Japanese Auto Industry: We're Outta Here

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

Again and again, Japanese automakers had been warning that they cannot stomach the strong yen, and that it will eventually cost jobs. Today, the yen stood at 76.6 to the dollar, and Japanese carmakers are packing.

Mitsubishi originally wanted to sharply increase Japanese production to make up for lost volume due to the tsunami. The company now “suddenly halved its plan to hire about 800 temporary workers by the end of September, as the yen’s appreciation has been eating into the profitability of its exports to Europe,” says The Nikkei [sub]. Mitsubishi’s President Osamu Masuko told reporters in a press conference today:

“We are fighting to adjust ourselves to the currency’s levels. But these efforts sometimes get wiped out in a single day. Don’t you think there is a growing sense of futility?”

Mitsubishi tried to slash costs as much as possible by becoming leaner and by buying parts abroad. “But the room for reducing costs further is getting smaller,” said Masuko.

A few weeks ago, Nissan’s CEO Carlos Ghosn had warned that a Yen that is not going back to “normal” “will provoke a rethinking of our industrial strategy.”

Some of this rethinking became effective today.

As expected, Nissan announced today at the governor’s palace in Rio de Janeiro that it will plunk down 2.6 billion Brazilian reais ($1.5 billion) for a new plant in Resende, near the ports of Itaguai and Rio de Janeiro.. When completed 2014, the plant is expected to crank out 200,000 units per year.

Nissan plans to introduce 10 new models to Brazil before 2016.

With only approximately 25 percent of its worldwide capacity in Japan, Nissan should be the least affected of Japan’s majors.

“Just as Nissan has demonstrated in China, Russia and India, we are investing in the regions with the most potential for growth,” said Carlos Ghosn. And that’s not Japan.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Wmba Wmba on Oct 10, 2011

    @dr olds Cavaliers made for Toyota to sell in Japan years ago. That was an utter disaster, from what I read in CAR magazine. A pathetic car designed in the early '80s, never updated like the Opel/Vauxhall was, sent to Japan to sell against well made domestic product. And GM amazed that the Japanese didn't buy them. Typical. GM so isolated that it never occurred to them that Cavaliers were crap, because they were too haughty to examine Japanese cars and see where they were better. According to GM, they were equivalent, when anyone could see the assembly quality was shoddy at best. Blind insolence which characterizes GM to this day. For some reason beyond the ken of mortal men, GM believes that the crap they make is superior to anything else, and they get belligerent when others disagree. GM sales in China. Still counting Wuling vans as if they were all GM, when they are the product of a JV. More delusion. Torquing fasteners on all imports to Japan? I call BS on this one. Sounds like an old wives tale. There is nothing magic in making and designing a car, and certainly nothing magic about GM. The only recent hits they have had are the Cruze and Camaro. Meanwhile, unfazed by anything logical, you defend GM to the skies. You've probably never owned a Japanese car, so don't have a clue about them, but are certain they must be worse than any GM, just because. You sit in the middle of the woods, unable and unwilling to see the trees, with your fingers in your ears so that nothing can intrude on your reverie, and rail at everything non GM. It's this kind of attitude that got GM into bankruptcy. Apparently that has been passed off as a mere hiccup in the history of glorious GM, that didn't really happen. No lessons learned, no humility felt, no let's just plow on straight ahead as if nothing bad happened. It was just a dream. And so I get to read your ridiculous defense of GM over and over and over and over and over again. I rate you as the number one fanboy for any brand. Amazing you are. A pity that which you defend and laud is entirely unworthy of your misplaced attempts to rewrite history. GM has learned nothing from bankruptcy. And neither, apparently, have you.

  • Doctor olds Doctor olds on Oct 10, 2011

    @wmba- I didn't claim the Toyota Cavalier was a sales success, but I cite my direct dealings with the program, Toyota and the Japanese government to support my knowledge. As a matter of fact, one of GM's prime motivations for the NUMMI joint venture was to get inside, detailed understanding of Toyota's quality systems and allow performance benchmarking. You clearly have minimal understanding of how hard the car business actually is. I know where we (GM) started, and how we caught up. Not from journalists or other sideline chatterers, but from real hard data and working to improve product quality. I love and know the car business from more years experience than many commentors or journalists have even been alive. I don't knock the other companies and don't claim GM to be anywhere near perfect. I know what I know, and can see the myths and distortions among many commenter's ideas. btw- 2nd place VW gets 27% of their global sales volume from their Chinese joint ventures. GM gets a whoppingingly higher 28%. I am not one bit ashamed to bring some real truth to the ideas about the industry and GM in particular. I have never knocked the other companies. I agree that Toyota and Honda have built great quality cars and how they have driven everyone (except most of the Europeans) to much higher quality levels. wrt- Checking bolt torque: I remember that factoid from a study initiated by Ohio US Congresswoman, Marci Kaptur, whose district included the Jeep plant in Toledo. I have a very good memory and distinctly recall that a Jeep sold for $40k in Japan vs $30k here. That study was back in the '90's and I didn't surface in a quick google search. If not for non-tariff barriers, how do you explain the miniscule penetration of ALL foreign makers in Japan?

  • W Conrad I'm not afraid of them, but they aren't needed for everyone or everywhere. Long haul and highway driving sure, but in the city, nope.
  • Jalop1991 In a manner similar to PHEV being the correct answer, I declare RPVs to be the correct answer here.We're doing it with certain aircraft; why not with cars on the ground, using hardware and tools like Telsa's "FSD" or GM's "SuperCruise" as the base?Take the local Uber driver out of the car, and put him in a professional centralized environment from where he drives me around. The system and the individual car can have awareness as well as gates, but he's responsible for the driving.Put the tech into my car, and let me buy it as needed. I need someone else to drive me home; hit the button and voila, I've hired a driver for the moment. I don't want to drive 11 hours to my vacation spot; hire the remote pilot for that. When I get there, I have my car and he's still at his normal location, piloting cars for other people.The system would allow for driver rest period, like what's required for truckers, so I might end up with multiple people driving me to the coast. I don't care. And they don't have to be physically with me, therefore they can be way cheaper.Charge taxi-type per-mile rates. For long drives, offer per-trip rates. Offer subscriptions, including miles/hours. Whatever.(And for grins, dress the remote pilots all as Johnnie.)Start this out with big rigs. Take the trucker away from the long haul driving, and let him be there for emergencies and the short haul parts of the trip.And in a manner similar to PHEVs being discredited, I fully expect to be razzed for this brilliant idea (not unlike how Alan Kay wasn't recognized until many many years later for his Dynabook vision).
  • B-BodyBuick84 Not afraid of AV's as I highly doubt they will ever be %100 viable for our roads. Stop-and-go downtown city or rush hour highway traffic? I can see that, but otherwise there's simply too many variables. Bad weather conditions, faded road lines or markings, reflective surfaces with glare, etc. There's also the issue of cultural norms. About a decade ago there was actually an online test called 'The Morality Machine' one could do online where you were in control of an AV and choose what action to take when a crash was inevitable. I think something like 2.5 million people across the world participated? For example, do you hit and most likely kill the elderly couple strolling across the crosswalk or crash the vehicle into a cement barrier and almost certainly cause the death of the vehicle occupants? What if it's a parent and child? In N. America 98% of people choose to hit the elderly couple and save themselves while in Asia, the exact opposite happened where 98% choose to hit the parent and child. Why? Cultural differences. Asia puts a lot of emphasis on respecting their elderly while N. America has a culture of 'save/ protect the children'. Are these AV's going to respect that culture? Is a VW Jetta or Buick Envision AV going to have different programming depending on whether it's sold in Canada or Taiwan? how's that going to effect legislation and legal battles when a crash inevitibly does happen? These are the true barriers to mass AV adoption, and in the 10 years since that test came out, there has been zero answers or progress on this matter. So no, I'm not afraid of AV's simply because with the exception of a few specific situations, most avenues are going to prove to be a dead-end for automakers.
  • Mike Bradley Autonomous cars were developed in Silicon Valley. For new products there, the standard business plan is to put a barely-functioning product on the market right away and wait for the early-adopter customers to find the flaws. That's exactly what's happened. Detroit's plan is pretty much the opposite, but Detroit isn't developing this product. That's why dealers, for instance, haven't been trained in the cars.
  • Dartman https://apnews.com/article/artificial-intelligence-fighter-jets-air-force-6a1100c96a73ca9b7f41cbd6a2753fdaAutonomous/Ai is here now. The question is implementation and acceptance.
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