Gird Your Investor Loins: Ford Predicts $2 Billion Loss

Steph Willems
by Steph Willems

The earnings picture is growing gloomier at Ford, with the automaker now preparing investors for a steep loss in the first quarter of the year. After posting a poor Q4 report for the end of 2019, some of that pre-pandemic weight could carry over onto this report card — where it will mix with U.S. sales that tanked in the middle of March.

If only it was American sales Ford needed to worry about.

Those, of course, make up the vast bulk of Ford’s revenue, though its Chinese and European businesses can’t be forgotten. Those regions blinked off in mid-January and February, respectively. It’s no surprise that Ford now expects a $2 billion net loss in Q1.

That tidbit comes by way of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing seen by CNBC. Earlier in the week, Ford stated that it expected a $600 million pre-tax loss combined with a 16-percent drop in revenue, adding that a full financial rundown will greet investors’ eyes on April 28th.

On the bright side, the automaker said its reserves are healthy, with about $30 billion in cash on hand. In an email to CNBC, Ford said it believes “the present cash balance is sufficient through at least the end of the third quarter, even without resuming additional production or further financing actions.”

Like its main Detroit rival, General Motors, Ford has spent the last few years attempting to get its global house in order. Money-losing overseas businesses have been streamlined, assembly plants sold off, and low-margin product pared down. Preparing for an inevitable rainy day often pays off.

Also in the automaker’s corner is its best-selling F-Series truck lineup, which happens to offer the kind of product deep-pocketed Americans can’t get enough of — even in the middle of a pandemic-prompted lockdown. Full-size truck sales have shown a remarkable resiliency in recent weeks, with J.D. Power data revealing sales down just 18 percent below pre-virus forecasts last week. Compare that to the 55-percent drop seen industry-wide.

That said, it looks like Wall Street soaked up the bad news without getting its hair mussed. Ford’s stock is up just over 4 percent in Friday trading.

[Image: Ford]

Steph Willems
Steph Willems

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  • Robbie Robbie on Apr 19, 2020

    Ford and GM will survive, but as pickup manufacturers for the US market.

  • Cprescott Cprescott on Apr 20, 2020

    I too had bought Ford stock (dollar cost averaged to $1.98) as a hedge for an unemployment fund when King Pimple of a Man was elected President. By 2010 I was able to survive King Pimple's economic payback of unemployment off of my Ford nest egg.

  • Yuda I'd love to see what Hennessy does with this one GAWD
  • Lorenzo I just noticed the 1954 Ford Customline V8 has the same exterior dimensions, but better legroom, shoulder room, hip room, a V8 engine, and a trunk lid. It sold, with Fordomatic, for $21,500, inflation adjusted.
  • Lorenzo They won't be sold just in Beverly Hills - there's a Nieman-Marcus in nearly every big city. When they're finally junked, the transfer case will be first to be salvaged, since it'll be unused.
  • Ltcmgm78 Just what we need to do: add more EVs that require a charging station! We own a Volt. We charge at home. We bought the Volt off-lease. We're retired and can do all our daily errands without burning any gasoline. For us this works, but we no longer have a work commute.
  • Michael S6 Given the choice between the Hornet R/T and the Alfa, I'd pick an Uber.
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