New Car Sales Europe 2010: Down A Bit After Uncle Sugar High

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

Europe’s car manufacturer association ACEA finally got around to tallying-up the car sales in all 27 EU states, and while they were at it, those of the EFTA (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) as well. Overall, the EU market is down 5.5 percent – compared to 2009. In 2009 many EU states had pushed up the market with generous cash for clunker money. Most of these programs came to an end in 2010, just not at the same time everywhere. The picture tells it best.

From country to country, it’s a mixed bag. The countries that had clunker programs look bad in comparison, but keep in mind, some of them had been on such an uncle sugar high in 2009 that one could scratch them from the ceiling. The countries that didn’t have programs suffered in 2009, and look peachy this year.

Actually, Europe’s “volume markets”, Germany, Italy, France, UK, are responsible for most of the drop. All had cash for clunker programs. Germany had the most massive program. Germans usually buy 3 million cars a year. During 2009, with the program in effect until late summer, Germans bought 3.8 million cars. In 2010, they were back to 2.9 million. Without that 890,000 unit difference, Europe would report a gain. Italy also discontinued a program to the tune of 200,000 units less in 2010. France showed expertise with addictive substances and weened its populace off slowly. The UK actually shows a small gain.

All in all, the cash for clunker programs were a success. Europe survived carmageddon with minor bruises. In 2008, 14.3 million new cars were sold in the EU27. In 2009, it was 14.1 million. In 2010, it was 13.4 million. Keeping in mind that many had predicted that the EU would fall apart, that’s not a bad series of numbers.

New Car sales EU 27 2010CountrySales 2010Percent changeAUSTRIA328,563+2.9BELGIUM547,347+14.9BULGARIA16,257-28.9CZECH REPUBLIC169,236+4.7DENMARK151,550+34.8ESTONIA8,848+7.5FINLAND111,968+23.6FRANCE2,251,669-2.2GERMANY2,916,260-23.4GREECE141,499-35.8HUNGARY45,081-25.1IRELAND88,373+54.7ITALY1,960,282-9.2LATVIA4,976+32.9LITHUANIA7,970+13.8LUXEMBURG49,726+5.2NETHERLANDS483,619+24.9POLAND333,539+4.1PORTUGAL223,491+38.8ROMANIA94,541-18.5SLOVAKIA64,033-14.3SLOVENIA59,226+6.3SPAIN982,015+3.1SWEDEN289,684+35.7UNITED KINGDOM2,030,846+1.8EU 2713,360,599-5.5

On the manufacturer front, not much has changed. VW remains the unassailable king of the hill. Considering that Opel had been pronounced as good as dead, GM performed well and increased its market share from 8.4 percent to 10, putting Ford into 5th place. Fiat is hurting. BMW is recovering. Daimler is treading water.

All data can be found here as PDF and here as Excel spreadsheet.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

More by Bertel Schmitt

Comments
Join the conversation
 3 comments
  • Mike978 Mike978 on Jan 14, 2011

    Good to see the data. Also interesting that cash for clunkers did seem to work - maybe some Government intervention isn`t always bad/evil! Interesting that GM grew well even with the loss of Saab (admittedly only 0.1% loss from Saab). Also surprised to see Lexus only sold 17000 vehicles in the whole of Europe in the whole of 2010 - so much for the much vaunted brand. Hyundai/Kia now easily outsell Toyota/Lexus and Honda is an also ran with 1.3%. I am surprised though by Ford's drop especially as they have a pretty good line up of cars.

    • Kamiller42 Kamiller42 on Jan 17, 2011

      Government intervention isn't always bad/evil depending on what is taking place, at what cost, and in what land. Gov intervention may work better in lands where the people are more apt to do something when government gets involved. And, given its structure, they are more willing and able to accept the costs. Lastly, don't forget this part... "The countries that had clunker programs look bad in comparison, but keep in mind, some of them had been on such an uncle sugar high in 2009 that one could scratch them from the ceiling. The countries that didn’t have programs suffered in 2009, and look peachy this year."

  • NN NN on Jan 14, 2011

    Great data...it's always interesting to see this kind of info

  • FreedMike I would find it hard to believe that Tesla spent time and money on developing a cheaper model, only to toss that aside in favor of a tech that may or may not ever work right. Having said that, though, I think what's happening with Tesla is something I've been predicting for a long time - they have competition now. That's reflected in their market share. Moreover, their designs are more than a bit stale now - the youngest model is the Model Y, which is in its' fifth model year. And it's hard to believe the Model 3 is in its' seventh model year. Aside from an interior restyle on the Model 3, neither of those cars looks substantially different than they did when they came on the market. And you can also toss in Tesla's penchant for unnecessary weirdness as a liability - when the Model 3 and Y were introduced, there was no real competition for either, so people had to put up with the ergonomic stupidity and the weird styling to get an electric compact sedan or crossover. Today, there's no shortage of alternatives to either model, and while Tesla still holds an edge in battery and EV tech, the competition is catching up. So...a stale model lineup, acceptable alternatives...and of course, the gift that keeps on giving (Elon Musk's demon brain) have cut their market share, and they have to cut prices to stay competitive. No wonder they're struggling.
  • EBFlex “Tesla’s first-quarter net income dropped a whopping 55 percent”That’s staggering and not an indicator of a market with insatiable demand. These golf cart manufacturers are facing a dark future.
  • MrIcky 2014 Challenger- 97k miles, on 4th set of regular tires and 2nd set of winter tires. 7qts of synthetic every 5k miles. Diff and manual transmission fluid every 30k. aFe dry filter cone wastefully changed yearly but it feels good. umm. cabin filters every so often? Still has original battery. At 100k, it's tune up time, coolant, and I'll have them change the belts and radiator hoses. I have no idea what that totals up to. Doesn't feel excessive.2022 Jeep Gladiator - 15k miles. No maintenance costs yet, going in for my 3rd oil change in next week or so. All my other costs have been optional, so not really maintenance
  • Jalop1991 I always thought the Vinfast name was strange; it should be a used car search site or something.
  • Theflyersfan Here's the link to the VinFast release: https://vingroup.net/en/news/detail/3080/vinfast-officially-signs-agreements-with-12-new-dealers-in-the-usI was looking to see where they are setting up in Kentucky...Bowling Green? Interesting... Surprised it wasn't Louisville or Northern Kentucky. When Tesla opened up the Louisville dealer around 2019 (I believe), sales here exploded and they popped up in a lot of neighborhoods. People had to go to Indy or Cincinnati/Blue Ash to get one. If they manage to salvage their reputation after that quality disaster-filled intro a few months back, they might have a chance. But are people going to be willing to spend over $45,000 for an unknown Vietnamese brand with a puny dealer/service network? And their press photo - oh look, more white generic looking CUVs. Good luck guys. Your launch is going to have to be Lexus in 1989/1990 perfect. Otherwise, let me Google "History of Yugo in the United States" as a reference point.
Next