U.K. Government Pushes Gasoline Car Ban to 2035
UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced on Wednesday that he’s delaying bans the government had previously made for gasoline-powered vehicles. The scheme was to have the United Kingdom restrict citizens from purchasing new combustion vehicles by 2030. But Sunak has questioned the previous timeline’s viability, opting to push things out to 2035.
This probably isn’t a huge surprise for anyone with at least one foot planted in reality. EV mandates have frequently been accompanied by target dates that are wholly ridiculous. Manufacturers aren’t producing these vehicles in sufficient quantities, the supportive infrastructure isn’t in place, and there's a significant portion of consumers that appear disinterested in buying non-traditional powertrains.
Despite boasting several advantages over their combustion-driven rivals, the downsides of electrification (something which will perhaps be dealt with as the technology continues to improve) are just too much to contend with. Sunak is simply delaying things on those grounds.
"You'll still be able to buy a combustion-engined vehicle until 2035,” he explained, noting that the U.K. just needed more time.
Sunak vowed to keep earlier promises both he and his predecessors have made regarding the reduction of U.K. greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050. But he claimed it required “a more pragmatic, proportionate, and realistic approach.”
That’s probably true. However, one wonders how exactly any of this is being decided. Bans seem to crop up by government proclamation, rather than the popular consensus of its citizens, and often fail to take into account the sweeping logistics involved.. Sunak may be about as appealing as a loaf of damp bread. But he has correctly identified issues with the plan and decided to kick the can down the road for a few ears.
Some have claimed this is being done to boost his political prospects. The United Kingdom has introduced a lot of unpopular ideas of late and the public doesn’t appear to be overjoyed with leadership. EV mandates and restrictive urban planning (e.g. 15-minute cities) have been particularly contentious items elected officials have attempted to walk back in recent months without suggesting they’ll be done away with.
Other issues, like rules banning the installation of natural-gas home furnaces or forcing landlords to modify properties to become more energy efficient by installing smart meters, have also been delayed by a few years by Sunak. However, those fall outside the purview of the automotive world and seemed secondary to his walking back the EV mandates.
"I also think, at least for now, it should be you that makes that choice, not the government forcing you to do it. Because the upfront cost is high. We've got further to go to get the charging infrastructure in place," the PM said, adding that the 2035 deadline was congruent with both the European Union and California.
While corners of the automotive sector have shown support for the government's decision to slow things down (including brands that claimed they’d have fleet-wide electrification years ago), environmental groups and the opposition party are trying to paint Sunak as a Luddite.
Steve Reed, the Labour Party’s Shadow Secretary for the Environment (apparently that’s the actual job title), criticized the decision. He claimed his political allies were wholly committed to adhere to the 2030 combustion ban. Reed also claimed that Sunak had bumbled a largest economic opportunity for the nation this century and “sold out.”
With so many automakers getting sweet deals to manufacture EVs inside the United Kingdom already, it honestly seems like it doesn’t matter whether or not vehicle bans exist. Companies have been making firm commitments regarding electrification, often praising stringent vehicle mandates, before pivoting to support those same regulations being rolled back. Frankly, the whole thing has become a farce and nobody seems worthy of your trust — regardless of which side of the issue you happen to be on.
But let’s get a few more takes just for fun.
The Associated Press made mention that U.K. government “climate advisers” spent June criticizing leadership for being “worryingly slow” on progressing climate goals. It also reportedly bemoaned Sunak’s decision to approve new North Sea oil and gas drilling.
Most of the United Kingdom’s reduction in greenhouse gas emissions have been attributed to the nation moving away from fossil fuels (mainly coal) in electricity generation. But citizens are up in arms about energy prices across the entirety of Europe, with U.K. residents spending last winter discussing the possibility of withholding payments to energy companies in protest. Sunak may be trying to address gaps in energy production that will need to be filled if EVs are to be normalized, catering to voters who are mad about the current status quo, or just throwing a bone to oil and gas companies.
There’s no shortage of theories or people that are divided on the issue.
From AP:
Greenpeace U.K. executive director Will McCallum said Sunak “isn’t offering working people honesty or a brighter future - he’s putting his oil and gas cronies first once again.”
Environmentalists were not the only ones alarmed by the move. Automakers, who have invested heavily in the switch to electric vehicles, expressed frustration at the government’s change of plan.
Ford U.K. head Lisa Brankin said the company had invested 430 million pounds ($530 million) to build electric cars in Britain.
“Our business needs three things from the U.K. government: ambition, commitment and consistency. A relaxation of 2030 would undermine all three,” she said.
Richard Burge, chief executive of the London Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said “the government’s decision to suddenly backtrack and delay the ban on petrol and diesel cars makes us look flaky, unreliable, and incapable of leading the green energy revolution.”
“These changes send a message that nothing is set in stone, and committing in earnest to a movable goalpost could be a major business risk,” Clee said.
Meanwhile, U.K. Conservatives seem to have noticed that the general public doesn’t appear all that excited about the government limiting their purchasing choices or presenting new taxes on vehicles boasting a tailpipe. Adhering to the preexisting climate agenda did them no favors in two special elections held over the summer. However, candidates that bucked the green trend performed significantly better — leading some members of the party to believe that might be the key to winning big in 2024.
Sunak’s approach appears to be more passive. While he noted that second-hand diesel and gasoline-powered vehicles could still be bought and sold after 2035, the plan remains to ban everything but EVs on the new-vehicle market.
However, the government is still considering making exceptions for manufacturers selling fewer than 1,000 vehicles annually. That way extremely rich people can purchase gasoline and diesel powered automobiles while commoners are forced into buying used combustion vehicles and brand-new EVs they may not have wanted in the first place.
[Image: ZikG/Shutterstock]
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Consumer advocate tracking industry trends and regulations. Before joining TTAC, Matt spent a decade working for marketing and research firms based in NYC. Clients included several of the world’s largest automakers, global tire brands, and aftermarket part suppliers. Dissatisfied, he pivoted to writing about cars. Since then, he has become an ardent supporter of the right-to-repair movement, been interviewed about the automotive sector by national broadcasts, participated in a few amateur rallying events, and driven more rental cars than anyone ever should. Handy with a wrench, Matt grew up surrounded by Detroit auto workers and learned to drive by twelve. A contrarian, Matt claims to prefer understeer and motorcycles.
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I also want one of the idiots who support the ban to explain to me how it will work.
Suppose sometime (2035 or later) you cannot buy a new ICE vehicle in the UK.
Q1: Will this lead to a ICE fleet resembling that of CUBA, with 100 year old '56 Chevys eventually? (in that case, just calculate the horrible extra pollution due to keeping 100 year old cars on the road)
Q2: Will people be able to buy PARTS for their old cars FOREVER?
Q3: Will people be allowed to jump across the Channel and buy a nice ICE in France, Germany (who makes the best cars anyway), or any place else that still sells them, and then use it in the UK?
Good summary, Matt.
I like EVs, but not bans, subsidies, or carbon credits. Let them find their own level.
PM Sunak has done a good thing, but I'm surprised at how sensibly early he made the call. Hopefully they'll ban the ban altogether.