VW Says Battery Supply Problems Have Been Solved… for a While
Following rumors that Audi’s E-Tron would have to be delayed due to issues with battery supplier LG Chem and some unforeseen “software development” problems, Volkswagen Group’s plan to build 330,000 electric vehicles per year in Zwickau, Germany, by 2021 appeared to possess a plot hole the size of the Grand Canyon.
The EV problem is not unique to Volkswagen. Other manufacturers hoping to build electric cars have also been struggling with factory retooling, high development costs, and in-demand battery suppliers that are more than willing to change their prices. However VW claims to have solved some of these issues, at least for a while, citing new investments in China and multiple partnerships with battery concerns.
“I can confirm that for the first years of our plan, a sufficient supply of cells has been contractually secured,” Thomas Ulbrich, VW brand management board member in charge of electric mobility, explained to Automotive News Europe this week.
He followed by saying he was unconcerned with rumors suggesting suppliers may cancel contracts following Volkswagen’s decision to invest 1 billion euros into a battery cell plant in Salzgitter, Germany, with partner Northvolt. “They probably hoped to maintain an oligopoly for a very long time,” Ulbirch said. “We have the contracts so no one is going to stand there and tell us ‘we are not going to supply you any more, help yourselves if you want to build them anyway,’ — that’s not possible.”
The automaker has selected LG Chem, Samsung and SK Innovation as battery suppliers for Europe, along with Contemporary Amperex Technology for China. SK Innovation is scheduled to become a partner in North America in 2022. Using their combined might, VW thinks it can hit production targets without breaking much of a sweat.
That might not help in the very short term, however. According to internal documents referenced by Belgian newspaper L’Echo, Audi is believed to have reduced its outlook for the E-Tron this year by nearly 10,000 units. While that’s largely due to the initial product delay, concerns remain about VW’s overall battery supply — especially as those “mainstream” ID-branded models approach their own launch dates.
Audi is believed to have similarly delayed the launch of the new E-Tron Sportback. Originally expected to go on sale before the end of 2019, deliveries of the crossover are now tentatively scheduled for early 2020. The ID3/Neo begins assembly this year, with sales expected to commence before next summer.
As automakers need less of a bandaid and more of a suture with lots of gauze to cope with these introductory EVs’ supply problems, VW is trying to confront things directly and be more transparent regarding the future complications which will undoubtedly manifest. The automaker’s latest plan incorporates building two new Chinese facilities (operating at a 600,000-unit capacity), utilizing the brand’s MEB platform to help bolster EV production. The company expects it will need more than 300 gigawatt hours (GWh) of battery supply just to cover Europe and Asia in 2025. That’s absolutely impossible without major commitments from multiple battery suppliers and borderline crazy without a customer base ready to scoop up those vehicles.
From Automotive News:
VW is making changes to its battery-purchasing plan over concerns that supply deal with Samsung, might unravel, Bloomberg reported in May. VW could now only source fewer than 5 gigawatt hours of cells from Samsung SDI rather than the 20 GWh initially planned, sources told Bloomberg.
Ulbrich did not deny the Samsung report, saying that the automaker is and will be looking for future supply to cover its growing demand.
“Our procurement needs continue after that [first wave] however,” he said. “You will likely see us permanently in negotiations for cells for the next three to five years.”
Undoubtedly. But good luck finding a reliable way to source 300 gigawatt hours by 2025, Volkswagen. You are definitely going to need it.
[Image: Volkswagen Group]
Islander800 on Jun 24, 2019
Frankly, I'm perversely almost looking forward to one fallout from Trump's coming insane war with Iran. This could be the last "oil war" (people don't think it's about anything else, do they?). It would cause immediate world oil shortages and prices through the roof. Maybe, $6.0/gallon or more - if you can find it. This has the potential to create a tipping point where many people say, screw it, I'm done with ICE vehicles. It'll be fascinating to watch various manufacturers struggling to get newly-in-high-demand electrics to market, let alone all the ancillary business like solar roofs and storage batteries for home charging. That's the only way this can roll out quickly (over 5 - 10 years)on a vast scale. Distributed power generation and storage will be needed as electric grids will prove inadequate for the task. And, incidentally, getting off ICEs is also absolutely needed, over the same frame, if we are to avoid climate catastrophe. But hey, the upside is a major boost to the economy with new jobs and business opportunities galore, similar to the effect when the country originally electrified over a century ago. We're living in interesting times and they're about to get a lot more so.
Latest Car ReviewsRead more
Latest Product ReviewsRead more
- Wjtinfwb I'll certainly admit to a bit of nostalgia that drives my appreciation for these 70's yachts, but there's more to it than that. It was an era that the Big 3 ruled the luxury market with the German's and British nothing but a beer fart in the marketplace. That changed drastically as the early '80s crept in but in 1977, a Mark V or Seville was where it was at. No rose colored glasses, they were not great cars, what they were was a great living room that you could ride to the office in. I grew up on a diet of Cadillac's, Lincoln and one big Chrysler before dad made the move to a 280SE in about '77. Impeccably built and very road worthy, dad initially didn't like the firm seats, clunky automatic transmission and very weak A/C. The exorbitant maintenance costs didn't help. But he enjoyed the driving characteristics enough to get another Benz, then a 733i, an Audi 5000S and a Jag XJ6. Compare these to today's Cadillac's (non- V) and Lincoln's that with the exception of the Escalade and Navigator, are boring and probably even more pedestrian than the Eldorado, Seville and Mark's were.
- FreedMike I was lucky enough to grow up in a household with the two best German luxury sedans of the time - a manual '81 733i, and a '75 Mercedes 450SE. The BMW was a joy on back roads, and the Benz was a superb highway car. Good times. And both were dramatically better than the junkheap American luxury cars Dad had before.
- Wjtinfwb A Celebrity Diesel... that is a unicorn. Those early A-bodies were much maligned and I'm sure the diesel didn't help that, but they developed into very decent and reliable transportation. Hopefully this oil-burner Chevy can do the same, it's worth keeping.
- Wjtinfwb After S-classes crested the 40k mark in the early '80s, my dad moved from M-B to a BMW 733i Automatic. Anthracite gray over red leather, it was a spectacular driving car and insanely comfortable and reassuring on long interstate hauls. My mom, not really a car person, used the BMW to shuttle her elderly Mom back home to Pennsylvania from Miami. Mom and grandma both gushed with praise for the big BMW, stating she could have driven straight through the car was so comfortable and confidence inspiring. A truly great car that improved through the E38 generation, at which point the drugs apparently took hold of BMW styling and engineering and they went completely off the rails. The newest 7 series is a 100k abomination.
- Vatchy If you want to talk about global warming, you might start here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darvaza_gas_crater