Toyota’s New Mississippi Plant Still a Go. For Now…
By John HornerNovember 14, 2008 -
According to the AP, “Toyota Motor Corp. said Friday that for now it is sticking with plans to open its new Mississippi plant in 2010 despite media reports that Japan’s top automaker is mulling a delay.” Mississippi was originally supposed to get Highlander production.. Those plans ran aground on $4 a gallon gas. In a fit of hybrid mania, Toyota Mississippi jumped off the Highlander horse and onto the Prius this past July… just in time to see crude oil prices peak and roll over. Remember all that talk of building a Scion-like separate Prius brand? You have to think that plan is on hold. “Earlier this month, Toyota said its net profit for the July-September quarter plunged 69 percent. The car maker also downgraded its full-year profit forecast to 550 billion yen ($5.5 billion) — about a third of last year’s result. Executive Vice President Mitsuo Kinoshita said after the earnings release that the company had convened an ‘Emergency Profit Improvement Committee’ to cut costs and maximize revenues. Toyota is also assessing its manufacturing operations by ‘re-examining aspects such as the timing and scale of new projects.’”
Posted in High Finance | News Blog | Sales | 5 comments 
EU Car Market Falls 15%, NY Art Sale Augurs Supercar Collapse
By Robert FaragoNovember 14, 2008 -
Can you believe that GM used to claim that their foreign ops would prop-up the sinking North American market while they got their shit together? I mean, these are the same guys that were busy touting the advantages of a world car. Anyone who doubted that it’s a small world after all should have a gander at October sales stats across the pond [via Bloomberg UK]. “Registrations dropped to 1.13 million vehicles last month from 1.33 million a year earlier, the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association said today in a statement. Sales for the first 10 months fell 5.4 percent to 12.8 million vehicles, accelerating from a 4.4 percent contraction through September.” And who got whacked the hardest? “GM’s sales in Europe fell 25 percent to 94,479 vehicles, with the Saab brand reporting a 28 percent plunge… Registrations in Europe by Toyota slumped 24 percent to 54,612 cars. Asia’s largest carmaker, leading GM in global auto sales this year, posted a 69 percent plunge in quarterly net income on Nov. 6. Deliveries of its Lexus brand fell 32 percent.” So, that’s the mass market, then. How about the top end?
Posted in Europe | High Finance | News Blog | Sales | 3 comments
Porsche NFSW Watch: Berlin Gives Brussels The Finger, Porsche May Want Rubbers
By Bertel SchmittNovember 14, 2008 -
Yesterday, we reported that the European Commission threatened to drag Germany in front of the European High Court again– if Germany dares to pass a revamped Volkswagen Gesetz (VW Law.) Yesterday evening, the German parliament flipped a whole aviary worth of birds in the direction of Brussels, and passed the face-lifted law with an overwhelming majority. Result for the time being: VeeDub’s soon majority-owner Porsche will have to kowtow to the state of Lower Saxony, owner of a paltry 20.1 percent of the shares. Porsche must ask for their OK on major issues. On one issue, Porsche doesn’t even need to ask. Lower Saxony will say “nein, nein, nein” to Porsche booking VW’s profits as theirs. Und now European Trade Commissar Charlie McCreevy will file papers “before Christmas,” and the contemptuous Bundesrepublik Deutschland will face the judges of the European High Court. Again. The court will rule (anybody guess how?) Germany will have to implement the wishes of the court again (anybody guess whether they will?) The never-ending saga continues. In the meantime…
Posted in Europe | Germany | High Finance | Law and Order | News Blog | Politics | 3 comments
Suppliers Downgraded For D3 Exposure
By Edward NiedermeyerNovember 13, 2008 -
Industry bearishness is tearing through the ranks of suppliers today, as Standard and Poors has downgraded the short-term credit ratings of 13 auto supply firms, according to the Detroit News. ArvinMeritor Inc., BorgWarner Inc., Cooper-Standard Automotive Inc., Federal-Mogul Corp., Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., Hayes Lemmerz International Inc., Johnson Controls Inc., Lear Corp., MetoKote Corp., Shiloh Industries Inc., Stoneridge Inc., Tenneco Inc. and Visteon Corp have all been targeted, as Wall Street worries over these firms’ exposure to the Detroit 3. Automotive News [sub] adds that S&P has also cut the long-term credit ratings of supply giants Dana and Magna. This news is likely to spur on bailout backers who will no doubt see this as the dreaded “ripple effect” that they claim will take down the entire economy if bailout bucks aren’t forthcoming. Of course, anyone who follows the industry knows that these firms have been on shaky ground for some time already. The auto supplier sector has been rife with bankruptcies for years now, thanks in large part to the predatory practices of the very three firms that are now seeking a publicly-funded bailout. Imagine a parent starving their kids and then complaining that if they go to jail the kiddies will have nobody to look out for them, and you’ll have a good picture of the dynamic at play here.
Posted in High Finance | News Blog | Suppliers | 7 comments
Bailout Watch 180: Wall Street Waiting For “Urgent” GM Bailout
By Edward NiedermeyerNovember 13, 2008 -
In a new report covered by Automotive News [sub], Goldman Sachs says GM will end the year with $12.5 billion in cash, and will need at least $22b in government money to survive. Goldman is suspending GM’s rating, putting the automaker on a “wait-and-see” basis until further bailout details emerge. Meanwhile, JP Morgan cut its GM rating to “neutral” from “overweight” saying the automaker needs “something immediately” to make it through the end of the year. Morgan also slashed GM’s stock price target, from $3.08 to $1.84, about a dollar off its trading price of $2.89 at the time of this writing. And while Goldman set the bailout minimum at $22b, Morgan reckons the bill for righting the General “could easily reach $30 billion unless GM reforms its vast liability structure.” GM stock is currently down about five percent on the day, although it’s shown resiliance to earlier Deutsche Bank analysis which valued the stock at precisely bupkis. Still, urgency is the common thread that ties all the analysis together, and if news doesn’t improve soon for GM, its stockholders could see their paper become worthless in short order. Rest assured, TTAC will have the latest developments as they occur.
Posted in Bailout Watch | Chapter 11 | High Finance | News Blog | 16 comments
German Government NFSWs Porsche
By Bertel SchmittNovember 13, 2008 -
A few days ago, Porsche’s Wendelin Wiedeking sent a letter to Germany’s parliamentarians, urging them to say “Nein” to Chancellor Angela Merkel. According to Braunschweiger Zeitung [via Automobilwoche sub], Wendy was not what you’d call enamored with a new version of the “Volkswagen Gesetz” (VW law). That’s the legal power bestowed upon The State of Lower Saxony to control VeeDub– despite the State’s [now] relatively measley 20.1 percent holding. Last year, the European Court struck down the law– in the interest of free trade, Mutter and Apfelkuchen. The ruling opened the door for Porsche to ride to the rescue of VW, supposedly shielding VW from gang-rape at the hands of Kirk Kerkorian, Cerberus and a RICO of takeover-artists. And yet Berlin has no plans at all to scuttle the Volkswagen Gesetz. Porsche can own as much of VW as they want. With the law on the books, Porsche can’t fight the power from Hannover or Berlin.
Posted in Germany | High Finance | Law and Order | News Blog | 3 comments
Automotive R&D Means Not So Very Much
By Martin SchwoererNovember 12, 2008 -
One of the theories explaining GM’s downfall is that they did not invest enough in R&D. Wrong! Booz & Co.’s latest report on Global R&D spending says: bar Toyota, GM was tops. Here’s the 2007 ranking:
Company R&D expenditures in $m
Toyota 8,386
GM 8,100
Ford 7,500
Honda 5,142
VW 4,757
Daimler 4,321
Nissan 4,001
BMW 3,995
Peugeot 2,835
Renault 2,531
Booz says in comparison to 2006, R&D expenditures in the auto industry grew by about 10 percent. European “champs” pale, with the European primo (VW) being only around half as research-intensive as the biggest spender. Here are some other findings…
Posted in High Finance | Industry | News Blog | 25 comments
GMAC: Free At Last!
By Edward NiedermeyerNovember 10, 2008 -
Co-dependent relationships are never pretty, and they usually end only when one half ends up in prison, the poorhouse or the morgue. With GM seemingly headed towards all three at once, its once-captive credit arm, GMAC, swears it will no longer play Tina to the General’s Ike. Automotive News [sub] quotes GMAC CFO Robert Hull as saying his firm plans to “shift GMAC from its captive roots to an independent deposit-funded lender and servicer.” As we reported earlier, changing GMAC’s status to a “Bank holding corporation” will give it access to the $700b TARP fund, but it also means that GM will have to exit the building. As in sell off its remaining 49 percent so that GMAC can rejoin society as a full-service bank, complete with FDIC insurance, credit cards, and a little dish of Werthers Originals by each teller. So GMAC will get taxpayer-funded security, and GM might even get a little cash out of the deal… but who loses? Why, the dealers, of course!
Posted in Dealer News | High Finance | News Blog | 7 comments
Phelan is Insane: “Chrysler Looks for a New Buyer”
By Robert FaragoNovember 9, 2008 -
We’ve already put Detroit Free Press writer Mark Phelan through the Cassandra-o-meter– and found his logic more than slightly wanting. Today’s column reveals that Phelan’s cluelessness runs deep. Contemplating the collapse of the GM - Chrysler merger, Phelan says “Finding a foreign buyer to provide advanced engineering for sophisticated small vehicles in exchange for access to Chrysler’s U.S. dealer network and expertise in trucks, minivans and big cars is the best option.” Of course, Phelan’s theory assumes that an automaker would want to buy Chrysler. While everyone and their proverbial mother believes that Jeep is some kind of brand babe, other than that, what would be the point? How do we prod thee with a ten-foot pole? Let me count the ways. First, the U.S. automotive market is dead in the water. Second, any automaker stupid enough to assume tens of billions of dollars of ChryCo debt and obligations to a union (whose primary expertise is in wresting said benefits from overpaid execs), not to mention a roster of uncompetitive products and nothing in the propduct pipeline (although I just did), is also hurting in the worldwide auto industry meltdown. Third, if said automaker wants a piece of Chrysler, they’ll wait for the now-inevitable Chapter 11 or 7 and buy the best bits for pennies on the dollar. Phelan’s take? A ChryCo sale (as such) could happen. But that would suck. “Even in that best of all possible worlds, however, Chrysler will be a smaller company than it is today. It will have fewer plants and employees, but it can remain a major contributor to the U.S. economy and an important center of engineering and design expertise for a healthy global company. We can hope Chrysler’s next owners will value it more than the last two did.”
Posted in Chapter 11 | High Finance | Media | News Blog | 19 comments
Porsche’s Net Profit Soars 52 percent. Or More.
By Bertel SchmittNovember 8, 2008 -
Hedge fund fornicator Luxury car maker Porsche has just announced their numbers for their last 2007/2008 fiscal. You guessed it: while the rest of the world is retching in the WC, Porsche’s profits are up a pornographic 52 percent. “The Stuttgart-based maker of the ass-engined sports car 911, IMS- challenged Boxster/Cayman and Cayenne SUV reported a net profit of nearly 6.4b Euros ($8.2b) for the year that ended July 31. That’s compared to the 4.2b Euros Porsche earned in the 2006-2007 year,” tickers The Associated Press to the world’s flabbergasted financial editors. The numbers are so mind-blowing that there are different accounts of the accounting data. The Wall Street Journal has on its wire that Porsche’s profits “soared 46% to €8.57 billion Euros, or about $10.9 billion.” (The €8.57b number is repeated by Deutsche Welle, the €6.4b figure is popular with Bloomberg. We’ll see. A few billion more or less don’t matter, we guess. Mum’s the word on Porsche’s Investors Relations page. We’ll probably have to wait until Monday, after they are done partying. Meanwhile…
Posted in Germany | High Finance | News Blog | 16 comments
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