Channel Stuffing Breaks Dealers' Backs In China. In America, The Picture Is Even Worse

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

China’s car dealers’ “backs are broken,” Luo Lei, deputy secretary general of the C hina Automobile Dealers Association told Bloomberg. “Dealers can’t shoulder the burden anymore.” They are overstuffed with cars. Average inventory at Chinese dealerships stands at more than two months of sales at the end of May up from a 45 day inventory by the end of April. It could be worse: In America, inventories are way ahead of China.

At 45 days, dealers in China already struggled with the rising number of unsold cars. Now, they are ringing the alarm bells. “The worsening glut of vehicles across the nation’s dealerships is unsustainable,” Bloomberg writes.

But how does this jibe with the great sales data published by General Motors for instance? A few days ago, GM China announced a surprising 21.3 percent increase for May, with Wuling up an even more baffling 35.9 percent.

Bloomberg says that these numbers are in stark contrast with rising dealer inventories. Carmakers, says Bloomberg, “only disclose the number of vehicles sold to Chinese dealers — instead of consumers.”

Dealer representative Luo Lei disagrees with the rosy numbers:

“The picture we have is very different from what the automakers are painting. The sales increases they’re reporting are achieved by loading dealers with stock.”

Average Days To Turn

Meanwhile at home, the channel is being stuffed with greater vigor than in broken back China. GM’s and Chrysler Groups inventories stood at 70 days in April, Edmunds reports. Ford is a little more conservative with only 60 days.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Omoikane Omoikane on Jun 07, 2012

    Did it happen to cross your mind that Canada buys about 2000 Camry's a month - all coming from south of Cleveland- and Canadian Pacific Rail being on strike there was no way to ship them across the border?

  • Billfrombuckhead Billfrombuckhead on Jun 11, 2012

    Chrysler groups days supply is 61 days as of June with Ram trucks and Jeep compacts with the highest numbers. Chrysler division has only 46 days. Avenger only 19 days. Grand Cherokees 57 days.

  • ToolGuy Supercharger > Turbocharger. (Who said this? Me, because it is the Truth.)I have been thinking of obtaining a newer truck to save on fuel expenses, so this one might be perfect.
  • Zerofoo Calling Fisker a "small automaker" is a stretch. Fisker designed the car - Magna actually builds the thing.It would be more accurate to call Fisker a design house.
  • ToolGuy Real estate, like cars: One of the keys (and fairly easy to do) is to know which purchase NOT to make. Let's see: 0.43 acre lot within shouting distance of $3-4 million homes. You paid $21.8M in 2021, but want me to pay $35M now? No, thank you. (The buyer who got it for $8.5M in 2020, different story, maybe possibly.) [Property taxes plus insurance equals $35K per month? I'm out right there lol.] Point being, you can do better for that money. (At least the schools are good? Nope lol.)If I bought a car company, I would want to buy Honda. Because other automakers have to get up and go to work to make things happen, but Honda can just nap away because they have the Power of Dreams working for them. They can just rest easy and coast to greatness. Shhhh don't wake them. Also don't alert their customers lol.
  • Kwik_Shift_Pro4X Much nicer vehicles to choose from for those coins.
  • Jeff If this is sold in America at 90k it will be bolted to the dealer lots. If 60k to 90k ICE full size crew cab pickups are not selling as well this definitely will not sell. Also 90k for a KIa is ridiculous.
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