Channel Stuffing Breaks Dealers' Backs In China. In America, The Picture Is Even Worse

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

China’s car dealers’ “backs are broken,” Luo Lei, deputy secretary general of the C hina Automobile Dealers Association told Bloomberg. “Dealers can’t shoulder the burden anymore.” They are overstuffed with cars. Average inventory at Chinese dealerships stands at more than two months of sales at the end of May up from a 45 day inventory by the end of April. It could be worse: In America, inventories are way ahead of China.

At 45 days, dealers in China already struggled with the rising number of unsold cars. Now, they are ringing the alarm bells. “The worsening glut of vehicles across the nation’s dealerships is unsustainable,” Bloomberg writes.

But how does this jibe with the great sales data published by General Motors for instance? A few days ago, GM China announced a surprising 21.3 percent increase for May, with Wuling up an even more baffling 35.9 percent.

Bloomberg says that these numbers are in stark contrast with rising dealer inventories. Carmakers, says Bloomberg, “only disclose the number of vehicles sold to Chinese dealers — instead of consumers.”

Dealer representative Luo Lei disagrees with the rosy numbers:

“The picture we have is very different from what the automakers are painting. The sales increases they’re reporting are achieved by loading dealers with stock.”

Average Days To Turn

Meanwhile at home, the channel is being stuffed with greater vigor than in broken back China. GM’s and Chrysler Groups inventories stood at 70 days in April, Edmunds reports. Ford is a little more conservative with only 60 days.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

More by Bertel Schmitt

Comments
Join the conversation
2 of 31 comments
  • Omoikane Omoikane on Jun 07, 2012

    Did it happen to cross your mind that Canada buys about 2000 Camry's a month - all coming from south of Cleveland- and Canadian Pacific Rail being on strike there was no way to ship them across the border?

  • Billfrombuckhead Billfrombuckhead on Jun 11, 2012

    Chrysler groups days supply is 61 days as of June with Ram trucks and Jeep compacts with the highest numbers. Chrysler division has only 46 days. Avenger only 19 days. Grand Cherokees 57 days.

  • Honda1 It really does not matter. The way bidenomics is going nobody will be able to afford shyt.
  • VoGhost Smart. EVs are pretty much at price parity with ICE already, esp. if you consider total costs of ownership, given how inexpensive EVs are to fuel and maintain.
  • Jalop1991 I've read the book Car.Ford couldn't make and sell a bag of ice profitably and/or in any kind of timely manner.
  • VoGhost For the same $50K, you could buy a REAL performance sedan that does 0-60 in
  • Analoggrotto Ford wishes it could be Hyundai Kia Genesis.
Next