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	<title>Comments on: Editorial: General Motors Death Watch 217: Let The Run Begin</title>
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		<title>By: 50merc</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-974482</link>
		<dc:creator>50merc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 21:39:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-974482</guid>
		<description>ZoomZoom: &quot;Thinking of factories as profit centers has brought the D3 to the brink.&quot;

Chuckle. This reminds me of when my father ran the hardware department of a Montgomery Ward store. (Remember Monkey Ward?) Having been an electrician, he developed a good deal of business with small contractors who would come in for a reel of Romex or a breaker box.

Then Wards built some big new distribution centers. Very snazzy warehouses. The distribution centers were most efficient when handling large quantities. Management was eager to show the company&#039;s investment in new warehouses was paying off. My dad was told he no longer could order, say, six or a dozen breaker boxes at a time; he&#039;d have to order a pallet&#039;s worth. Well, there was no way one retail store could stockpile such a large amount of inventory. So he had to give up the trade with contractors.

In a way, Detroit is like Monkey Ward, oriented to its costs rather than its customers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->ZoomZoom: &#8220;Thinking of factories as profit centers has brought the D3 to the brink.&#8221;</p>
<p>Chuckle. This reminds me of when my father ran the hardware department of a Montgomery Ward store. (Remember Monkey Ward?) Having been an electrician, he developed a good deal of business with small contractors who would come in for a reel of Romex or a breaker box.</p>
<p>Then Wards built some big new distribution centers. Very snazzy warehouses. The distribution centers were most efficient when handling large quantities. Management was eager to show the company&#8217;s investment in new warehouses was paying off. My dad was told he no longer could order, say, six or a dozen breaker boxes at a time; he&#8217;d have to order a pallet&#8217;s worth. Well, there was no way one retail store could stockpile such a large amount of inventory. So he had to give up the trade with contractors.</p>
<p>In a way, Detroit is like Monkey Ward, oriented to its costs rather than its customers.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: ZoomZoom</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-973102</link>
		<dc:creator>ZoomZoom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-973102</guid>
		<description>&quot;fill-in-the-blank is impossible&quot;.

This is the logic which has brought the D3 to the brink.

Thinking of factories as profit centers has brought the D3 to the brink.

Refusal to eliminate brands or at least brand cannibalism has broght the D3 to the brink.

It&#039;s past time for real leadership.  There&#039;s no room for &quot;we can&#039;t do that because it&#039;s impossible&quot;, unless one is willing to admit that turnaround and recovery is impossible.

Every day where C11 does not happen will bring the D3 closer to C7, therefore making this truly a Deathwatch.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->&#8220;fill-in-the-blank is impossible&#8221;.</p>
<p>This is the logic which has brought the D3 to the brink.</p>
<p>Thinking of factories as profit centers has brought the D3 to the brink.</p>
<p>Refusal to eliminate brands or at least brand cannibalism has broght the D3 to the brink.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s past time for real leadership.  There&#8217;s no room for &#8220;we can&#8217;t do that because it&#8217;s impossible&#8221;, unless one is willing to admit that turnaround and recovery is impossible.</p>
<p>Every day where C11 does not happen will bring the D3 closer to C7, therefore making this truly a Deathwatch.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Geotpf</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972542</link>
		<dc:creator>Geotpf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:27:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972542</guid>
		<description>Eliminating Mercury at Ford or Pontiac/Buick/GMC at GM is impossible.  The products that PBG sells help keep factories that build Chevys and Caddys in business-if PBG products represents 30% of a factory&#039;s production, that factory can&#039;t be profitable with those products gone.  (That is, the Pontiac G5 and the Chevy Cobalt are basically the same car and are built at the same factory.  If Pontiac goes away, that factory starts to become really unprofitable due to the loss of sales of the G5.)  Mercury has the same problem with Ford, plus the fact that most Lincoln dealers are also Mercury dealers-if you eliminate Mercury, those dealer&#039;s sales go down by 50% and most of them will close, killing Lincoln as well.  And I haven&#039;t even mentioned dealer bribes that most states&#039; law will require to be paid for those dealers to be shut down (although a bankruptcy would clear the way for those-but it would also reduce sales by a lot because people won&#039;t buy from a bankrupt automaker).

Now, I can see selling or closing down Saab and Hummer today, and closing Saturn down in a few years once their current batch of products need to be redesigned.  But that&#039;s it; and those brands aren&#039;t big enough to really solve much.

Eliminating brands is not the solution.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Eliminating Mercury at Ford or Pontiac/Buick/GMC at GM is impossible.  The products that PBG sells help keep factories that build Chevys and Caddys in business-if PBG products represents 30% of a factory&#8217;s production, that factory can&#8217;t be profitable with those products gone.  (That is, the Pontiac G5 and the Chevy Cobalt are basically the same car and are built at the same factory.  If Pontiac goes away, that factory starts to become really unprofitable due to the loss of sales of the G5.)  Mercury has the same problem with Ford, plus the fact that most Lincoln dealers are also Mercury dealers-if you eliminate Mercury, those dealer&#8217;s sales go down by 50% and most of them will close, killing Lincoln as well.  And I haven&#8217;t even mentioned dealer bribes that most states&#8217; law will require to be paid for those dealers to be shut down (although a bankruptcy would clear the way for those-but it would also reduce sales by a lot because people won&#8217;t buy from a bankrupt automaker).</p>
<p>Now, I can see selling or closing down Saab and Hummer today, and closing Saturn down in a few years once their current batch of products need to be redesigned.  But that&#8217;s it; and those brands aren&#8217;t big enough to really solve much.</p>
<p>Eliminating brands is not the solution.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: ferrarimanf355</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972531</link>
		<dc:creator>ferrarimanf355</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:21:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972531</guid>
		<description>CarPerson,

You forgot about Saab. It should be sold off to someone who will take care of it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->CarPerson,</p>
<p>You forgot about Saab. It should be sold off to someone who will take care of it.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: RickCanadian</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972511</link>
		<dc:creator>RickCanadian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972511</guid>
		<description>Ken,
Just a few lines to say, an excellent piece. Calling apples apples and oranges oranges. I wish I could read something at least partially as well informed and straightforward in the MSM. I just may add the irony that, going into the congressional hearing, it really looked like the Big 2.8 would get some kind of grudging bailout, but the performance by the 3 stooges + Getthemiddlefinger really killed Detroit&#039;s hopes. Actually I believe that Mullally was the best of the pack (not that he was great or anything), and that together with situation at Ford makes me think: wouldn&#039;t Ford be better off by presenting their own case individually, not having GM and the other losers next to them? I mean, the only one in the pack with something remotely similar to a fighting chance of survival is Ford. Showing up with GM and Chrysler will only encourage a run on Ford as well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Ken,<br />
Just a few lines to say, an excellent piece. Calling apples apples and oranges oranges. I wish I could read something at least partially as well informed and straightforward in the MSM. I just may add the irony that, going into the congressional hearing, it really looked like the Big 2.8 would get some kind of grudging bailout, but the performance by the 3 stooges + Getthemiddlefinger really killed Detroit&#8217;s hopes. Actually I believe that Mullally was the best of the pack (not that he was great or anything), and that together with situation at Ford makes me think: wouldn&#8217;t Ford be better off by presenting their own case individually, not having GM and the other losers next to them? I mean, the only one in the pack with something remotely similar to a fighting chance of survival is Ford. Showing up with GM and Chrysler will only encourage a run on Ford as well.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: menno</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972432</link>
		<dc:creator>menno</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:09:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972432</guid>
		<description>Well, windwards, that&#039;s why it&#039;s called a run on the bank.  The first guy there gets his money out.  Next in line, gets all his money out.  Next, few dozen too.  After that, the bank might say &quot;we just put a policy into effect - you may have 1/2 your money today and 1/2 later.&quot;  After THAT word gets out, and the lines start to form around the block (and the TV crews arrive), the story changes to &quot;sorry, only $50 per customer withdrawal, thanks.&quot;  

Next thing you know, you have a bank collapse.

But the few guys who showed up first, got their money out.  

Kapische?  It doesn&#039;t have to make total sense (yeah, a run on GM will possibly bring down multiple suppliers) - it&#039;s called &quot;a panic&quot; for a reason.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Well, windwards, that&#8217;s why it&#8217;s called a run on the bank.  The first guy there gets his money out.  Next in line, gets all his money out.  Next, few dozen too.  After that, the bank might say &#8220;we just put a policy into effect &#8211; you may have 1/2 your money today and 1/2 later.&#8221;  After THAT word gets out, and the lines start to form around the block (and the TV crews arrive), the story changes to &#8220;sorry, only $50 per customer withdrawal, thanks.&#8221;  </p>
<p>Next thing you know, you have a bank collapse.</p>
<p>But the few guys who showed up first, got their money out.  </p>
<p>Kapische?  It doesn&#8217;t have to make total sense (yeah, a run on GM will possibly bring down multiple suppliers) &#8211; it&#8217;s called &#8220;a panic&#8221; for a reason.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: windswords</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972351</link>
		<dc:creator>windswords</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 14:46:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972351</guid>
		<description>Maybe I&#039;m missing something here but if any supplier demands COD from any automaker doesn&#039;t that start a chain reaction that will cause the house of cards to come down? If it forces GM into BR, doesn&#039;t that mean many suppliers will go under? And if those suppliers feed the Tier 1 guys doesn&#039;t that threaten them too? And if GM files doesn&#039;t that force Chrysler and Ford to do the same? 

This is what we&#039;ve been told. Is it not so? If it is true would any supplier be so stupid as to get the ball rolling before at least waiting until the big O takes office to see what&#039;s going to happen? Are the suppliers stupid or is the whole line of the interelationship of the suppliers and the manufactures not true? I had heard that even Toyota and Honda were woried about Big 3 BR because it would adversely affect the suppy base. So what&#039;s the Truth About Suppliers?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Maybe I&#8217;m missing something here but if any supplier demands COD from any automaker doesn&#8217;t that start a chain reaction that will cause the house of cards to come down? If it forces GM into BR, doesn&#8217;t that mean many suppliers will go under? And if those suppliers feed the Tier 1 guys doesn&#8217;t that threaten them too? And if GM files doesn&#8217;t that force Chrysler and Ford to do the same? </p>
<p>This is what we&#8217;ve been told. Is it not so? If it is true would any supplier be so stupid as to get the ball rolling before at least waiting until the big O takes office to see what&#8217;s going to happen? Are the suppliers stupid or is the whole line of the interelationship of the suppliers and the manufactures not true? I had heard that even Toyota and Honda were woried about Big 3 BR because it would adversely affect the suppy base. So what&#8217;s the Truth About Suppliers?<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: mikey</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972171</link>
		<dc:creator>mikey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 14:04:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972171</guid>
		<description>Right you are Dr no.In the next 2 weeks a lot is 
gonn&#039;a happen behind the scenes.I will predict the UAW/CAW changing the contracts again.You will see a whole different side of the top management.
I,ll bet the PR people are working on that one right now.

 With the world/US economy where it is right now,even the most half assed plan from Detroit will get passed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Right you are Dr no.In the next 2 weeks a lot is<br />
gonn&#8217;a happen behind the scenes.I will predict the UAW/CAW changing the contracts again.You will see a whole different side of the top management.<br />
I,ll bet the PR people are working on that one right now.</p>
<p> With the world/US economy where it is right now,even the most half assed plan from Detroit will get passed.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: jerry weber</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-972132</link>
		<dc:creator>jerry weber</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 13:59:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-972132</guid>
		<description>There is talk on some web sites of a government backed packaged chapter 11 for GM and Chrysler. The idea is that only by having the protection of bankruptcy can these companies make the radical necessary changes with products, unions, dealers etc. Thus, the government money would be spent on a crash downsizing that has the potential to bring back out of bankrupcy smaller, leaner. ready to compete car companies. 

The alternative is the hostage situation that the Detroit three are now using. ie. pay us or we take the middle class down with us. The problem with this short term approach is that in six months it will be another chorus of the same. 

Further, if this recession is long and deep, there will be countless additions to the loans now that the middle class is under the protection of Detroit&#039;s domestic car makers. This is a step towards socialism and de facto nationalization of the car industry (and who knows what other industries besides banks). Even in the depths of WWll, Uncle Sam did not nationalize industry.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->There is talk on some web sites of a government backed packaged chapter 11 for GM and Chrysler. The idea is that only by having the protection of bankruptcy can these companies make the radical necessary changes with products, unions, dealers etc. Thus, the government money would be spent on a crash downsizing that has the potential to bring back out of bankrupcy smaller, leaner. ready to compete car companies. </p>
<p>The alternative is the hostage situation that the Detroit three are now using. ie. pay us or we take the middle class down with us. The problem with this short term approach is that in six months it will be another chorus of the same. </p>
<p>Further, if this recession is long and deep, there will be countless additions to the loans now that the middle class is under the protection of Detroit&#8217;s domestic car makers. This is a step towards socialism and de facto nationalization of the car industry (and who knows what other industries besides banks). Even in the depths of WWll, Uncle Sam did not nationalize industry.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: f1guyus</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971882</link>
		<dc:creator>f1guyus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 11:26:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971882</guid>
		<description>Lot of big picture stuff in this post and in the comments. Here&#039;s a little story from the street. My son is a sales rep with a large western territory, he travels a lot and rents a lot of cars, mostly mid size sedans.  Last year his flight to Denver was late and when he got to the rental car desk they gave him what they had left which was a brand new Caddy. He left the airport and at the first traffic light all the electrics died. Took some time to replace the car, he got to his hotel late and had an early appointment with a major client. Guess which brand of car now has a line drawn through it and which rental car company lost his business.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Lot of big picture stuff in this post and in the comments. Here&#8217;s a little story from the street. My son is a sales rep with a large western territory, he travels a lot and rents a lot of cars, mostly mid size sedans.  Last year his flight to Denver was late and when he got to the rental car desk they gave him what they had left which was a brand new Caddy. He left the airport and at the first traffic light all the electrics died. Took some time to replace the car, he got to his hotel late and had an early appointment with a major client. Guess which brand of car now has a line drawn through it and which rental car company lost his business.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Campisi</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971792</link>
		<dc:creator>Campisi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 08:44:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971792</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Hard-pressed suppliers and creditors will force GM to do what must be done: Chapter 11.&lt;/i&gt;

Ten bucks says GM will still be here by January.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start --><i>Hard-pressed suppliers and creditors will force GM to do what must be done: Chapter 11.</i></p>
<p>Ten bucks says GM will still be here by January.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: knowhereman</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971771</link>
		<dc:creator>knowhereman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 08:14:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971771</guid>
		<description>maybe firing the 32 pilots GM has, sacking the 40 something Flight Attendants and ground crews (both day and night shifts) might help a little. Paying 32 pilots commercial airline rates must be a drain on the company. I work for GM and I am sooooooo sick and tired of them I hope the Rencen collapses with Maximum, Red Ink Prick and all of the board in the building.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->maybe firing the 32 pilots GM has, sacking the 40 something Flight Attendants and ground crews (both day and night shifts) might help a little. Paying 32 pilots commercial airline rates must be a drain on the company. I work for GM and I am sooooooo sick and tired of them I hope the Rencen collapses with Maximum, Red Ink Prick and all of the board in the building.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Ken Elias</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971752</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken Elias</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 07:57:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971752</guid>
		<description>Bridge2far - It&#039;s an easy guarantee to make.  In fact, it&#039;s a no brainer.  But I didn&#039;t say &quot;imminent.&quot;  It&#039;s contingent on the Federal Government handout - no loans from the Feds, and the run begins. GM pays out roughly $10 billion/month or to suppliers/labor (that&#039;s a late night estimate without checking the fact).  These suppliers read the newspaper too - and all watched the debacle on the Hill this week.  If you were owed millions of bucks, wouldn&#039;t you demand payment on past invoices immediately before you shipped one more part if there&#039;s no fresh cash to GM or Chrysler?

I give Nancy Pelosi a lot of credit for her decision today to hold off for the time being.  But if December comes - and no loans are forthcoming - the run will start within hours, if not minutes.  That you can take to the bank!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Bridge2far &#8211; It&#8217;s an easy guarantee to make.  In fact, it&#8217;s a no brainer.  But I didn&#8217;t say &#8220;imminent.&#8221;  It&#8217;s contingent on the Federal Government handout &#8211; no loans from the Feds, and the run begins. GM pays out roughly $10 billion/month or to suppliers/labor (that&#8217;s a late night estimate without checking the fact).  These suppliers read the newspaper too &#8211; and all watched the debacle on the Hill this week.  If you were owed millions of bucks, wouldn&#8217;t you demand payment on past invoices immediately before you shipped one more part if there&#8217;s no fresh cash to GM or Chrysler?</p>
<p>I give Nancy Pelosi a lot of credit for her decision today to hold off for the time being.  But if December comes &#8211; and no loans are forthcoming &#8211; the run will start within hours, if not minutes.  That you can take to the bank!<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: ihatetrees</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971621</link>
		<dc:creator>ihatetrees</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 05:13:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971621</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Bridge2far:
So, you “guarantee” bankruptcy is imminent. Bold statement. Just wondering? What are your ramifications if you are wrong? Just as I thought. Zero!&lt;/i&gt;

No. Mr Elias has never used that word before. If this doesn&#039;t come to pass, many of us B&amp;B types (especially OCD types like me) would make so many snide comments (within posting guidelines, of course), that Mr&lt;strike&gt;Chapter 11. I guarantee it.&lt;/strike&gt;Elias would have to stop writing. And join the French Foreign Legion...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start --><i>Bridge2far:<br />
So, you “guarantee” bankruptcy is imminent. Bold statement. Just wondering? What are your ramifications if you are wrong? Just as I thought. Zero!</i></p>
<p>No. Mr Elias has never used that word before. If this doesn&#8217;t come to pass, many of us B&amp;B types (especially OCD types like me) would make so many snide comments (within posting guidelines, of course), that Mr<strike>Chapter 11. I guarantee it.</strike>Elias would have to stop writing. And join the French Foreign Legion&#8230;<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Facebook User</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971602</link>
		<dc:creator>Facebook User</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 04:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971602</guid>
		<description>So, you &quot;guarantee&quot; bankruptcy is imminent. Bold statement. Just wondering? What are your ramifications if you are wrong? Just as I thought. Zero!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->So, you &#8220;guarantee&#8221; bankruptcy is imminent. Bold statement. Just wondering? What are your ramifications if you are wrong? Just as I thought. Zero!<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: toxicroach</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971491</link>
		<dc:creator>toxicroach</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 04:07:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971491</guid>
		<description>Hey I have an idea!

Have the government buy 1.25 million Malibus, warehouse them and use them as government vehicles until 2108.



No seriously, wait until a less bad time?

When precisely would that be?  It&#039;d be terrible to let GM die during a recovery.... be worse to kill a boom period and start a recession, and we can&#039;t do it during a recession.

There is no good time for this shit.  Might as well be now and save a 100 billion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Hey I have an idea!</p>
<p>Have the government buy 1.25 million Malibus, warehouse them and use them as government vehicles until 2108.</p>
<p>No seriously, wait until a less bad time?</p>
<p>When precisely would that be?  It&#8217;d be terrible to let GM die during a recovery&#8230;. be worse to kill a boom period and start a recession, and we can&#8217;t do it during a recession.</p>
<p>There is no good time for this shit.  Might as well be now and save a 100 billion.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Your old pal Bob</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971472</link>
		<dc:creator>Your old pal Bob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 03:55:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971472</guid>
		<description>As my favorite Vulcan &lt;a href=&quot;http://memory-alpha.org/en/wiki/The_Galileo_Seven_(episode)&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;once said&lt;/a&gt;, &quot;Mister Scott, there are always options.&quot; Here&#039;s a 55-gallon drum of crazy...

GMAC has &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iOjIrzF7Cg9ykxRQJzHVv05XyElQD94ITA4O0&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;applied to become a bank&lt;/a&gt;. Heellloo TARP! &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2008/11/hear_dancing_with_detroit.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;NPR&#039;s Planet Money podcast&lt;/a&gt; today even implied that GM could wait out the &quot;two year transition period&quot; before they&#039;d have to stop selling cars before they&#039;d be forced to, you know, be a bank. Of course, they could sell their remaining piece of GMAC before then, right?

Good lord, people.

- Your old pal Bob</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->As my favorite Vulcan <a href="http://memory-alpha.org/en/wiki/The_Galileo_Seven_(episode)" rel="nofollow">once said</a>, &#8220;Mister Scott, there are always options.&#8221; Here&#8217;s a 55-gallon drum of crazy&#8230;</p>
<p>GMAC has <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iOjIrzF7Cg9ykxRQJzHVv05XyElQD94ITA4O0" rel="nofollow">applied to become a bank</a>. Heellloo TARP! <a href="http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2008/11/hear_dancing_with_detroit.html" rel="nofollow">NPR&#8217;s Planet Money podcast</a> today even implied that GM could wait out the &#8220;two year transition period&#8221; before they&#8217;d have to stop selling cars before they&#8217;d be forced to, you know, be a bank. Of course, they could sell their remaining piece of GMAC before then, right?</p>
<p>Good lord, people.</p>
<p>- Your old pal Bob<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: rtz</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971332</link>
		<dc:creator>rtz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 03:11:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971332</guid>
		<description>That was a huge mistake for them to show up asking for money and when asked what they were going to do with it; they just shrugged their shoulders.

Just spend it like they normally do and burn through it in a few months and be right back where they are now.  The Volt won&#039;t be ready any time soon.  It&#039;s hella expensive too.  Look at Prius sales with current fuel prices to get an idea for Volt sales numbers.

They are at the end of the line and the big people in powers egos are at stake.  That&#039;s all.

If you work the line, stock up on cash, get rid of all debt, and prepare to get by on unemployment and start now arranging for a new line of work.  Or work for a US based Japanese or Korean company.  You all wanted to move out of the cold north anyways right?  Likely get about 30&#039; of snow up there this winter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->That was a huge mistake for them to show up asking for money and when asked what they were going to do with it; they just shrugged their shoulders.</p>
<p>Just spend it like they normally do and burn through it in a few months and be right back where they are now.  The Volt won&#8217;t be ready any time soon.  It&#8217;s hella expensive too.  Look at Prius sales with current fuel prices to get an idea for Volt sales numbers.</p>
<p>They are at the end of the line and the big people in powers egos are at stake.  That&#8217;s all.</p>
<p>If you work the line, stock up on cash, get rid of all debt, and prepare to get by on unemployment and start now arranging for a new line of work.  Or work for a US based Japanese or Korean company.  You all wanted to move out of the cold north anyways right?  Likely get about 30&#8242; of snow up there this winter.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: chartguy69</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971281</link>
		<dc:creator>chartguy69</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 02:46:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971281</guid>
		<description>Interesting post. The thing about Chap. 11 is that GM needs a bank behind it. Without a bank to guarantee payments, no supplier will be shipping parts (as you point out). So Chap. 11 might as well be Chap. 7.

As John Mauldin pointed out today, &quot;The Big Three have a new customer, and it isn&#039;t you. As Detroit&#039;s former heavyweights fight for a slice of a $25 billion bailout package, more than humble pie is being eaten. If the automakers fail and take their companies into bankruptcy, Michigan as we know it ceases to exist economically. The trickle-down impact could rapidly become a waterfall: the seat supplier in Georgia loses three major customers. The factory worker who makes seats is out of a job. The bank who holds his mortgage takes another hickey. Commercial lending at that bank dries up. Ad nauseum. In the best of economic times, this would be a troublesome scenario. In today&#039;s economy, it&#039;s easy to see how policymakers are as worried about social stability as they are economics.

&quot;Few if any believe the U.S. auto industry can survive in its current form. But there is an emerging consensus in Washington that the auto industry must not be allowed to fail now. The argument for spending money on the auto industry is not to save it, but to postpone its failure until a less devastating and inconvenient time. In other words, fearing the social and political consequences of a recession working itself through to its logical conclusion, Washington - like Beijing - wants to spend money it probably won&#039;t recover to postpone the failure. Indeed, governments around the world are considering what failures to tolerate, what failures to postpone, and how much to spend on the latter. General Motors is merely the American case in point.&quot;

Source: http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/gateway.asp</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Interesting post. The thing about Chap. 11 is that GM needs a bank behind it. Without a bank to guarantee payments, no supplier will be shipping parts (as you point out). So Chap. 11 might as well be Chap. 7.</p>
<p>As John Mauldin pointed out today, &#8220;The Big Three have a new customer, and it isn&#8217;t you. As Detroit&#8217;s former heavyweights fight for a slice of a $25 billion bailout package, more than humble pie is being eaten. If the automakers fail and take their companies into bankruptcy, Michigan as we know it ceases to exist economically. The trickle-down impact could rapidly become a waterfall: the seat supplier in Georgia loses three major customers. The factory worker who makes seats is out of a job. The bank who holds his mortgage takes another hickey. Commercial lending at that bank dries up. Ad nauseum. In the best of economic times, this would be a troublesome scenario. In today&#8217;s economy, it&#8217;s easy to see how policymakers are as worried about social stability as they are economics.</p>
<p>&#8220;Few if any believe the U.S. auto industry can survive in its current form. But there is an emerging consensus in Washington that the auto industry must not be allowed to fail now. The argument for spending money on the auto industry is not to save it, but to postpone its failure until a less devastating and inconvenient time. In other words, fearing the social and political consequences of a recession working itself through to its logical conclusion, Washington &#8211; like Beijing &#8211; wants to spend money it probably won&#8217;t recover to postpone the failure. Indeed, governments around the world are considering what failures to tolerate, what failures to postpone, and how much to spend on the latter. General Motors is merely the American case in point.&#8221;</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/gateway.asp" rel="nofollow">http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/gateway.asp</a><!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: toxicroach</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971232</link>
		<dc:creator>toxicroach</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 02:20:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971232</guid>
		<description>Buickman, I realize that every GM salesman was a master salesmen like you GM could probably sell go-karts as SUVs and no one would complain.

But they aren&#039;t.  And its way too late for a marketing blitz.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Buickman, I realize that every GM salesman was a master salesmen like you GM could probably sell go-karts as SUVs and no one would complain.</p>
<p>But they aren&#8217;t.  And its way too late for a marketing blitz.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: rudiger</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971211</link>
		<dc:creator>rudiger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 02:02:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971211</guid>
		<description>Well, the Big 3 still have a pretty good hold on the rental/fleet/commercial truck/van markets (especially the last one). There really are no other choices for a full-size commercial van in the US other than from a domestic manufacturer (crappy as they might be).

That&#039;s probably the only solid, legitimate reorganization plan they could conceivably come up with. Whether that&#039;s enough to sustain them for any length of time after C11, even in a substantially reduced capacity, is the key question.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Well, the Big 3 still have a pretty good hold on the rental/fleet/commercial truck/van markets (especially the last one). There really are no other choices for a full-size commercial van in the US other than from a domestic manufacturer (crappy as they might be).</p>
<p>That&#8217;s probably the only solid, legitimate reorganization plan they could conceivably come up with. Whether that&#8217;s enough to sustain them for any length of time after C11, even in a substantially reduced capacity, is the key question.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: 50merc</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971162</link>
		<dc:creator>50merc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 01:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971162</guid>
		<description>Carperson, your &quot;GM Business Plan&quot; makes more sense than anything I&#039;ve seen come out of the RenCen. But a couple of quibbles:

&quot;We want a presence in the taxi/police car market and plan to make a solid effort to get a part of it. Cadillac is the division we have chosen for this effort.&quot; Why Cadillac instead of Chevy? Seems like a Caddy patrol car or cab contradicts the brand image.

The plan envisions shedding a lot of employees and dealerships. IANAL, but I know of no way to break contracts with the UAW and dealers other than through bankruptcy. Therefore, the plan implicitly assumes Chapter 11 -- and in the event GM won&#039;t have freedom to unilaterally make key decisions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Carperson, your &#8220;GM Business Plan&#8221; makes more sense than anything I&#8217;ve seen come out of the RenCen. But a couple of quibbles:</p>
<p>&#8220;We want a presence in the taxi/police car market and plan to make a solid effort to get a part of it. Cadillac is the division we have chosen for this effort.&#8221; Why Cadillac instead of Chevy? Seems like a Caddy patrol car or cab contradicts the brand image.</p>
<p>The plan envisions shedding a lot of employees and dealerships. IANAL, but I know of no way to break contracts with the UAW and dealers other than through bankruptcy. Therefore, the plan implicitly assumes Chapter 11 &#8212; and in the event GM won&#8217;t have freedom to unilaterally make key decisions.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: "scarey"</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971152</link>
		<dc:creator>"scarey"</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 01:42:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971152</guid>
		<description>Pontiac, Buick, Oldsmobile, GMC, Saab, Hummer, Saturn, Chrysler, Plymouth and Mercury sleep with the fishes. And Chevrolet and Cadillac are being measured for cement overcoats. Maybe Ford, Lincoln, Jeep, and a slimmer Dodge can survive with less competition. Maybe Chevy can make it. Probably not. They had it all, and they p*ssed it away. American industry killed the factory worker by treating their customers as marks at a carnival show and through negligence, arrogance, and greed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->Pontiac, Buick, Oldsmobile, GMC, Saab, Hummer, Saturn, Chrysler, Plymouth and Mercury sleep with the fishes. And Chevrolet and Cadillac are being measured for cement overcoats. Maybe Ford, Lincoln, Jeep, and a slimmer Dodge can survive with less competition. Maybe Chevy can make it. Probably not. They had it all, and they p*ssed it away. American industry killed the factory worker by treating their customers as marks at a carnival show and through negligence, arrogance, and greed.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Cicero</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971121</link>
		<dc:creator>Cicero</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 01:17:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971121</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;i&gt;Robert Farago : 
November 20th, 2008 at 7:15 pm 


LOS ANGELES -(Dow Jones)- Three major auto suppliers said Thursday that General Motors Corp. (GM) may have to pay cash on delivery for parts if it fails to secure additional federal aid.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Tick...

Tick...

Tick...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start --><br />
<blockquote><i>Robert Farago :<br />
November 20th, 2008 at 7:15 pm </p>
<p>LOS ANGELES -(Dow Jones)- Three major auto suppliers said Thursday that General Motors Corp. (GM) may have to pay cash on delivery for parts if it fails to secure additional federal aid.</i></p></blockquote>
<p>Tick&#8230;</p>
<p>Tick&#8230;</p>
<p>Tick&#8230;<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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		<title>By: Buickman</title>
		<link>http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/editorial-general-motors-death-watch-217-let-the-run-begin/comment-page-1/#comment-971102</link>
		<dc:creator>Buickman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 01:14:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/?p=161141#comment-971102</guid>
		<description>there is a way out and it&#039;s NOT more surgery. it&#039;s called knowing how to sell cars and it truly is that simple.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- google_ad_section_start -->there is a way out and it&#8217;s NOT more surgery. it&#8217;s called knowing how to sell cars and it truly is that simple.<!-- google_ad_section_end --></p>
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