Shifting Expectations


My recent editorial "Death to the Stick Shift" questioned the safety of– and slavish affection for– manual transmissions. The main premise of my article was simple: it takes a higher level of driver attention to operate a manual transmission than an automatic.
This point was proven by my many critics, who argued that driving a stick shift prevents drivers from engaging in dangerous multi-tasking. This erstwhile advantage simply reinforces the assertion that a manual demands greater concentration (however subconscious). By the same token, it's disingenuous to assert that an automatic transmission is inherently dangerous because it allows drivers to talk on their cell, eat, drink or otherwise distract themselves. Inattentive drivers are a hazard, no matter what kind of car they drive.

Fans of the manual transmission may not realize that they are merely lever pushers; the synchronizers inside the gearbox do the actual shifting. Anyone who's driven a non-synchro box is immediately aware that there is a much higher level of skill and experience needed to shift gears. So, if attending to the mechanical needs of the car makes someone a better driver, wouldn't a non-synchro box make them an even better driver? Should we turn back the clock of progress in the mistaken belief that it's safer to work harder? Of course not.
The second recurring theme expressed by my less splenetic respondents is that stick shifts are more fuel efficient than automatics. This opinion is usually based upon a narrow analysis of a particular component, rather than an analysis of total powertrain efficiency.

An automatic's torque converter actually increases the torque output, while allowing engine speed to rise– sort of like a hydraulic version of a CVT (continuous variable transmission). Thus the increase in engine speed upon acceleration in an auto-equipped car is not slippage, but the torque converter acting as, essentially, a lower gear. (A side benefit is that the engine has a higher torque output at higher speed, increasing acceleration even more.) The hydrodynamic losses in the autobox' torque converter are more than made up by the increase in effective gear ratio spread.
Gear ratio spread is, simply put, the ratio between the lowest and the highest ratio in a given box. A larger ratio spread allows the box to have a lower first gear (for better initial acceleration) and a higher top gear (for quieter cruising). Typically, a modern six-speed transmission has a ratio spread of about six, while an average four-speed automatic has a ratio spread of about 10 to 11. This allows engine speed to be more efficiently matched to the vehicle's needs.

Couple this inherent efficiency advantage with sophisticated electronic controls that measure the vehicle's lateral and longitudinal accelerations, monitor the position, speed and rate of change of driver controls; and it's easy to see how a modern automatic transmission can anticipate the driver and vehicle needs and to consistently provide the proper gear ratio.
Many e-mailers also took issue with my claim that automatics are cheaper to maintain than standards. Historically, manual transmissions may have been less expensive to maintain than their automatic counterparts, but the stick shift's mechanical evolution (read: increasing sophistication) has reduced the gap to naught. Today, replacing a clutch on Thunderbird Super Coupe at a franchised Ford dealer will cost over $2000 in labor alone. Rebuilding the 5-speed transmission of a light-duty Ford F150 will set you back well over $4000.
The corollary to this argument is that manual transmissions are more durable than automatics. If that were the case, every corporate fleet in America would be stocked with manual transmission cars and trucks. Fleet managers earn their bonuses by cutting costs, and they have a huge amount of real world data upon which to make objective financial decisions. Hence the near total dominance of automatic transmissions within large fleets. Think about it: the chances of finding a manual transmission taxi are somewhat less than finding a lunar rover trolling for passengers in Manhattan.
Other control components of vehicles, including the steering wheel, are based on decades of psychological and anthropometric research. There have been many attempts to replace the steering wheel, including joysticks, but the human brain just isn't wired for them. Even the operational convention of turning clockwise for a right turn evolved through years of study and 'field testing'. There are many studies on the efficiency and safety of current automotive controls. Yet many enthusiasts would exempt manual transmissions from the normal process of mechanical evolution, which has already led to the development of the modern automatic transmission.
Meanwhile, the consumer has spoken. The millions of US buyers who opt for today's automatic transmissions do not do so because they are stupid, uncoordinated, unsafe or oblivious to the joys of driving. They do so because they know a good thing when they drive one.
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- Funky D I despise Google for a whole host of reasons. So why on earth would I willing spend a large amount of $ on a car that will force Google spyware on me.The only connectivity to the world I will put up with is through my phone, which at least gives me the option of turning it off or disconnecting it from the car should I choose to.No CarPlay, no sale.
- William I think it's important to understand the factors that made GM as big as it once was and would like to be today. Let's roll back to 1965, or even before that. GM was the biggest of the Big Three. It's main competition was Ford and Chrysler, as well as it's own 5 brands competing with themselves. The import competition was all but non existent. Volkswagen was the most popular imported cars at the time. So GM had its successful 5 brands, and very little competition compared to today's market. GM was big, huge in fact. It was diversified into many other lines of business, from trains to information data processing (EDS). Again GM was huge. But being huge didn't make it better. There are many examples of GM not building the best cars they could, it's no surprise that they were building cars to maximize their profits, not to be the best built cars on the road, the closest brand to achieve that status was Cadillac. Anyone who owned a Cadillac knew it could have been a much higher level of quality than it was. It had a higher level of engineering and design features compared to it's competition. But as my Godfather used to say "how good is good?" Being as good as your competitors, isn't being as good as you could be. So, today GM does not hold 50% of the automotive market as it once did, and because of a multitude of reasons it never will again. No matter how much it improves it's quality, market value and dealer network, based on competition alone it can't have a 50% market share again. It has only 3 of its original 5 brands, and there are too many strong competitors taking pieces of the market share. So that says it's playing in a different game, therfore there's a whole new normal to use as a baseline than before. GM has to continue downsizing to fit into today's market. It can still be big, but in a different game and scale. The new normal will never be the same scale it once was as compared to the now "worlds" automotive industry. Just like how the US railroad industry had to reinvent its self to meet the changing transportation industry, and IBM has had to reinvent its self to play in the ever changing Information Technology industry it finds it's self in. IBM was once the industry leader, now it has to scale it's self down to remain in the industry it created. GM is in the same place that the railroads, IBM and other big companies like AT&T and Standard Oil have found themselves in. It seems like being the industry leader is always followed by having to reinvent it's self to just remain viable. It's part of the business cycle. GM, it's time you accept your fate, not dead, but not huge either.
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Sorry, Bob, but I still think you are smoking crack. I don't really believe your "facts" about the points you make re: a manual transmission, but I also don't care to dispute them. The one fact I do dispute is that shifting gears is a form of inattentiveness. Sorry, Bob, but paying attention to how one's engine sounds and feels and being a part of the process of driving is not equal to putting on mascara, talking on the cell phone, or eating a Big Mac while driving. On the contrary, it is important to watch the speed of the car, the sound, the terrain, the weather conditions, etc., when operating a manual. It is being acutely aware of what is going on with the vehicle and paying attention to driving, not being desensitized, like so many drivers are when it is so easy to drive and simultaneously do 10 other things. As a culture, we are so desensitized to the danger of driving. We speed around in these huge, overpowered vehicles that can and do actually kill people. If we were more acutely aware of this, do you think we'd be watching DVDs, etc., while driving? Driving a stick is a means by which people CAN be more acutely aware of what they are actually doing behind the wheel. Can be. I'm not saying that everyone who drives a stick is a great driver, but for me, I am a far better driver because I am paying more, not less, attention to what I am doing. Got it?