FT Values Michigan

Robert Farago
by Robert Farago

“Here in Michigan we have a problem: the automobile industry. Thanks to foreign competition and the doubtful management of the Big Three, the state’s economy is in serious trouble. Should we just sell the state to the Chinese? There is a history of this in Michigan – we once traded the city of Toledo to Ohio in exchange for the upper peninsula. So perhaps it would be a good idea. But what would be a good price?

Mrs J, Michigan”

“Make sure you don’t sell yourselves cheap. According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Michigan’s GDP was $382bn in 2007. This is an attempt to measure the value added to all goods and services in Michigan, which includes anything from haircuts to assembling a car – but not, for instance, any components imported from out of state…

“So how much would it cost to buy $382bn of productive power? No corporation adds nearly as much value; the economist Paul de Grauwe reckoned that in 2000, value added was $67bn for Wal-Mart and $53bn for Exxon, the two largest companies. Their market value at the time was about five times their value added.

“If the same ratio applies, buying Michigan would cost the Chinese almost $2 trillion –roughly what China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange has to spend…

“Still, don’t hold out too long: even before the credit crunch hit, Michigan’s GDP per head was falling in real terms. This may be the right time to sell.”


Robert Farago
Robert Farago

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  • Rhiadon Rhiadon on Jan 12, 2009

    Why would you want to trade Singapore for Michigan? Singapore is buried under at least 70 feet of sand? Besides, Singapore is already in Michigan. (Pretty much only those familiar with the west side of the Lower Peninsula will have any idea what I'm rambling about.)

  • JeremyR JeremyR on Jan 12, 2009

    Having lived in Toledo for 20-odd years, I'd have to say Michigan got the better end of that deal. ;-)

  • MMH MMH on Jan 12, 2009

    You could probably get WI to take the UP pretty easily.

  • Robbie Robbie on Jan 13, 2009

    Poor Chinese, can't we give them some island off the coast for 100 years instead (Hong Kong style)?

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