Could Coronavirus Complications Make AVs More Popular?

Matt Posky
by Matt Posky

As the coronavirus epidemic scares populations out of stores, transportation hubs, and stock markets, autonomous vehicles may be getting a leg up in China. Bloomberg reports that Neolix, an autonomous delivery company based in Beijing, has seen a surge in demand as people opt to stay home (or are forced into quarantined by the Chinese government). Founder Yu Enyuan said the startup has booked orders for more than than 200 autonomous delivery pods since knowledge of COVID-19 became public — noting it had only produced 125 units in the eight months leading up to that.

Thanks to being overhyped by an industry that wasn’t anywhere near as far along as claimed, autonomous vehicles haven’t earned a lot of love lately. Yet Neolix’s minor victory suggests they may have useful applications that previously went ignored. In the realm of humanoid robotics, the goal if often to design a platform that can successfully fill in for a living, breathing person when the surrounding environment becomes too dangerous. Why not for AVs?

From Bloomberg:

Amid the virus anxiety that has disrupted businesses and supply chains, China’s push into autonomous transport and the future of delivery is getting an unexpected boost. Neolix’s small vans help customers reduce physical contact and address labor shortages caused by lingering quarantines and travel restrictions.

Neolix’s inventories have been depleted during the epidemic with its vehicles being used to deliver medical supplies in hospitals, including in Wuhan, at the outbreak’s epicenter. Its vans are also being used to help disinfect streets and move food to people who are working on the front lines to curb the spread of the virus, Yu said.

Delivery bots aren’t new; practically every company that could benefit from their existence has a partnership or exploratory development program involving them. However, self-driving medical supply and support vehicles have been something largely reserved for military concepts, with few even entering the testing phase. Helped by the coronavirus outbreak, Neolix is bridging the gap between commercial and emergency services.

“Demand has been surging since the virus outbreak and more importantly, people’s perception toward driverless delivery had a complete 180-degree shift,” Yu explained. “People realize that such vehicles can get things done when it is risky for a human being to do so.”

The Chinese government has eased restrictions on AVs since COVID-19 started impacting local communities. With practically no one on the street and food shortages cropping up in quarantined areas, self-driving delivery vehicles were seen as a potential solution. Yu said China is currently providing incentives (up to 60 percent off) to those interested in purchasing and maintaining autonomous delivery vans and believes it will help him sell 1,000 units (the company calls them “Neolithic unmanned vehicles”) in 2020. Bloomberg stopped shy of urging readers to invest in the company but hinted that this will radically change the AV game in China and the United States — which has also eased regulations to help startups get more self-driving vehicles on public roads this year.

We can’t speak to that. Autonomy has been repeatedly oversold by the automotive industry and we wouldn’t blame anyone for putting their cash elsewhere. Still, it does look like virus-related complications has given the delivery sector a bit of a boost. Assuming the coronavirus scare lasts more than a handful of months, maybe this will push manufacturers toward more practical applications.

[Image: Neolix]

Matt Posky
Matt Posky

A staunch consumer advocate tracking industry trends and regulation. Before joining TTAC, Matt spent a decade working for marketing and research firms based in NYC. Clients included several of the world’s largest automakers, global tire brands, and aftermarket part suppliers. Dissatisfied with the corporate world and resentful of having to wear suits everyday, he pivoted to writing about cars. Since then, that man has become an ardent supporter of the right-to-repair movement, been interviewed on the auto industry by national radio broadcasts, driven more rental cars than anyone ever should, participated in amateur rallying events, and received the requisite minimum training as sanctioned by the SCCA. Handy with a wrench, Matt grew up surrounded by Detroit auto workers and managed to get a pizza delivery job before he was legally eligible. He later found himself driving box trucks through Manhattan, guaranteeing future sympathy for actual truckers. He continues to conduct research pertaining to the automotive sector as an independent contractor and has since moved back to his native Michigan, closer to where the cars are born. A contrarian, Matt claims to prefer understeer — stating that front and all-wheel drive vehicles cater best to his driving style.

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  • Ajla Ajla on Mar 09, 2020

    I'm not sure about AVs, but I'd say this event does show an upside to individual transportation conveyances.

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    • Ajla Ajla on Mar 09, 2020

      @dal20402 Influenza is around 6 times more dangerous than vehicle crashes for Americans 65+. Depending on the year it can be about even for people aged 55-64 although crashes generally keep an edge. I'm not sure if "respiratory distress" for those under 1 is solely from communicable diseases or not. cdc.gov/injury/images/lc-charts/leading_causes_of_death_by_age_ group_2017_1100w850h.jpg cdc.gov/injury/images/lc-charts/leading_causes_of_death_by_age_ group_unintentional_2017_1100w850h.jpg Obviously there are things people can do to lower their disease risk just as there are things people can do to lower their crash risk. Still, I think this highlights an issue of mass transit and keep in mind that "individual transportation conveyances" can be anything from a unicycle pod to an F-14.

  • PandaBear PandaBear on Mar 09, 2020

    It makes the Japanese AV idols more popular for sure.

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  • SCE to AUX I'm already driving the cheap EV (19 Ioniq EV).$30k MSRP in late 2018, $23k after subsidy at lease (no tax hassle)$549/year insurance$40 in electricity to drive 1000 miles/month66k miles, no range lossAffordable 16" tiresVirtually no maintenance expensesHyundai (for example) has dramatically cut prices on their EVs, so you can get a 361-mile Ioniq 6 in the high 30s right now.But ask me if I'd go to the Subaru brand if one was affordable, and the answer is no.
  • David Murilee Martin, These Toyota Vans were absolute garbage. As the labor even basic service cost 400% as much as servicing a VW Vanagon or American minivan. A skilled Toyota tech would take about 2.5 hours just to change the air cleaner. Also they also broke often, as they overheated and warped the engine and boiled the automatic transmission...
  • Marcr My wife and I mostly work from home (or use public transit), the kid is grown, and we no longer do road trips of more than 150 miles or so. Our one car mostly gets used for local errands and the occasional airport pickup. The first non-Tesla, non-Mini, non-Fiat, non-Kia/Hyundai, non-GM (I do have my biases) small fun-to-drive hatchback EV with 200+ mile range, instrument display behind the wheel where it belongs and actual knobs for oft-used functions for under $35K will get our money. What we really want is a proper 21st century equivalent of the original Honda Civic. The Volvo EX30 is close and may end up being the compromise choice.
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