Japan's Car Industry Climbs Out Of The Hole

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

The Japanese car industry is slowly but surely producing and exporting itself out of the huge hole caused by the March 11 tsunami. The Japanese domestic market remains where it was before the catastrophe: In the dumps. This is the bottom line of August production, export and domestic sales data released today by the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association.

Japanese production, exports and sales, August 2011

ManufacturerUnits producedChange YoYUnits exportedChange YoYUnits sold JPChange YoYTOYOTA252,37411.9%137,97719.8%98,376-24.4%NISSAN89,262-2.5%57,84834.1%44,537-19.2%MAZDA68,4495.6%58,47521.3%15,650-40.7%MITSUBISHI40,431-19.2%30,916-19.4%9,655-37.6%ISUZU13,456-11.9%9,772-16.0%5,10924.8%DAIHATSU49,0859.1%2,442-24.1%41,578-11.1%HONDA56,356-17.2%17,154-37.8%34,270-47.3%SUBARU28,665-14.2%18,310-5.6%10,972-22.0%UD TRUCKS1,970-16.9%1,141-8.2%8993.1%HINO9,69437.1%5,83114.4%4,06182.3%SUZUKI86,2155.9%20,002-2.0%43,118-6.0%MITSUBISHI FUSO7,94715.6%3,904-12.3%2,60915.3%LEXUS3,97767.2%Others19240.1%15,0274.3%TOTAL704,0961.8%363,7727.6%329,838-22.4%

For the first time in 11 months, Japan saw its domestic production rise by a modest 1.8 percent, but a rise is a rise. The rise goes mostly on account of Toyota and its Daihatsu and Hino divisions. All were up solidly. Production of Honda still has not quite recovered.

August exports of the Japanese car industry were 7.6 percent above August 2010. Again, Toyota carried most of the weight here, followed by Mazda and Nissan.

Sales in Japan are a completely different animal. They are grim. Trucks are up. Japan still needs a lot of them. The “others” column under sales refers to imports. They are up, too. September sales should be here by Monday.

From what I am hearing from Japan’s majors, the big turnaround in production and exports will gather steam in the last quarter 2011 and Q1 2012, with commensurate rises in exports. But will they make money? The dollar still fetches only 76 yen, and at that rate, nearly every car exported from Japan is exported at a loss.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Alluster Alluster on Sep 30, 2011

    Good to see most Japanese automakers get their production to pre quake levels, esp. Toyota even though they are exporting more cars at what could be the worst time ever. For Aug, the Yen was at the highest monthly average since World war 2. Toyota had two options, increase manufacturing and export vehicles at a huge loss or risk losing market share overseas.

  • Lorenzo Yes, they can recover from the Ghosn-led corporate types who cheapened vehicles in the worst ways, including quality control. In the early to mid-1990s Nissan had efficient engines, and reliable drivetrains in well-assembled, fairly durable vehicles. They can do it again, but the Japanese government will have to help Nissan extricate itself from the "Alliance". It's too bad Japan didn't have a George Washington to warn about entangling alliances!
  • Slavuta Nissan + profitability = cheap crap
  • ToolGuy Why would they change the grille?
  • Oberkanone Nissan proved it can skillfully put new frosting on an old cake with Frontier and Z. Yet, Nissan dealers are so broken they are not good at selling the Frontier. Z production is so minimal I've yet to see one. Could Nissan boost sales? Sure. I've heard Nissan plans to regain share at the low end of the market. Kicks, Versa and lower priced trims of their mainstream SUV's. I just don't see dealerships being motivated to support this effort. Nissan is just about as exciting and compelling as a CVT.
  • ToolGuy Anyone who knows, is this the (preliminary) work of the Ford Skunk Works?
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