Official Statistics: Chinese Brands Big Winner Of Anti-Japanese Row

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

We have followed the effects of the Chinese boycott of Japanese products with great interest, especially when it came to cars. Encouraged by very strong sales of German brands, we declared them the winner of the war of words. It looks like we may have made a mistake. At least if we can trust official Chinese statistics.

Market share by country, passenger vehicles, w/o SUV

Market Share Passenger Vehicles w/o SUVsJulAugSeptOctJapan21.1%20.0%13.2%9.0%Germany25.1%25.8%24.1%27.0%U.S.A.16.0%16.6%17.1%17.0%S-Korea9.8%10.3%10.7%10.7%France3.7%3.7%4.6%4.7%China24.3%23.5%30.3%31.3%Source: CAAM

The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers CAAM publishes monthly sets of data covering the auto business in China.

The chart, based on CAAM numbers, depicts the rapid fall of formerly market-leading Japanese brands to levels just a little bit higher than French brands. As drastic as it is, it is not surprising i n light of news that major Japanese automakers lost nearly half of their sales in China, Cui bono? According to CAAM data, the market share of Chinese passenger vehicle brands (ex SUVs) jumped from 23.5 percent in August to 30.3 percent in September. We chose to ignore this, because in September, the market share of Chinese brands always jumps, only to resettle later.

In October however, the market share of Chinese brands climbed further to 31.3 percent. That while the market share of all Japanese brands in China careened from 21.1 percent in July to 9 percent in October.

Sure, German brands are up strongly, from 25.1 percent in July to 27 percent in October. However, according to these data, German brands actually saw a slight dip of market share in September. The market shares of U.S., South Korean, and French brands are up moderately.

And now the same exercise for passenger vehicles including SUVs.

Market share by country, passenger vehicles, w/ SUV

Market Share Passenger Vehicles w/ SUVsJulAugSeptOctJapan19.8%18.6%12.2%7.6%Germany20.4%20.8%19.3%21.6%U.S.A.11.8%12.3%12.8%12.5%S-Korea8.7%9.1%9.7%9.7%France2.6%2.7%3.3%3.3%China36.7%36.4%42.7%45.1%Source: CAAM

Market observers we asked don’t think it is plausible that Chinese Toyota buyers cross-shop Chery or Geely. But you never know. Maybe, the anti-Japanese fervor translated into a strong pro-Chinese brand sentiment. If this could prove true, it could spell the beginning of the end of the Chinese paradise for foreign brands. We keep an eye on these data and see whether the trend solidifies.

Note: Chinese domestic brands mostly are independently owned, whereas joint venture partners of foreign makers usually are state owned enterprises.


Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Wsn Wsn on Nov 13, 2012

    Qing Dynasty's demise started when they lost a naval battle with Japan. The current regime would be smarter than that. The island dispute has been there for many decades. It's not that things are getting worse, just how useful it is as a distraction of attention away from internal battles of the Chinese CCP. The whole thing will be forgotten in one year. Just like the SiChuan earthquake, or the Beijing Olympic. Who still remember those?

    • Blowfish Blowfish on Nov 13, 2012

      the mob control can be modulated by the higher up either to go full blown or disappear as fast as david copperfield done to the jumbo jet. is true many traders are planning to exit middle kingdom, but in reality is a love hate relationship. even back in those days ( 70s ) when USA was having a head to head war with MK in Naam, tricky Dick Nixon still decided to make deals with them. if u make things inside MK u save transporting costs, unless u discount that big market! so as a few manu are coming back to usa, reason is abundance of natural gas which can lowered the logistic cost. do read about some clothing manu moved to India , Pakistan , reason as cheaper labour costs , i take those goods are meant for market outside MK. MK is rife with corruption then not sure other countries be much better? Or mexico has a lot of population too & cheap labour, but workmanship & ethics werent the same.

  • Blowfish Blowfish on Nov 13, 2012

    Qing Dynasty’s demise started when they lost a naval battle with Japan that we maybe able to point all the blame to empress dowager, she mostly interested in decorating her yee wor garden, http://www.foreigners-in-china.com/beijing-china-travel.html she diverted all her mullas away from arming her country, say no to buying guns, cannons, war ships from the occidentals. middle kingdom has nobody but ourselves to blame.

  • Honda1 Unions were needed back in the early days, not needed know. There are plenty of rules and regulations and government agencies that keep companies in line. It's just a money grad and nothing more. Fain is a punk!
  • 1995 SC If the necessary number of employees vote to unionize then yes, they should be unionized. That's how it works.
  • Sobhuza Trooper That Dave Thomas fella sounds like the kind of twit who is oh-so-quick to tell us how easy and fun the bus is for any and all of your personal transportation needs. The time to get to and from the bus stop is never a concern. The time waiting for the bus is never a concern. The time waiting for a connection (if there is one) is never a concern. The weather is never a concern. Whatever you might be carrying or intend to purchase is never a concern. Nope, Boo Cars! Yeah Buses! Buses rule!Needless to say, these twits don't actual take the damn bus.
  • MaintenanceCosts Nobody here seems to acknowledge that there are multiple use cases for cars.Some people spend all their time driving all over the country and need every mile and minute of time savings. ICE cars are better for them right now.Some people only drive locally and fly when they travel. For them, there's probably a range number that works, and they don't really need more. For the uses for which we use our EV, that would be around 150 miles. The other thing about a low range requirement is it can make 120V charging viable. If you don't drive more than an average of about 40 miles/day, you can probably get enough electrons through a wall outlet. We spent over two years charging our Bolt only through 120V, while our house was getting rebuilt, and never had an issue.Those are extremes. There are all sorts of use cases in between, which probably represent the majority of drivers. For some users, what's needed is more range. But I think for most users, what's needed is better charging. Retrofit apartment garages like Tim's with 240V outlets at every spot. Install more L3 chargers in supermarket parking lots and alongside gas stations. Make chargers that work like Tesla Superchargers as ubiquitous as gas stations, and EV charging will not be an issue for most users.
  • MaintenanceCosts I don't have an opinion on whether any one plant unionizing is the right answer, but the employees sure need to have the right to organize. Unions or the credible threat of unionization are the only thing, history has proven, that can keep employers honest. Without it, we've seen over and over, the employers have complete power over the workers and feel free to exploit the workers however they see fit. (And don't tell me "oh, the workers can just leave" - in an oligopolistic industry, working conditions quickly converge, and there's not another employer right around the corner.)
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