Uh Oh, Your Car's Worth Less Than You Owe - What Comes Next?

Steph Willems
by Steph Willems

Years back, after the desire to purchase one particularly fetching model became too great, you walked into the dealership, marched right over to the salesman’s cubbyhole, and signed over several years’ worth of payments on your ride du jour. Bliss ensued.

Unfortunately, come trade-in time, your once-desirable ride isn’t even worth the amount left owing. You’re in negative equity, pardner. Still, buyers faced with this situation have a number of options at their disposal.

Thanks to a recent study of new car buyers, we now know exactly how owners of low-value trade-ins chose to deal with their unexpected debt.

Not surprisingly, the largest subset of buyers with negative equity simply roll it over into their next vehicle. Life goes on, with payments a little higher than anticipated. However, Automotive News‘ study, conducted by DealerRater in May, found that negative equity alters plans in different ways depending on segment and desired brand.

Of the 88,874 respondents (individuals visiting a dealer for servicing or to purchase) 46,700 had purchased a new vehicle and traded in their previous car or truck. Among the trade-in group, 37 percent had negative equity. That’s close to the 33 percent discovered in the first quarter of 2017 by Edmunds.

How did the DealerRater buyers handle their negative equity? 54 percent choose to roll it over into their new vehicle’s payments, while 19 percent decided to jack up their down payment. Of the respondents, 21 percent chose an alternate course of action, and only 6 percent of buyers or lessees ended up selecting a different vehicle to offset the amount still owing.

The story proved ever so slightly different for luxury buyers. Of the premium crowd, 30 percent had negative equity when it came time to trade in that vehicle for a new one. 49 percent of those buyers rolled over the debt, 20 percent hiked their down payment, while 25 percent chose to do something else. As with the overall tally of respondents, just 6 percent decided to buy or lease a different car.

What brands were most associated with negative equity at trade-in time? Not surprisingly, value-conscious brands led the pack, with Nissan buyers out in front at 47 percent. Kia buyers were a close second, at 46 percent, followed by Hyundai and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles brands at 42 percent. Subaru buyers had the lowest rate of negative equity – 27 percent – while 33 percent of Honda and GMC-Buick buyers were saddled with a problem trade-in. Ford and Toyota buyers also fell below the average.

When faced with negative equity, Volkswagen and GMC-Buick buyers and lessees proved most likely to roll over the debt into their new payments – 62 percent chose the option. Subaru buyers, however, were most likely to hike their down payment, with 26 percent going that route. Volkswagen shoppers, at 13 percent, were the least likely to increase a down payment.

While choosing a different vehicle was the least common response to negative equity, a range does exist. At the bottom, with 4 percent, sits Subaru. Toyota shoppers, perhaps the most fiscally conservative of the group, showed the highest likelihood of choosing something else – 8 percent. That number could have a couple of factors behind it. Either Toyota shoppers are more likely to play it safe and temper their hopes, or the brand’s dealer staff are more forthright with customers.

[Image: VadimGuzhva/ Bigstock.com]

Steph Willems
Steph Willems

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  • Compaq Deskpro Compaq Deskpro on Jun 13, 2017

    Is this really much of a problem? Most cars are reliable or at least have a warranty available for the duration of the loan period. If you bought a loaded BMW 3-series with a 7 year loan and didn't extend the warranty you deserve what you get.

    • JuniperBug JuniperBug on Jun 13, 2017

      The same could be said of a fridge, a TV, or any number of other items we need or want for our every day lives. That doesn't mean it makes any sense to be perpetually having to make payments on these things when more affordable, equally reliable choices are available. You don't need to spring for a top-spec fridge to keep your milk cold, and you don't need a BMW to drive to work. I'd rather have a measure of freedom and security in my life than a built-in ice maker and nicer seats in which to sit during rush hour.

  • Mchan1 Mchan1 on Jun 14, 2017

    How do car companies expect to sell vehicles today or in the future when wages are relatively stagnant? It makes sense to own the vehicle for at least 10 years which many people do. Many people have 5-6 year loans nowadays which appears to be the norm but at long as you keep the vehicle for longer than that and maintain it well, it shouldn't be a problem. Otherwise, you lose money if you flip vehicles every few years esp. IF you buy and own them, though it's good for those who buy pre-owned vehicles. The bad thing about pre-owned vehicles is that one has to obviously be Very weary about that pre-owned vehicle in how the previous owner treated it which you pray s/he did a good job in maintaining and NO 'unnecessary repairs'! There's nothing wrong with leasing if a) you're a business, b) you have money to spend or c) you don't care about finances but want a new vehicle every 2-3 years.

  • Mister It wasn't helped any by the horrible fuel economy for what it was... something like 22mpg city, iirc.
  • Lorenzo I shop for all-season tires that have good wet and dry pavement grip and use them year-round. Nothing works on black ice, and I stopped driving in snow long ago - I'll wait until the streets and highways are plowed, when all-seasons are good enough. After all, I don't live in Canada or deep in the snow zone.
  • FormerFF I’m in Atlanta. The summers go on in April and come off in October. I have a Cayman that stays on summer tires year round and gets driven on winter days when the temperature gets above 45 F and it’s dry, which is usually at least once a week.
  • Kwik_Shift_Pro4X I've never driven anything that would justify having summer tires.
  • Scotes So I’ll bite on a real world example… 2020 BMW M340i. Michelin Pilot Sport 4S. At 40k now and I replaced them at about 20k. Note this is the staggered setup on rwd. They stick like glue when they are new and when they are warm. Usually the second winter when temps drop below 50/60 in the mornings they definitely feel like they are not awake and up to the task and noise really becomes an issue as the wear sets in. As I’ve made it through this rainy season here in LA will ride them out for the summer but thinking to go Continental DWS before the next cold/rainy season. Thoughts? Discuss.
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