The Truth About All The Cars Of China
Soon you’ll read all over Google that China has 217 million cars. Don’t believe it. It’s not true.
Motorvehicles China June 2011Motor vehicles China 6/2011(Millions)Automobiles98.46Of those passenger (est)62.97Of those commercial (est)35.49Motorcycles102.00Other16.54Total motor vehicles217.00Automobiles per thousand pop73Passenger vehicles per thousand pop47
(Blue: TTAC estimate. Source: Xinhua)
“The number of motor vehicles in China hit 217 million as of the end of June,” based on registration data issued by China’s Ministry of Public Security, as reported by state news agency Xinhua.
However, in China, anything that is propelled by an engine and needs a license plate counts as a “motor vehicle.” Motor cycles are about half of the 217 million total. 98 million of the motor vehicles on China’s roads are “automobiles”, leaving 16.54 million in the “other” category (tanks?). So it’s 98 million cars? Not exactly.
Automobile Production ChinaYearPassengerCommercialTotalPass.Comm.201013,897,0834,367,58418,264,66776.09%23.91%200910,383,8313,407,16313,790,99475.29%24.71%20086,737,7452,561,4359,299,18072.46%27.54%20076,381,1162,501,3408,882,45671.84%28.16%20065,233,1321,955,5767,188,70872.80%27.20%20053,078,1532,629,5355,707,68853.93%46.07%20042,480,2312,754,2655,234,49647.38%52.62%20032,018,8752,424,8114,443,68645.43%54.57%20021,101,6962,185,1083,286,80433.52%66.48%2001703,5211,630,9192,334,44030.14%69.86%2000604,6771,464,3922,069,06929.22%70.78%1999565,3661,264,5871,829,95330.90%69.10%1998507,1031,120,7261,627,82931.15%68.85%Tot53,692,52930,267,44183,959,97063.95%36.05%
The “automobiles” again are divided down into passenger vehicles and commercial vehicles. Currently, 76 percent of China’s production is passenger vehicles, 24 commercial. When I came to China first in 2004, the ratio was 47:53. Totaling up the available data since 1998 gives a ratio of 64:36. (In China, “production” and “sales” can be used interchangeably on the macro level. Imports and exports don’t have much impact.) Using the average passenger-to-commercial ratio produces an estimated 64 million passenger vehicles on China’s roads, that compete with 35 million commercial vehicles for space on China’s clogged roads.
There are 73 “automobiles” per thousand people in China. There are approximately 47 passenger vehicles per thousand in China. In the G7, that number is around 600, in the U.S.A., there are more than 800 automobiles per thousand people. China has many years of growth ahead. Private cars already account for more than 70 percent of the country’s total, says the ministry.
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