World's Largest Automakers 2013: GM Maintains Narrow Lead Over Volkswagen - Tight Race Expected

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

GM published global sales numbers for the first quarter of 2013, and media from The Detroit News to Bloomberg considered it headline material that GM edged out Volkswagen – barely. Who would have thought that the scrappy maker of cars that – if the blogs are to be believed – can’t keep their wires from crossing is breathing down the neck of the formerly mighty General?

Tracking the world’s largest automakers: Q1 2013Q1’13Q1 ’12YoYToyota2,434,1042,705,770-10.0%GM2,360,9582,278,1923.6%Volkswagen2,270,0002,160,0005.1%Source: Company data. Toyota: Production, estimateGM: Sales. VW: Deliveries

GM sold 2.36 million units worldwide in the first quarter, the company says. Volkswagen is just 90,000 units behind at 2.27 million sold. GM’s sales grew 3.6 percent in the first quarter while Volkswagen’s grew 5.1 percent – despite a very tough situation at home in Europe.

Toyota will publish its quarterly numbers some time next week, so for the time being we can only extrapolate from the first two months. The picture for the first quarter is what we probably will see for the rest of the year: A very tight race for the top spot that could be won by any of the three once the year is over.

Toyota had planned for a flat 2013 to digest the large increases in the prior year. This was before the island troubles put a crimp in their plans and those of all Japanese automakers in China. Toyota’s worldwide production was down 6.2 percent for the first two months of the year, and we expect this trend to continue.

In the same China, the race for world dominance is decided. Volkswagen sold 769,200 units in China in the first three months, up 21.3 percent from the 633,900 it sold last year. GM kept Volkswagen in check in China by selling 816,373 units, up 9.6 percent. Nevertheless, even there the race is tight, and the two contenders are separated by what counts as rounding errors in China.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

More by Bertel Schmitt

Comments
Join the conversation
2 of 21 comments
  • CelticPete CelticPete on Apr 17, 2013

    Both VW and GM have made great strides in reliability. If you check truedelta (alot of time) is about 1 additional trip every other year. The very best cars seem to have reliability rates around 1 trip every other year. And the very worst have 1 trip every year or so. With computer design and Japanese style manufacturing - most car companies are fairly reliable. Fiat which rates way lower then either of those companies surprised the editors of car and driver with a perfect 40thousand mile run on its 500. They hated the car but it was reliable.

  • SixDucks SixDucks on Apr 17, 2013

    Volkswagen needs to focus on quality, at least here in the States. They need to get their act together or this new found success will be fleeting. My cousin bought a Jetta not too long ago (on my recommendation) and the car has had a number of issues. The worst was the creaking noise coming from the rear no one could figure out for the longest time. Turns out a number of spot welds were missed on the quarter panel. Seriously? BTW- I don't get the 'formally mighty' comment about GM. They still look pretty mighty to me.

  • CoastieLenn No idea why, but nothing about a 4Runner excites me post-2004. To me, they're peak "try-hard", even above the Wrangler and Gladiator.
  • AZFelix A well earned anniversary.Can they also attend to the Mach-E?
  • Jalop1991 The intermediate shaft and right front driveshaft may not be fully engaged due to suspected improper assembly by the supplier. Over time, partial engagement can cause damage to the intermediate shaft splines. Damaged shaft splines may result in unintended vehicle movement while in Park if the parking brake is not engagedGee, my Chrysler van automatically engages the parking brake when we put it in Park. Do you mean to tell me that the idjits at Kia, and the idjit buyers, couldn't figure out wanting this in THEIR MOST EXPENSIVE VEHICLE????
  • Dukeisduke I've been waiting to see if they were going to do something special for the 60th Anniversary. I was four years old when the Mustang was introduced. I can remember that one of our neighbors bought a '65 coupe (they were all titled as '65 models, even the '64-1/2 cars), and it's the first one I can remember seeing. In the '90s I knew an older gentleman that owned a '64-1/2 model coupe with the 260 V8.
  • SCE to AUX "...the complete Mustang model lineup to peruse"Will the fake Mustang show up, too?
Next