Detroit's Passenger Car Sales Are Falling Way Faster Than the Overall U.S. Auto Industry's

Timothy Cain
by Timothy Cain

Across the U.S. auto industry, there are a number of auto brands that are actually selling more passenger cars in 2017 than in 2016: Jaguar, Lincoln, Infiniti, Subaru, Volkswagen.

Some specific models, many with all-wheel-drive availability like the Audi A5, Subaru Impreza, and Volkswagen Golf, are enjoying far greater sales success this year than last.

But you know the story. Generally speaking, Americans are buying far fewer cars now than they used to. From more than 50 percent just five years ago, passenger car market share is down to 37 percent. Nowhere is this more obvious than at traditional domestic manufacturers, the Detroit Three.

While the U.S. auto industry has reported a drop of 3 percent compared with 2016’s record sales pace, passenger car sales have fallen four times faster than that. But the domestic drop is far more severe than the decline faced by import marques.

Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Chrysler, Dodge, Ford, and Lincoln combined to lose 19 percent of their car sales volume so far this year. All other brands were down “just” 9 percent. As a result, these traditional Detroit brands saw their share of the U.S. passenger car market fall from 36 percent in 2016’s first eight months to 25 percent in the first eight months of 2017, a massive decline over the span of just one year.

After discovering that foreign automakers will likely build more vehicles than the Detroit Three in America this year, we wanted to take a look at the root cause of the downturn at General Motors, Ford Motor Company, and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles.

It’s certainly not pickup trucks.

It’s cars.

GM, Ford, and FCA are ending shifts at car plants, laying off workers, and discontinuing models all because America’s consumers are turning away from Detroit-branded cars far faster than they’re turning away from cars in general. The brands are attempting to gradually wean themselves off fleet-reliance, as well.

There are a handful of notable exceptions to the general theme of decline, but in many of those cases, there’s a simple explanation. Chevrolet Cruze sales, for instance, are up 9 percent this year. But that’s only after an awful 2016 — compared with 2015, Cruze volume is down 18 percent this year. The Cadillac CT6’s 77-percent jump is simply a quirk of a 2016 calendar that didn’t provide any meaningful CT6 totals until May. Over the last four months, CT6 sales are up 1 percent. Big increases from the Chevrolet SS and Dodge Viper come as dealers clear out remaining models.

For the most part, Detroit’s cars are fading. And fast.

RankCar2017 8 Months2016 8 Months%


Change
Fusion138,489189,892-27.1% Cruze133,966122,7969.1% Malibu117,173148,868-21.3% Focus112,076128,889-13.0% Charger58,14862,214-6.5% Mustang56,34980,829-30.3% Challenger47,49645,4434.5% Camaro46,29747,958-3.5% Impala43,79667,119-34.7% 30035,43638,581-8.2% Fiesta32,40934,577-6.3% Taurus29,47230,869-4.5% Sonic22,69137,258-39.1% MKZ18,90120,415-7.4% Corvette17,38519,890-12.6% 20016,56245,774-63.8% LaCrosse14,53417,920-18.9% Volt13,89514,295-2.8% C-Max12,34813,721-10.0% Spark11,82725,458-53.5% Bolt11,670—— XTS9,62312,977-25.8% Dart9,38534,670-72.9% ATS8,99814,360-37.3% Regal8,28813,765-39.8% Continental8,020—— CT67,1434,04876.5% CTS7,04510,645-33.8% Cascada4,2415,326-20.4% Verano3,95121,439-81.6% SS2,8102,14830.8% Viper51740926.4% Caprice PPV393552-28.8% MKS1534,083-96.3% GT42—— ELR17517-96.7% Avenger1142-73.8%General Motors485,743587,339-17.3% Ford Motor Company408,259503,275-18.9% Chrysler/Dodge167,555227,133-26.2% Total1,061,5571,317,747-19.4%

[Images: Ford, General Motors]

Timothy Cain is a contributing analyst at The Truth About Cars and Autofocus.ca and the founder and former editor of GoodCarBadCar.net. Follow on Twitter @timcaincars and Instagram.

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  • Inside Looking Out Inside Looking Out on Oct 01, 2017

    Americans disrespect own national anthem and flag. How do you expect them to even consider American cars? America = bad is a new normal for the long time already.

    • See 9 previous
    • BobNelson BobNelson on Oct 03, 2017

      Inside Looking Out, "Your comments prove my point that anti-americanism is a new normal in US." Not exactly. The new normal is, in reality, "Intentionally offensive one-line zingers replace intelligent conversation." You seem to be defining "anti-Americanism" as disagreement with you. That's kinda egotist, ya know...

  • John R John R on Oct 02, 2017

    I guess the good news is that the Chevy SS has become that much more attainable.

  • Lorenzo Yes, they can recover from the Ghosn-led corporate types who cheapened vehicles in the worst ways, including quality control. In the early to mid-1990s Nissan had efficient engines, and reliable drivetrains in well-assembled, fairly durable vehicles. They can do it again, but the Japanese government will have to help Nissan extricate itself from the "Alliance". It's too bad Japan didn't have a George Washington to warn about entangling alliances!
  • Slavuta Nissan + profitability = cheap crap
  • ToolGuy Why would they change the grille?
  • Oberkanone Nissan proved it can skillfully put new frosting on an old cake with Frontier and Z. Yet, Nissan dealers are so broken they are not good at selling the Frontier. Z production is so minimal I've yet to see one. Could Nissan boost sales? Sure. I've heard Nissan plans to regain share at the low end of the market. Kicks, Versa and lower priced trims of their mainstream SUV's. I just don't see dealerships being motivated to support this effort. Nissan is just about as exciting and compelling as a CVT.
  • ToolGuy Anyone who knows, is this the (preliminary) work of the Ford Skunk Works?
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