By on June 21, 2012

TTAC’s advisor in cross-cultural affairs, Frau Schmitto-san, advises me that “itay” means “pain” in Japanese. Nomen est omen: Pessimistic remarks of an analyst named “Itay” sent car stocks down this morning. By mid day, Ford had dropped 19 cents, GM lost 53 cents. All because Citi analyst Itay Michaeli thinks the car market may not be as hot as some think.

Michaeli reduced his forecast for total U.S. sales from 14.3 million to 14.1 million. He now expects only 14.5 million to be sold next year.

After checking the results of TTAC’s Grade The Analysts, it appears that Michaeli is not the sharpest shooter of the bunch. Whenever he bets, he lands near the bottom of the field. His February SAAR guess was off by 900,000 units, in May, he missed by 600,000. He was DNS in the other month.

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  • jmo2: A lot of GMs issues can be traced back to an excessive focus on market share.
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