Comments on: Return of the Double Digit SAAR? http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/return-of-the-double-digit-saar/ The Truth About Cars is dedicated to providing candid, unbiased automobile reviews and the latest in auto industry news. Sun, 22 Nov 2009 12:34:35 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: Kristjan Ambroz http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/return-of-the-double-digit-saar/comment-page-1/#comment-1506914 Kristjan Ambroz Fri, 03 Jul 2009 09:37:13 +0000 http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=320940#comment-1506914 I was just about to make the same comment but got beaten to it :) Although if we are going by that model Saar, the bottom is still far away ;) On a more serious note, unless the overall stock of cars starts falling in the coming years or people do change their car owning habits significantly, a 10 million SAAR is too low, leading to replacement times of around 25 years (car in the stock of cars in the country, not with the same owner necessarily). Countries one could compare it with, such as Germany have a replacement time of 16 or so years - closer to a 15-16 million SAAR. Obviously, given that the car penetration in the US is very high, it would not be unreasonable to expect a drop in the overall stock over the coming years as well. I was just about to make the same comment but got beaten to it :) Although if we are going by that model Saar, the bottom is still far away ;)

On a more serious note, unless the overall stock of cars starts falling in the coming years or people do change their car owning habits significantly, a 10 million SAAR is too low, leading to replacement times of around 25 years (car in the stock of cars in the country, not with the same owner necessarily). Countries one could compare it with, such as Germany have a replacement time of 16 or so years – closer to a 15-16 million SAAR. Obviously, given that the car penetration in the US is very high, it would not be unreasonable to expect a drop in the overall stock over the coming years as well.

]]> By: JohnHowardOxley http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/return-of-the-double-digit-saar/comment-page-1/#comment-1504433 JohnHowardOxley Sat, 27 Jun 2009 02:11:41 +0000 http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=320940#comment-1504433 Love the picture! I just wonder how many of the B & B who don't have a copy of _Jane's Fighting Ships_ will get the reference. Love the picture! I just wonder how many of the B & B who don’t have a copy of _Jane’s Fighting Ships_ will get the reference.

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