Industry: Optimism Is Back, But Only A Little At A Time

Optimism sure ain’t what it used to be. Introducing its latest survey of auto industry executives [ PDF], Booz & Co. proclaims that “optimism is skyrocketing,” and that “a new wave of optimism is overtaking the U.S. auto industry.” They’re not wrong, but for those used to the pre-bailout days of unabashed optimism dressed up as analysis, the “new optimism” is remarkably guarded. And it’s all relative to the pessimism that was beginning to set in when the industry began to realize that the “old optimism” was wildly at odds with the slow-motion market recovery.

So, just how optimistic is the “new optimism”? Which companies have the most reason for optimism? What do industry executives worry about most? When do they expect a Chinese invasion? The answers to these questions and more after the jump.

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  • Irvingklaws I still prefer the looks of this generation to the new truck. If I were to buy new, it would be one of these.
  • Ajla "and lower prices" 🤔
  • Slavuta "Users’ awareness of Chinese EV brands is surprising, given that none of the companies sell vehicles here." --- Globalism is a coin with 2 sides"American automakers like Tesla have long been aware of the threat from Chinese auto companies." --- Does "threat" means 'competition'?
  • Jeff S Not having a marketing department or marketing a product in the long run is not a good strategy for Tesla. Eventually we will have BYD and other Chinese EV companies in the US. Tesla is now a car company and less of a tech company and they will have to act more like a car company if they are to compete with BYD and other EV manufacturers. Tesla is no longer the only EV company.
  • Jmo2 “The only problem is that fatal accidents have generally trended upward the more of the above safety systems came online.”Obviously you’ve accounted for the advent of smartphones in your analysis? Walk me through it…