At Fiat USA, You Know It's Bad Because Even The Subcompact Crossover Is Flopping

Timothy Cain
by Timothy Cain

It just keeps getting uglier.

In ten consecutive months, U.S. sales at the Fiat brand have declined on a year-over-year basis. The run of declines began six months after Fiat launched an all-new model, the 500X, in America’s burgeoning subcompact crossover segment. The downward trend continued in the third quarter of 2016, through the launch of the Mazda-based 124 Spider. The losses accrued in Fiat’s U.S. showrooms were certainly worsened by 21 consecutive months of decreased volume reported by the aging Fiat 500.

But it’s the 500X that ought to shoulder much of the blame. Wasn’t the answer to the brand’s lack of mainstream appeal surely to be found in a segment that doubled in size in 2015?

Perhaps not.


LIGHT AT THE START OF THE TUNNEL


It wasn’t always doom and gloom for the 500X. After a slow ramp-up, Fiat 500X sales peaked at 2,178 units in October 2015. That’s a relatively small number, to be sure. But Fiat sold more subcompact crossovers that month than Nissan, Mazda, and Mini, with the Juke, CX-3, and Countryman, respectively.

Yet while segment-wide growth continued after the 500X first crested the 2K marker — year-over-year volume jumped 130 percent in November 2015 and 175 percent in December 2015 — the 500X’s forward momentum was abruptly halted.

By January of this year, Fiat was selling less than half as many 500Xs in America as the company had three months earlier. On a month-to-month basis, 500X sales decreased in November 2015 and then in seven of 2016’s first nine months, horrendous results for a recently launched model.

SHELVES STOCKED


Inventories ballooned. Heading into the second-quarter, Fiat dealers had a 140-day supply of 500Xs in an industry that had 65 days of new vehicle inventory. Little changed heading into the third-quarter, with a 134-day supply of roughly 6,000 500Xs, according to Automotive News.

It was during that third quarter that the dearth of demand for the 500X became most apparent.

Fewer than 1,000 copies of the 500X were sold in July, a modest 12-unit year-over-year decline but the lowest total sales for the model since its first month on sale 13 months earlier.

August 500X volume slid 13 percent as subcompact crossover volume rose 5 percent.

In September, sales of the Fiat 500X tumbled to only 839 units, a 26-percent year-over-year drop and a 15-month low.

COMPETITORS’ TAILLIGHTS


Remember that trio of vehicles the 500X had managed to outsell at its peak? Last month, the chronically uncommon Mazda CX-3 sold 80-percent more often than the 500X; the six-year-old Mini Countryman topped the 500X by nearly 200 units; and the Nissan Juke, at an all-time monthly low, outperformed the 500X by a 13-percent margin.

Meanwhile, the boxy Jeep Renegade that shares a platform with the curvy Fiat 500X is the top-selling member of a subcompact crossover category that’s grown by a third this year.

It’s a segment that grew 12 percent during the last quarter, a period in which Fiat 500X sales declined 14 percent. Over the last three months, the Fiat 500X’s direct competitors combined for nearly 15,000 additional sales compared with the same stretch one year earlier.

Yet the 500X, with little to lose, managed to drop 437 sales in the same time span.

LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL?


If Fiat USA can’t succeed where success is virtually automatic, what does the future hold for FCA’s namesake brand in the world’s second-largest automobile market? How does Fiat work its way back in a market where Fiat dealers are each selling an average of one vehicle every two days and fewer than five 500Xs per month?

With four models, Fiat is on track to 34,000 new vehicles in the United States in calendar year 2016, a 10,000-unit sales decline from 2012, when Fiat was a one-model brand in America.

[Images: Fiat Chrysler Automobiles]

Timothy Cain is the founder of GoodCarBadCar.net, which obsesses over the free and frequent publication of U.S. and Canadian auto sales figures. Follow on Twitter @goodcarbadcar and on Facebook.

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  • Pete Zaitcev Pete Zaitcev on Oct 21, 2016

    Although 500X and Renegade are as close to each other as original Compass and Patriot, they are sold at different dealerships. Every time I see a FIAT dealership, it's a former indoor flea market building, or some other such random facility. This is really not helping. In addition, Renegade has a much better headroom and internal volume. It is rated to tow 3 times as much (which is mind-boggling, considering that mechanicals are identical). Not only there's no such thing as 500X Trailhawk, you can't even have an AWD 500X with 1.4 turbo. I suppose not everyone is as obsessed with the headroom as I am. And other differences seem minute as well. But it all adds up.

  • Chan Chan on Oct 21, 2016

    Fiat. Is. Not. Marketing. Right. Where are the commercials? The billboards with catchy phrases? Where is the advertised practicality of the larger cars? Why is everything named "500" which people automatically associate with a car too small for them? You don't just set up hipster "studios" and expect people to flock in. You have to advertise the hell out of your products, especially for a brand that few people understand. Everyone who wanted a Fiat, myself included, already has one. The 500L should have been named 600, and the 500X named something else as well.

    • See 1 previous
    • Npaladin2000 Npaladin2000 on Oct 21, 2016

      The sad thing is, the 500x is a better design for most buyers than the Renegade is. Better handling, better aero, lighter, less cartoony, and the nav screen is up where you can actually see it. So of course more Americans buy the Renegade.

  • Zipper69 "At least Lincoln finally learned to do a better job of not appearing to have raided the Ford parts bin"But they differentiate by being bland and unadventurous and lacking a clear brand image.
  • Zipper69 "The worry is that vehicles could collect and share Americans' data with the Chinese government"Presumably, via your cellphone connection? Does the average Joe in the gig economy really have "data" that will change the balance of power?
  • Zipper69 Honda seem to have a comprehensive range of sedans that sell well.
  • Oberkanone How long do I have to stay in this job before I get a golden parachute?I'd lower the price of the V-Series models. Improve the quality of interiors across the entire line. I'd add a sedan larger then CT5. I'd require a financial review of Celestiq. If it's not a profit center it's gone. Styling updates in the vision of the XLR to existing models. 2+2 sports coupe woutd be added. Performance in the class of AMG GT and Porsche 911 at a price just under $100k. EV models would NOT be subsidized by ICE revenue.
  • NJRide Let Cadillac be Cadillac, but in the context of 2024. As a new XT5 owner (the Emerald Green got me to buy an old design) I would have happy preferred a Lyriq hybrid. Some who really like the Lyriq's package but don't want an EV will buy another model. Most will go elsewhere. I love the V6 and good but easy to use infotainment. But I know my next car will probably be more electrified w more tech.I don't think anyone is confusing my car for a Blazer but i agree the XT6 is too derivative. Frankly the Enclave looks more prestigious. The Escalade still has got it, though I would love to see the ESV make a comeback. I still think GM missed the boat by not making a Colorado based mini-Blazer and Escalade. I don't get the 2 sedans. I feel a slightly larger and more distinctly Cadillac sedan would sell better. They also need to advertise beyond the Lyriq. I don't feel other luxury players are exactly hitting it out of the park right now so a strengthened Cadillac could regain share.
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