That's why dealers, for instance, haven't been trained in the cars.
  • Dartman https://apnews.com/article/artificial-intelligence-fighter-jets-air-force-6a1100c96a73ca9b7f41cbd6a2753fdaAutonomous/Ai is here now. The question is implementation and acceptance.
  • FreedMike If Dodge were smart - and I don't think they are - they'd spend their money refreshing and reworking the Durango (which I think is entering model year 3,221), versus going down the same "stuff 'em full of motor and give 'em cool new paint options" path. That's the approach they used with the Charger and Challenger, and both those models are dead. The Durango is still a strong product in a strong market; why not keep it fresher?
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