What Is Your Used Car Sweet Spot?

Steven Lang
by Steven Lang

One of my good friends and long-time TTAC commenters asked me this question.

Hey Steve,

If you have a moment, what are the high and low values right now at auction for the following:

2000 Chevy Monte Carlo SS 40K miles gold/tan

2006 Mustang GT premium 27K maroon/tan

2006 G6 GTP folding hardtop 53k black/black

I could only give him one response and it wasn’t, “Go play darts and put some numbers together!”

The answer came in three simple words.

Condition, condition, condition.

Condition is the number one determinant of marketplace value when it comes to a used anything. A 30-year-old Jeep Cherokee? Could be worth $5,000 or $500. A 2013 Kia Forte? Pick any number between $4,000 and $10,000. Everything related to the used car business from old racing memorabilia to a near-new racing suit has condition as the keystone to value, with bullshit factor a close second.

This is why dealers try to make folks “buy with their eyes” by investing an awful lot of money into the cosmetic condition of used cars. Those used cars you see at Carmax and other large used car retailers are reconditioned by a small army of paintless dent repair technicians, detailers, and specialists who can handle virtually everything that is between the bumpers. They spend big money because you spend big money.

Condition is the king, queen, and jack of the car world. But there is a bigger psychological ace that you have to consider when it comes to buying a used car.

Risk tolerance.

Are you willing to buy a car with a salvage history? How about a car that doesn’t run at the moment? Forget about the possibility of knowing the answer to the unique problems for each scenario. The one irreversible roll of the dice every used car shopper and enthusiast must consider is where exactly they fall on the risk spectrum.

With that in mind, let me ask you the question I always have rolling in my head whenever I’m serving my customers, whether they are car dealers, old friends, or a new person in search of a used car.

What is your ‘sweet spot’ when it comes to a used car?

Let’s make this an à la carte process. I’m going to offer five categories: age, miles, cosmetic condition, mechanical condition, and title status. You tell me the riskiest one you would consider for a long-term daily commuter.

For example, my brother could handle a car from the early 2000s in average mechanical and cosmetic condition with a clean title and no more than 100,000 miles. Sajeev Mehta on the other hand would do cartwheels over a Reagan-era car that is no more than 150k, has moderate mechanical and cosmetic issues, and has a minor title issue such as a theft recovery.

Here are your five categories

Age

Obama Era (2008 or newer)


W Era (2001 – 2007)


Clinton Era (1993 – 2000)


Reagan/Bush Era (1981 – 1992)


Murilee Era (Jesus to 1980)

Mileage

Under 50k


50k to 100k


100k to 150k


150k to 250k


250k to Distance to the Moon

Cosmetic Condition

Extra Clean: Time capsule!


Clean: Garage kept and detailed by a diehard enthusiast.


Average: The usual assortment of small dings and dents; needs a little work.


Rough: Big dents, scuffs, and bumper stickers aplenty.


Extra Rough: Charity car, crusher fodder, or repo from hell.

Mechanical Condition

Amazing: An OCD owner who loves cars more than humans.


Very Good: Maintained by the book; a few late oil changes.


Average: Car needs a major service and minor repairs, but is in decent shape.


Below Average: Treated like a disposable appliance; needs a deeper dive.


Holy Hell: Car owned by a human hurricane; may be worth more dead than alive.

Title Status

Clean: No defects.


Minor Branded Title Issue: Court order, theft recovery, duplicate title.


Moderate Title Issue: True miles unknown, not actual miles.


Major Title Issue: Rebuilt/rebuildable, salvage, total loss.


No Title

Everyone has their own sweet spot where they are willing to go out on a limb to pursue a car worth keeping. What’s yours?

Steven Lang
Steven Lang

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  • Mopar4wd Mopar4wd on Sep 20, 2015

    I'm running Bush (the 2nd) 80-120k Good physical condition Good to very good mechanical Clean title. Works so far. I would go older for certain cars as well but I really don't like going much above 120k for mileage unless it's a real beater.

  • Speedlaw Speedlaw on Sep 30, 2015

    The market sweet spot is probably $350 x 36, or about 12k. Payment is reasonable for most folks, and the note isn't too long. This, of course is NOT what the OE want you to do. What the market would like is a mid 90's Accord, but NEW, 4 cyl, autobox with the usual power accessories and bluetooth. The OE give us that car for 24k or so, with the usual dealer nonsense, so it works out to a lease for that price, or a buy on a much longer note. The under 20k cars out there new give us a penalty box, designed for no other reason but to make the other cars look reasonable. (See:$2500 handbag at the department store) I buy new, fortunately, and run until it is a heap of rust in the driveway. The taxes on most new cars alone in my area would be $2,000, and as that is "flushed away" money in the transaction, I always balance the repair against the wasted money for the taxes. Suddenly new shocks don't look expensive. Since the car *the market wants* isn't for sale, and what we get is marketing driven as "how much can they be forced to pay with very creative financing", we end up with used car roulette at the sane price point.... If interest rates ever rise, this one is game over.... If forced into the used market, I'd get a Panther (really, gas is cheap now, and we want to get to work, not impress passersby), or another e46 from a no salt state, as I can fix most of the car myself.

  • Jeff Self driving cars are not ready for prime time.
  • Lichtronamo Watch as the non-us based automakers shift more production to Mexico in the future.
  • 28-Cars-Later " Electrek recently dug around in Tesla’s online parts catalog and found that the windshield costs a whopping $1,900 to replace.To be fair, that’s around what a Mercedes S-Class or Rivian windshield costs, but the Tesla’s glass is unique because of its shape. It’s also worth noting that most insurance plans have glass replacement options that can make the repair a low- or zero-cost issue. "Now I understand why my insurance is so high despite no claims for years and about 7,500 annual miles between three cars.
  • AMcA My theory is that that when the Big 3 gave away the store to the UAW in the last contract, there was a side deal in which the UAW promised to go after the non-organized transplant plants. Even the UAW understands that if the wage differential gets too high it's gonna kill the golden goose.
  • MKizzy Why else does range matter? Because in the EV advocate's dream scenario of a post-ICE future, the average multi-car household will find itself with more EVs in their garages and driveways than places to plug them in or the capacity to charge then all at once without significant electrical upgrades. Unless each vehicle has enough range to allow for multiple days without plugging in, fighting over charging access in multi-EV households will be right up there with finances for causes of domestic strife.
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