Place Your Bets: German Gigafactory Operational By October?

Matt Posky
by Matt Posky

Tesla Gigafactory has been hit with more red tape than a last-minute Christmas present and is reportedly nearing completion. Elon Musk even suggested the facility could be producing vehicles by the end of October. However, some of the language emanating from his recent 0n-site engagement has us wondering what the odds are on that becoming a reality. The facility has already been delayed on more than one occasion by environmental activists and bureaucratic hang-ups. Though it now appears to be within a few weeks of commencing operations, Tesla’s CEO didn’t sound overly optimistic about the target.

On Friday, Musk met with Armin Laschet — Germany’s leading Conservative candidate to succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor — to tour the grounds of Gigafactory Berlin (technically Gruenheide). Though the main event was Elon’s preceding meeting with local Brandenburg officials that have not yet given final approval on the facility, citing ecological concerns.

“We’re looking forward to hopefully getting the approval to make the first cars maybe in October if we are fortunate,” Musk was quoted by Reuters as saying during the factory tour.

From Reuters:

Tesla has faced resistance over the plant whose site partly overlaps a drinking water protection zone and borders a nature reserve.

“This region has so much water, look around you,” Musk said at the factory when asked about the water concerns. “It’s like water everywhere here. Does this seem like a desert to you?” he asked, laughing. “It rains a lot.”

“We’ve gotten a lot of support and that’s very much appreciated,” he said. “We feel very welcome and we’re very happy to be here in Deutschland.”

The level of precipitation doesn’t have anything to do with whether or not Tesla’s presence is going to sully the surrounding protected environment. But you have to give the guy credit for being adept at dancing around criticism and knowing what to say to ensure the desired effect. It’s assuredly one of his strongest traits as a businessman, making him a modern P. T. Barnum with sufficient substance to avoid some of the criticisms leveled at the elder — not that either magnate seems to mind or deny their roles as showmen.

Following the tour, Musk suggested that locals show up to the facility to make up their own minds. “Giga Berlin-Brandenburg county fair & factory tour on 9 October!” he tweeted. “Priority for residents of Brandenburg & Berlin, but also open to general public.”

But the statements issued to the press were less than rosy. Terms like “hopefully” and “if we are fortunate” would seem to indicate the CEO has little confidence that Brandenburg is going to go easy on the facility. It wasn’t just Musk, either. Laschet has been critical of regulators in the past and has been exchanging blows with political rivals and the media ahead of September’s election.

“Sometimes one has the impression that inventing something new is technologically easier than dismantling bureaucracy in Germany,” he told reporters while touring the factory.

Meanwhile, Elon Musk has requested Germany issue periodic reviews of government regulations at local, state, and federal levels to determine if they’re actually benefiting the nation. He’s requested the same be done by the European Union upon identical grounds. He’s claiming that they likely are not, adding that he wanted the Gigafactory to “serve as an inspiration to people in Germany” and cautioned overregulation will eventually make commerce too costly or difficult for anyone to bother pursuing.

“It cannot always be about problems every day. Do you want to wake up every morning and everything’s just a problem? Musk asked. “[I want] people to be inspired about the future, and don’t forget to have children — that’s important.”

While Whitney Houston’s “Greatest Love Of All” is likely playing in your head after hearing that, the Randy Watson version is vastly superior, especially if you think Musk is pandering. But the dude has seven kids so he’s definitely been, uh, walking the walk. I’ll leave it up to you to decide if he’s as earnest about the rest.

[Image: Jag_cz/Shutterstock]

Matt Posky
Matt Posky

A staunch consumer advocate tracking industry trends and regulation. Before joining TTAC, Matt spent a decade working for marketing and research firms based in NYC. Clients included several of the world’s largest automakers, global tire brands, and aftermarket part suppliers. Dissatisfied with the corporate world and resentful of having to wear suits everyday, he pivoted to writing about cars. Since then, that man has become an ardent supporter of the right-to-repair movement, been interviewed on the auto industry by national radio broadcasts, driven more rental cars than anyone ever should, participated in amateur rallying events, and received the requisite minimum training as sanctioned by the SCCA. Handy with a wrench, Matt grew up surrounded by Detroit auto workers and managed to get a pizza delivery job before he was legally eligible. He later found himself driving box trucks through Manhattan, guaranteeing future sympathy for actual truckers. He continues to conduct research pertaining to the automotive sector as an independent contractor and has since moved back to his native Michigan, closer to where the cars are born. A contrarian, Matt claims to prefer understeer — stating that front and all-wheel drive vehicles cater best to his driving style.

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  • Myllis Myllis on Aug 14, 2021

    Musk didn't mentioned IG Metall workers union. Tesla is now a collision course with IG Metall. IG Metall is Germany's largest, strongest and richiest union and it can freeze Berlin factory totally (nothing comes in and nothing comes out). IG Metall drives Tesla workers same benefits, equal salaries, health care, pension, holidays, work council and rules, what Mercedes, BMW and VW has accepted. IG Metall wants also seat on board as they have Mercedes, BMW and VW boards. Without contract with IG Metall, Tesla Berlin factory will never get cars out. Strong German unions has been culture shock for many US companies like Amazon.com and Wallmart. Retail giant Amazon had to learn it hard way and Wallmart had to leave from Germany.

    • SCE to AUX SCE to AUX on Aug 14, 2021

      I would hope Tesla considered this angle before choosing a German site. If your scenario comes to pass, Tesla should just walk away and build a new factory in Romania or something.

  • Sundance Sundance on Aug 16, 2021

    "It cannot always be about problems every day. Do you want to wake up every morning and everything’s just a problem? Musk asked." Sorry Elon, that's our German nature. We can't just be happy. And we hate so see another one being happy. So we try everything to bring everone down and that's why we invited German bureaucracy.

  • Mebgardner I test drove a 2023 2.5 Rav4 last year. I passed on it because it was a very noisy interior, and handled poorly on uneven pavement (filled potholes), which Tucson has many. Very little acoustic padding mean you talk loudly above 55 mph. The forums were also talking about how the roof leaks from not properly sealed roof rack holes, and door windows leaking into the lower door interior. I did not stick around to find out if all that was true. No talk about engine troubles though, this is new info to me.
  • Dave Holzman '08 Civic (stick) that I bought used 1/31/12 with 35k on the clock. Now at 159k.It runs as nicely as it did when I bought it. I love the feel of the car. The most expensive replacement was the AC compressor, I think, but something to do with the AC that went at 80k and cost $1300 to replace. It's had more stuff replaced than I expected, but not enough to make me want to ditch a car that I truly enjoy driving.
  • ToolGuy Let's review: I am a poor unsuccessful loser. Any car company which introduced an EV which I could afford would earn my contempt. Of course I would buy it, but I wouldn't respect them. 😉
  • ToolGuy Correct answer is the one that isn't a Honda.
  • 1995 SC Man it isn't even the weekend yet
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