Chinese Auto Market Still Struggling, but There's Good News for Japan

Matt Posky
by Matt Posky
chinese auto market still struggling but theres good news for japan

China’s car market, officially the world’s largest, is bracing for its second year of negative growth. November was the fourth consecutive month of declining year-over-year sales, representing an improvement from October despite volume dropping 4.2 per cent below last November’s tally. Unfortunately for China, the downward trend has not been the exception, but the rule.

According to the Hong Kong based South China Morning Post, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) was hoping for better. “The market failed to live up to expectations of a strong rebound in November,” said Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the CPCA. “Consumer demand remained weak as people are reluctant to spend on big-ticket items due to worries about a bleak economic outlook.”

This matters in the West because domestic manufacturers have bent over backwards to try and improve sales within the region, expending no small amount of energy or capital in the process. China’s citizenry are also changing their tastes to cope with a weakening economy, and it would be wise to look at the choices they’re making.

However, let’s first examine who is to blame. The trade war is an obvious contributor but China’s own aggressive expansion is also a culprit. Many analysts have concluded that the nations desire to achieve growth at all costs was hardly sustainable, but it did pretty well for a while. China’s automotive market enjoyed consistent growth since 1992, with only the last two years showing decreases in annual sales.

From South China Morning Post:

For the first 11 months of this year, car sales have slumped 10.2 per cent to 19.27 million units.

China’s car market, the world’s largest, began losing momentum in June 2018 after more than two decades of strong growth. The market has seen year-on-year declines in 17 of the past 18 months.

It was only in June that sales rose 4.9 per cent year on year to 1.8 million units as dealers offered huge discounts that month to clear inventory.

China’s economic output expanded 6 per cent in the third quarter ending September, the slowest pace since records began in 1992, amid a bruising trade war with the U.S.

China also began eliminating subsidies on new-energy vehicles by up to 60 percent in June. Consumers were already uneasy about the the legal ramifications of the country’s aggressive emission mandates and, without incentives, sales of electric cars and plug-in hybrids fell directly into the toilet. The CPCA reports sales of NEVs fell a whopping 42 percent to just 78,000 units last month.

This has worked out well for Japanese brands with joint partnerships, however. Dongfeng Nissan reported sales of 126,573 units, up 13.9 percent from a year earlier, while Dongfeng Honda sold 81,334 units, an improvement of of 17.9 percent on year. Morning Post said Japanese automakers gained roughly 9 percent vs last November, attributing the change to new designs and a growing interest in practicality among the Chinese.

[Image: Destinyweddingstudio/Shutterstock]

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  • Jeff S Jeff S on Dec 10, 2019

    "General Motors recently announced a partnership between Chevrolet and VinFast. VinFast will have exclusive rights to distribute Chevys in Vietnam and will take ownership of the existing General Motors (GM Korea) factory in Hanoi (VIDAMCO). That factory will then build a GM-licensed “all-new global small car” to be sold under the VinFast name." Wikipedia

  • Inside Looking Out Inside Looking Out on Dec 10, 2019

    SLOW in Chinese looks rather intricate. How do they decipher such a complex characters at freeway speed, given that they do not understand English? And then why there is no translation to French? How Europeans supposed to understand that warning since they refuse to learn English?

    • See 1 previous
    • Lorenzo Lorenzo on Dec 11, 2019

      Heh. The solution is simple: asians, like Americans, don't read signs. They just follow the arrows and lane lines, and hit the brakes when they have to.

  • ToolGuy 38:25 to 45:40 -- Let's all wait around for the stupid ugly helicopter. 😉The wheels and tires are cool, as in a) carbon fiber is a structural element not decoration and b) they have some sidewall.Also like the automatic fuel adjustment (gasoline vs. ethanol).(Anyone know why it's more powerful on E85? Huh? Huh?)
  • Ja-GTI So, seems like you have to own a house before you can own a BEV.
  • Kwik_Shift Good thing for fossil fuels to keep the EVs going.
  • Carlson Fan Meh, never cared for this car because I was never a big fan of the Gen 1 Camaro. The Gen 1 Firebird looked better inside and out and you could get it with the 400.The Gen 2 for my eyes was peak Camaro as far as styling w/those sexy split bumpers! They should have modeled the 6th Gen after that.
  • ToolGuy From the listing: "Oil changes every April & October (full-synth), during which I also swap out A/S (not the stock summer MPS3s) and Blizzak winter tires on steelies, rotating front/back."• While ToolGuy applauds the use of full synthetic motor oil,• ToolGuy absolutely abhors the waste inherent in changing out a perfectly good motor oil every 6 months.The Mobil 1 Extended Performance High Mileage I run in our family fleet has a change interval of 20,000 miles. (Do I go 20,000 miles before changing it? No.) But this 2014 Focus has presumably had something like 16 oil changes in 36K miles, which works out to a 2,250 mile average change interval. Complete waste of time, money and perfectly good natural gas which could have gone to a higher and better use.Mobil 1 also says their oil miraculously expires at 1 year, and ToolGuy has questions. Is that one year in the bottle? One year in the vehicle? (Have I gone longer than a year in some of our vehicles? Yes, I have. Did I also add Lucas Oil 10131 Pure Synthetic Oil Stabilizer during that time, in case you are concerned about the additive package losing efficacy? Yes, I might have -- as far as you know.)TL;DR: I aim for annual oil changes and sometimes miss that 'deadline' by a few months; 12,000 miles between oil changes bothers me not at all, if you are using a quality synthetic which you should be anyway.