Bailout Watch 340: GM CEO Contemplates C11

John Horner
by John Horner

The Wall Street Journal carries the surprising news that General Motors management might be starting to edge closer to reality: “Speaking at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit, Rick Wagoner, GM’s chairman and chief executive, said the company wants to avoid a Chapter 11 filing, but also said its viability is ‘not 100%’ certain at this point.” Rick backing away from the position that GM hasn’t even thought about C11 is news. “The Treasury Department has said GM must have a plan by March to become ‘viable’ and have ‘positive net value.'” Nobody actually expects GM to have worked out details with bondholders or the UAW before the March deadline. The March deadline was chosen by the current administration as a way to act tough while kicking the can over to the new team, and everyone involved knows it. The UAW says it isn’t clear what is being asked of it and hasn’t started negotiations. Meanwhile, regarding the bondholder negotiations; “GM Chief Operating Officer Frederick ‘Fritz; Henderson suggested Monday that it could be some time before substantive discussions can be held.” So, nothing is really happening with the UAW or the bondholders yet. How about pulling the plug on dead brands?

“At the car show, GM’s top European executive, Carl Peter Forster, said the company must adequately fund Saab before it can sell the money-losing business. The stabilization could take eight weeks, he said.” Say what, they are going to pump cash into Saab to stabilize it and will do so over the next eight weeks, at which time it will be a saleable company? If Saab could be stabilized in eight weeks, why wasn’t it done months ago? Saab is dead, but nobody wants to tell the family the news.

Unfortunately there are still no signs of GM engaging in the kind of Truth and Reconciliation process our own Ken Elias called for so eloquently. PR gambits continue to rule the day at GM.

John Horner
John Horner

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  • Zerofoo Zerofoo on Jan 14, 2009

    Rick Wagoner said "no one will buy a car from a bankrupt auto maker". What he should have said is: "no one will buy a car from a company that might go bankrupt". The economy stinks, money is tight, jobs are scarce - anyone in a position to buy a car is not going to roll the dice on a company like GM. The few people I know in the market for a car have flat-out declared they will not risk 20 - 30 large on a company that might not make it. Time to face the music Rick, your company is toast. Chapter 7 may be the only way to recover some equity at this point. -ted

  • CarPerson CarPerson on Jan 14, 2009

    The lynchpin is in the annual sales number. If it is north of 10.5M and shows them making it, games are being played. If it is 9.325M or thereabouts and the plan shows they won’t make it, Rick has finally stepped up to the reality many talented experts pointed out several months ago.

  • FreedMike Cheap, fun car. I like it. For what it's worth, good examples of the first-gen models (based on the original Golf) have become collectible and expensive.
  • Ajla I won't rank them because there are too many permutations but if I was actually shopping them odds are high I'd end up with some flavor of Corolla over some flavor of Civic.
  • SCE to AUX He got sick of the commute, and the hassle of being 4 time zones away. Maybe it was mutual.
  • FreedMike Civic for the win based on looks. But continuing with the "but...Mazda" theme, I take a 3 over either of these.
  • Buickman HI-LOW?
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