Japan In November 2012: Kei Cars Save The Month

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

Some forecasters expected Japan’s appetite for new cars to drop by more than 20 percent in the last quarter after government incentives expired in September. So far, it is not happening. Sales of new cars, trucks and buses declined a minuscule 0.4 percent in November. Elsewhere you may read that the market was down 3.3 percent, but they are not giving you the whole story. Sales of mini vehicles, or kei cars actually were up in November, pulling the market nearly completely out of minus territory.

Regular vehicle sales Japan November 2012ManufacturerNov ’12Nov ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYDaihatsu244296-17.6%2,7802,874-3.3%Hino3,5503,06815.7%38,46730,79224.9%Honda19,54932,777-40.4%405,018347,58716.5%Isuzu4,5564,1858.9%54,40037,80243.9%Lexus3,1623,795-16.7%40,69040,1231.4%Mazda10,63210,879-2.3%156,464135,23615.7%Mitsubishi5,2324,55015.0%56,88951,50510.5%Mitsubishi Fuso2,7063,159-14.3%31,83024,44830.2%Nissan34,64939,470-12.2%475,415411,81115.4%Subaru11,8874,841145.5%96,77866,95944.5%Suzuki5,2776,080-13.2%83,25971,00717.3%Toyota122,021120,3051.4%1,511,4101,056,10543.1%UD Trucks773955-19.1%8,3667,59310.2%Other19,73617,87610.4%214,079183,27216.8%Total243,974252,236-3.3%3,175,8452,467,11428.7%Data courtesy Japan Automobile Dealers Association

Sales of regular vehicles were down 3.3 percent to 243,974 units, the Japan Automobile Dealers Association JADA said today. Honda’s sales dropped an alarming 40.4 percent, those of Nissan are down 12.2 percent. Don’t be too alarmed about Honda, they made it more than up elsewhere …

Mini vehicle sales Japan November 2012ManufacturerNov ’12Nov ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYSuzuki45,27145,2430.1%549,571438,23725.4%Daihatsu46,89852,361-10.4%632,695497,82727.1%Mitsubishi5,2196,906-24.4%75,13285,945-12.6%Subaru3,2329,322-65.3%66,76776,289-12.5%Honda30,6018,150275.5%295,389114,486158.0%Mazda3,9653,9510.4%49,51042,55716.3%Nissan11,83515,336-22.8%145,395134,3998.2%Toyota2,9312,05942.4%40,8574,120891.7%Other163433.3%574042.5%Total149,968143,3314.6%1,855,3731,393,90033.1%Data courtesy Japan Mini Vehicles Association

Data provided by the Japan Mini Vehicle Association paint a different picture for kei cars. Honda tore into the kei car market with a number of (slightly) different NBOXes. Honda’s kei sales were up a huge 275.5 percent and helped lift the market for mini vehicles by 4.6 percent in November.

Total vehicle sales Japan November 2012ManufacturerNov ’12Nov ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYDaihatsu47,14252,657-10.5%635,475500,70126.9%Hino3,5503,06815.7%38,46730,79224.9%Honda50,15040,92722.5%700,407462,07351.6%Isuzu4,5564,1858.9%54,40037,80243.9%Lexus3,1623,795-16.7%40,69040,1231.4%Mazda14,59714,830-1.6%205,974177,79315.9%Mitsubishi10,45111,456-8.8%132,021137,450-3.9%Mitsubishi Fuso2,7063,159-14.3%31,83024,44830.2%Nissan46,48454,806-15.2%620,810546,21013.7%Subaru15,11914,1636.7%163,545143,24814.2%Suzuki50,54851,323-1.5%632,830509,24424.3%Toyota124,952122,3642.1%1,552,2671,060,22546.4%UD Trucks773955-19.1%8,3667,59310.2%Other19,75217,87910.5%214,136183,31216.8%Total393,942395,567-0.4%5,031,2183,861,01430.3%

Consolidated, it looks like this. The market is down only slightly. Nissan’s COO Toshiyuki Shiga said in a recent interview with The Nikkei [sub] that he thinks “sales declines in response to the end of the subsidy program should be limited.” And indeed, that appears to be the case.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Dave M. IMO this was the last of the solidly built MBs. Yes, they had the environmentally friendly disintegrating wiring harness, but besides that the mechanicals are pretty solid. I just bought my "forever" car (last new daily driver that'll ease me into retirement), but a 2015-16 E Class sedan is on my bucket list for future purchase. Beautiful design....
  • Rochester After years of self-driving being in the news, I still don't understand the psychology behind it. Not only don't I want this, but I find the idea absurd.
  • Douglas This timeframe of Mercedes has the self-disintegrating engine wiring harness. Not just the W124, but all of them from the early 90's. Only way to properly fix it is to replace it, which I understand to be difficult to find a new one/do it/pay for. Maybe others have actual experience with doing so and can give better hope. On top of that, it's a NH car with "a little bit of rust", which means to about anyone else in the USA it is probably the rustiest W124 they have ever seen. This is probably a $3000 car on a good day.
  • Formula m How many Hyundai and Kia’s do not have the original engine block it left the factory with 10yrs prior?
  • 1995 SC I will say that year 29 has been a little spendy on my car (Motor Mounts, Injectors and a Supercharger Service since it had to come off for the injectors, ABS Pump and the tool to cycle the valves to bleed the system, Front Calipers, rear pinion seal, transmission service with a new pan that has a drain, a gaggle of capacitors to fix the ride control module and a replacement amplifier for the stereo. Still needs an exhaust manifold gasket. The front end got serviced in year 28. On the plus side blank cassettes are increasingly easy to find so I have a solid collection of 90 minute playlists.
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