GM Eyed Hong Kong IPO Listing, SAIC Interested In Stake

Edward Niedermeyer
by Edward Niedermeyer

From a week deep in our “How The Hell Did We Miss That” file comes a Reuters report that shows GM considered floating its IPO on the Hong Kong Hang Seng index. GM’s interest in a Hong Kong float has obvious roots: the company is extremely well-positioned in China, where high savings rates and the prospect of steady local sales growth could have helped bring in both private investors and GM’s partner firms. But according to a Reuters source, GM rejected the idea because it would have delayed the IPO past its Thanksgiving deadline

I don’t think signaling goodwill toward Asia is likely to be a significant enough argument for all the cost and complexity. I don’t want to overstate the cost and complexity but it’s not insignificant

But another issue in GM’s decision had to be the possibility of political blowback: though a smaller IPO risks a smaller payback for American taxpayers’ investment in GM, if a Chinese firm ended up with a major stake in GM, opponents could well have charged that the bailout resulted in a giveaway to foreigners (as was the case with Fiat’s takeover of Chrysler). And the role of politics in GM’s IPO planning should not be underestimated. According to a Reuters source, GM’s listing on the Toronto stock exchange is of no real value to the IPO, but

It’s a big thank you to the Canadian government for their role in supporting GM… There’s no logic behind listing in Toronto other than the political factors — none

Meanwhile, the New York-Toronto listing might not prevent a major Chinese ownership stake in GM post-IPO. Hu Maoyuan, chairman of GM’s Chinese partner SAIC, tells the FT that his firm

will watch GM’s IPO closely, and think carefully if we should purchase the shares or not.

SAIC recently bought out the controlling stake in its GM Shanghai joint venture with GM, and took over GM’s Indian operations. This partnership makes SAIC the most logical foreign investor in GM, but once again politics may limit SAIC’s involvement in the offering. Bill Russo, head of the Synergistics auto consultancy in Beijing explains

It becomes an emotional issue that somehow the identity of GM would be transformed from a North American-centred to an Asian-centred company… But that is happening anyway – the global centre of gravity of the auto industry is shifting to Asia

Another anonymous investor adds

I am absolutely certain they would love to have a share . . . but they do not want to upset the US about this.

On the other hand, the early days of GM’s IPO could see some US government-spurred irrational exuberance, and when reality sinks in, SAIC could well end up buying a big GM stake off the open market. After all, once the government releases its shares, it loses its ability to pick nix possible buyers for political reasons. Though GM has anti-takeover rules in its new Delaware-based corporate structure, an acquisition by a partner like SAIC would be considered friendly. And, in many ways, common sense. Though GM’s IPO may not immediately lead to a Chinese ownership stake, greater Chinese ownership of the bailed-out firm seems extremely likely over the medium-to-long term.

Edward Niedermeyer
Edward Niedermeyer

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  • Wallstreet Wallstreet on Aug 27, 2010

    Gang ! Who here will buy GM common stock? I've high interest on the short side.

  • BDB BDB on Aug 27, 2010

    The Chinese takeover won't happen, but part of me wishes it would just to see the reactions from Bertel Schmitt on one end of the spectrum and Silvy on the other! One will need Lithium, the other, Prozac. If on the very off possibility it does, expect Ford to pick up a big chunk of GM's North American market share. For those that weren't turned off by the bailout, they will be turned off by foreign, especially Chinese, ownership. If it comes to pass their biggest mistake will have been not hooking up with Nissan-Renault when they had the chance.

    • See 4 previous
    • Porschespeed Porschespeed on Aug 28, 2010

      I agree about shoes and such. But, I've found my Harbor Freight drill/mill and HF lathe to be close enough to Brown&Sharpe not to matter. No, they aren't made as well. No, they aren't as accurate. But in the world of 10thousandths, they are close enough for most automotive projects.

  • Master Baiter "That said, the Inflation Reduction Act apparently does run afoul of WTO rules..."Pfft. The Biden administration doesn't care about rules. The Supreme Court said they couldn't forgive student load debt; they did it anyway. Decorum and tradition says you don't prosecute former presidents; they are doing it anyway. They made the CDC suspend evictions though they had no constitutional authority to do so.
  • 1995 SC Good. To misquote Sheryl Crow "If it makes them unhappy, it can't be that bad"
  • 1995 SC The letters on the hatch aren't big enough. hard pass
  • Ajla Those letters look like they are from AutoZone.
  • Analoggrotto Kia EV9 was voted the best vehicle in the world and this is the best TOYOTA can do? Nice try, next.
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