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Old 03-15-2014, 02:55 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Okay, so self drivers are inevitable. ┬*There are a bunch of things that have been said about them, but I think people are missing the full scope. ┬*A few predictions:

People will drive more, not less. ┬*The four hour weekend drive to a weekend destination looks a lot more attractive when you don't have to drive. ┬*If you can sleep in the car, all the better. ┬*Living three hours from work becomes less of a problem with your own luxury cocoon.

Car devaluation will be brutal. ┬*Initially, self drivers will arrive in the current car form factor. ┬*Then, the front seats will turn around. ┬*As safety is more proven, people might even start walking around in the car. ┬*All these changes will mean that cars with older form factors will be tragically uncool, like old cell phones.

Car shows will be more about interiors than exteriors. ┬*People will care more about what the car is like to relax in - what gadgets it has - than about how it looks. ┬*Espresso makers, screens, fridges, stoves - all that gets much more useful if you are just chilling on the way to your destination.

Horsepower will be less important, sportiness less compelling. ┬*Because who cares how fast your car is if you're not driving? ┬*You don't even *want* it changing direction quickly.

RV sales will go up. ┬*How much more desirable is an RV if you can wake up every morning in a new national park, without having to do the drive in between? ┬*Why have a house at all?

City planning will change dramatically. ┬*Businesses will have to create huge pick up and drop off areas. ┬*After work, everyone's car - whether owned or contracted - will come by to pick them up. ┬*That is going to create massive congestion in front of the doors. ┬*On the flip side, parking lots will no longer need to be centrally located; your car can go park itself.

City drivers will ditch their cars, but not suburbanites. ┬*Uber won't take over everything. ┬*People will still want their own little living room, with their own stuff in it. ┬*And try to imagine contract cars handling the entire morning and evening commutes. ┬*No matter how hard you try, some cars will only be used two or three times a day.

For the uber-rich, supercars will make room for luxo-vans. ┬*I mentioned this on another thread, but it is clear that most supercars are status symbols. ┬*As such, when self drivers come on the scene, what would make a better status symbol than rolling in your own imperial black pod?

Current cars will be perceived as dangerous beasts. ┬*People in fifty years will look at cars today as unimaginable. ┬*The idea that we roved around at half attention, mixing metal with pedestrians, will look unbearably crude.

Car racing and track days will be like horse racing. ┬*Plenty will still do it, but it will be an anachronism, a pastime for those with more money.

Any more?
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Old 03-17-2014, 09:09 PM   #2 (permalink)
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> City drivers will ditch their cars, but not suburbanites. Uber won't take over everything. People will still want their own little living room, with their own stuff in it.

To the contrary once cars truly self-drive w/o caretaker automatic chauffeur services will be common simply due to cost. Why take the hit on a $30k+ depreciating asset alone when it can come shortly at beck and call? A modular vehicle with a passenger compartment left at your own place can serve for those who need their own living space.
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Old 04-27-2015, 12:00 AM   #3 (permalink)
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┬*City drivers will ditch their cars, but not suburbanites. ┬*Uber won't take over everything. ┬*People will still want their own little living room, with their own stuff in it. ┬*And try to imagine contract cars handling the entire morning and evening commutes. ┬*No matter how hard you try, some cars will only be used two or three times a day.
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Old 07-30-2015, 08:14 PM   #4 (permalink)
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City dwellers and club hipsters can just call Uber until then.
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Old 08-03-2015, 09:22 PM   #5 (permalink)
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I dont know about a lot of this. Especially the inevitability of driverless cars. I see more and more driver's aids coming into play, like full cruise control, slow traffic cruise control, etc. But not to the point that we are ditching steering wheels and the like. Plus for 99% of the market sportiness isn't a factor anyway, so that's not going to be a change. Etc. etc. There's a lot of spotty reasoning in there.
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