GM: The End is Nigh
TTAC has long warned of a “run on the bank” scenario, whereby GM suppliers demand cash up front for their wares, effectively eliminating the automaker’s cash pile, terminating its ability to build cars and driving the compay into C11. Over the last few weeks, it’s become increasingly clear to anyone paying attention that GM’s cash situation– hence its ability to pay its suppliers– is terminal. Its credit rating is CCC (the U.S. and international banking system is constipated anyway) and its tapped-out available credit lines. GM CEO Rick Wagoner has publicly declared that his employer has enough cash to last until the end 2009– telling the world that they don’t have enough money beyond that point. Jettisoning HUMMER– without a buyer– has sent all the wrong messages. Selling GM RenCen HQ, again without being ABLE to, is another enormous PR debacle. And if confidence in the company isn’t low enough, and it surely it is, Wall Street has finally lost faith. GM’s stock price has fallen below $10, below $8, below $5. So, we now hear that a major, overseas GM supplier has put its foot down. I can’t tell you who, what, when or where. But there’s a deadline for payment approaching, and GM can’t take the hit. Never mind the hits that follow. More info as and when. Meanwhile, check out the Chrysler/Getrag story. Now think about GM. How many billions does it buy from overseas suppliers? German banks want government guarantees; the Germans refuse unless there’s 100 percent cash collateral. This is how things fall apart.
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