Forget Diesel - Tough Times Now Lie Ahead for the European Plug-in Crowd

Steph Willems
by Steph Willems

The European new car market is in a period of extreme flux. Once-dominant diesels are on the way out thanks to new regulations, looming bans, and cancelled tax incentives, with electrified vehicles poised to take over the high-MPG role.

But not everything’s rosy in the clean, green market on the other side of the Atlantic. A new, more accurate way of measuring fuel economy went into effect last month, and governments — as well as automakers — suddenly realized certain vehicles weren’t as clean as initially thought. Looking to buy a plug-in hybrid in the UK? Say goodbye to that juicy government incentive.

As of November 12th, the UK government will no longer hand over grants of 2,500 pounds ($3,295) to PHEV buyers. Meanwhile, those looking to buy in the former top-tier category (electric vehicles, or PHEVs capable of travelling 70 miles in EV mode) will see their grant slashed from 4,500 pounds to 3,500 ($4,617).

As Autocar reports, industry types are livid.

Created in 2011, a popular year for government green programs the world over, the grant’s disappearance is all about a change in focus. The program “helped the plug-in hybrid market become more established, and will now focus its support on zero-emission models like pure electric and hydrogen fuel cell cars,” the UK government said.

Naturally, there’s a run on popular plug-ins like the top-selling Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, with consumers (and especially fleets) hoping to get their hands on one before they’re forced to pay full price. The same rush to buy was seen in Ontario in August, where Nissan Leaf sales spiked ahead of the cancellation of that province’s massive EV subsidy.

The September 1st switch from Europe’s New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) to the Worldwide harmonized Light vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP) led to several automakers pulling their plug-ins from the market. More accurate fuel economy and emissions testing forced many back to the drawing board.

Speaking to Automotive News Europe, JATO Dynamics analyst Felipe Munoz said plug-in hybrid sales are expected to crater for the rest of the year. At the end of August, European PHEV sales were up 48 percent, year to date.

[Image: Mitsubishi]

Steph Willems
Steph Willems

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  • Stuki Stuki on Oct 12, 2018

    The whole point of incentives, is to hand them to the privileged and politically connected. Those are the guys in a position to influence their enactment, after all. Once the less privileged have a shot at getting in on the action, "we" have to pay "our" taxes. What else is new?

  • ThomasSchiffer ThomasSchiffer on Oct 12, 2018

    Electric cars in Germany are ‘dirty’ since they are charged with electricity overwhelmingly generated by brown coal power plants. So while they may drive emissions-free, the power that is used to charge their batteries is not. The only political party in Germany pushing for EVs is the Green Party. This is also the political party which wants to ban sports cars, SUVs, trucks and all forms of automotive advertising. And naturally they wish to take away our freedom of speeding on the Autobahns. This is a ‘shoot first ask questions later’ group. They have no real concept for mass mobilization and the future of travel. The other political party’s are being realistic and understand that we still need the Diesel engine to reduce CO2 emissions. Modern diesels are very clean if equipped with SCR and DPF.

  • Gray Here in Washington state they want to pass a law dictating what tires you can buy or not. They want to push economy tires in a northern state full of rain and snow. Everything in my driveway wears all terrains. I'm not giving that up for an up to 3 percent difference.
  • 1995 SC I remember when Elon could do no wrong. Then we learned his politics and he can now do no right. And we is SpaceX always left out of his list of companies?
  • Steve Biro I’ll try one of these Tesla driverless taxis after Elon takes one to and from work each and every day for five years. Either he’ll prove to me they are safe… or he’ll be dead. Think he’ll be willing to try it?
  • Theflyersfan After the first hard frost or freeze - if the 10 day forecast looks like winter is coming - that's when the winter tires go on. You can call me a convert to the summer performance tire and winter tire car owner. I like the feel of the tires that are meant to be used in that season, and winter tires make all of the difference in snowy conditions. Plus, how many crazy expensive Porsches and Land Rovers do we see crashed out after the first snow because there's a chance that the owner still kept their summer tires on. "But...but...but I have all wheel drive!!!" Yes, so all four tires that now have zero grip can move in unison together.
  • Theflyersfan One thing the human brain can do very well (at least hopefully in most drivers) is quickly react to sudden changes in situations around them. Our eyes and brains can quickly detect another driving dangerously, a construction zone that popped up while we were at work, dense fog out of nowhere, conflicting lines and signs on some highways, kids darting out between cars, etc. All of this self driving tech has shown us that it is maybe 80% of the way there, but it's that last 20% that still scares the crap out of us. Self driving computers can have multiple cameras feeding the system constant information, but can it react in time or can it work through conflicting data - think of construction zones with lines everywhere, orange signs with new exit information by the existing green exit sign, etc. Plus, and I think it's just GM's test mules, some systems require preexisting "knowledge" of the routes taken and that's putting a lot of faith in a system that needs to be updated in real time. I think in the next 15-20 years, we'll have a basic system that can self drive along interstates and highways, but city streets and neighborhoods - the "last mile" - will still be self drive. Right now, I'd be happy with a system that can safely navigate the slog of rush hour and not require human input (tapping the wheel for example) to keep the system active.
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