The Truth About Cars » Ford Death Watch

Ford Death Watch 49: Gypsies, Tramps and Thieves

Robert Farago — Mon, 26 Oct 2009 19:43:48 +0000

Will Ford go bankrupt? I doubt it. Not while the “bad” automakers that suckled on the federal teat go on and on and on and on. A FoMoCo C11 would expose the government’s Detroit bailout for what it was/is: unfair, ineffective, ill-conceived and unsustainable. Politically, Ford’s failure is not an option. If push comes to [...]

Ford Death Watch 48: ’til the Cows Come Home

Robert Farago — Thu, 30 Jul 2009 19:10:55 +0000

Speaking of barnyards, someone forgot to tell Ford watchers not to count their chickens until they hatch. The MSM is ready, willing and able to pronounce the Blue Oval Boyz' turnaround plan for the ailing American automaker as good as done, and skip the "it worked!" part of CEO Big Al Mulally's canonization. The Detroit News is down with this fait accompli meme. "As one fund manager who controls a sizable chunk of Ford's stock and bonds put it: 'The biggest threat to Ford's future is that Mulally steps off the curb tomorrow and gets hit by a bus.' Such sentiments, blunt as they may be, are a testament to the progress Ford has made since Mulally took over as CEO in September of 2006. He predicts the company should settle into profitability by late 2011." So that's it, then, save "Mulally is no stranger to success" and "He's been an agent of change" and "For many Ford employees, he has rock-star status" and I think they ought to think it out again.

Ford Death Watch 47: Taurus! Taurus! Taurus!

Robert Farago — Thu, 25 Jun 2009 12:51:36 +0000

By all accounts, the refreshed Ford Taurus is an excellent car. Easy-to-drive, economical, well-built, comfortable, capacious and handsome. As a sign of its pre-launch success, the vehicle's critics are focusing on its sticker price. As a firm believer that something is worth exactly what someone will pay for it, it remains to be seen if Ford's priced the refreshed Taurus out of the market. Meanwhile and in any case, Taurus Gen 6 won't "save" Ford like the 1986 model. The 2010 Taurus may be a singular automobile, but it is not a signature automobile. To survive in today's crowded, shrunken, hyper-competitive new car market, Ford needs vehicles that clearly differentiate the brand from the competition, and marketing to match. Ford recognizes the problem, but fails to rectify it.

Editorial: Ford Death Watch 46: Fauxcus

Edward Niedermeyer — Mon, 25 May 2009 17:39:49 +0000

While its Detroit rivals unravel with publicly-funded gusto, Ford continues to enjoy nearly unanimous praise from the media and industry commentators. And why not? Free from the public funding, bankruptcy, dealer slashing and attendant bad publicity plaguing its competitors, Ford is clearly the healthiest of America's automakers. But it's impossible to forget that Ford's buoyancy is but one of the final boons of the pre-collapse credit markets. Mortgaged to the hilt, Ford finds itself facing new CAFE and emissions standards without a certain deep-pocketed uncle standing by to pay its way into the new, green automotive paradigm. As a result, Ford seems to be trading long-term opportunities for short-term survival.

Ford Death Watch 45: Drive One. Act Two?

Robert Farago — Mon, 23 Feb 2009 03:19:13 +0000

Perusing the February 23rd issue of AutoBiWeek brought to mind Frank Sinatra's final concert series. My thought at the time: can someone just shoot this guy? One of the greatest singers of all time couldn't hit a note with a blunderbuss. In AutoBiWeek's case, we can skip the paean to their heyday (for obvious reasons) and highlight WeatherTech's two-page spread on the inside cover. It's only a matter of time... Meanwhile, Ford's ponied-up to advertise their pony car. As Chrysler and GM embark on their "You Paid for It" farewell tour, one wonders if the ad for Ford's greatest hit remix signals a dramatic return to form, or the end of the end.

Editorial: Ford Death Watch 44: A Time to Die

Ken Elias — Sat, 31 Jan 2009 13:44:09 +0000

Ford sits on the "Edge" of disaster. Despite the assurances from its CEO and chief cheerleader to the contrary, Alan Mulally knows that the day of reckoning could soon appear at his doorstep. Without an increase in sales volume, and soon, there will be no way to stop the cash burn. We're not going to malign anything Mr. Mulally has done so far. In fact, he's done more right than any other head honcho from Detroit in decades. But it's time to pull out all the stops and break with tradition of never wishing ill on a competitor. It's time for Chrysler to die.

Editorial: Ford Death Watch 48: Branding Isn’t Everything

Robert Farago — Mon, 01 Dec 2008 22:11:57 +0000

It’s been a while since we’ve run a Ford Death Watch. Which doesn’t mean Ford isn’t dying. It is. It’s just dying more slowly and less spectacularly than GM and Chrysler. In fact, Ford’s head-faked the press. They’ve convinced the pundocrats that The Blue Oval Boys don’t need federal bailout bucks to survive. Oh what the Hell, FoMoCo CEO Alan Mulally just about told Congress, as you’re offering… we might as well accept. In truth, the Detroit’s last man standing is about to hit the pavement just as hard as its cross-town co-conspirators.

Ford Death Watch 47: The Man With the Plan

Ken Elias — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 18:58:26 +0000

In a recent article, The Economist wondered if Detroit's automakers would win their "race against time." In other words, will Ford, GM or Chrysler return to profitability before their cash conflagration throws them into the Chapter 11 burn unit? At the risk of providing a piercing glimpse into the obvious, The Big 2.8 need to change course or flame out. STAT. The Economist rightly suggests that Ford is the only carmaker of the three with a coherent strategy for escaping C11. For contrast, let's recap GM's and Chrysler's plans...

Ford Death Watch 46: The Toyotafication of Ford

Stein X Leikanger — Fri, 25 Jul 2008 13:12:27 +0000

At one time, the nations of Europe took great pride in their cavalry divisions, horses and men numbering tens of thousands. Then the Gatling gun made its debut, and all those horses and all that equipment became sausages and bric-a-brac. And so it is with the SUV. The Gatling gun of rising gas prices has laid waste to The Big 2.8's armies, throwing their plans into complete chaos. To its credit, Ford is attempting to regroup, rearm and re-engage. So how's it going?

Ford Death Watch 45: Last Man Standing Pt. 2

Michael Martineck — Thu, 19 Jun 2008 13:53:45 +0000

I recently bought a dishwasher. Investor Kirk Kerkorian (a.k.a. “The Lion of Las Vegas”) bought 20m shares of Ford Motor Company. As a percentage of net worth, we each spent comparative amounts. But I’m pretty sure I got the better deal. I’m positive I’m going to have guacamole-free dinnerware for the next five years. Capt. Kirk can’t make anywhere near as bold a statement about the longer-term value of his Ford shares. Or can he?

Ford Death Watch 44: Captain Kirk Bets on The Last Man Standing

John Horner — Mon, 12 May 2008 13:09:19 +0000

Why would gunslinger/investor Kirk Kerkorian want to buy Ford? After two decades living high off the [gas] hog, Ford’s still suffering the Mother of all Hangovers. The night before the day after, FoMoCo headed down to the Vegas strip and got hitched, polygamy-style (Hertz, Aston-Martin, Jaguar and Volvo). While town father Bill Ford's sobered-up and hired sheriff Mulally-- whose drawn-up the divorce papers and cleaned-up the town-- it still looks like tornado fodder. And here comes Captain Kirk, all guns blazing, looking to take over the joint. Why now?

Ford Death Watch 43: Drive One… What?

Robert Farago — Sun, 13 Apr 2008 13:19:36 +0000

"Ford on a good day is always about the people," declared Jim Farley, group vice president of Ford marketing and communications. Like many of these pre-digested pronouncements, Farley’s seemingly innocuous, feel-good assertion is fraught with unintentional meaning. What does Farley mean by “Ford on a good day?” What’s Ford about on a BAD day? Is Ford bi-polar? Manic depressive? Does it forget to take its meds? And what about the contradiction between “on a good day” and “always?” And, most damning of all, Ford is NOT about the people. It’s about the product.

Ford Death Watch 42: Culture Eats Strategy for Lunch

Michael Martineck — Thu, 27 Mar 2008 12:37:34 +0000

Automotive News recently published an interview with Ford's group vice president of human resources. Joe Laymon mentioned the names of six brass hats Ford considers potential successors to their current CEO Alan Mulally. As Mr. Mulally has only been in office for just 18 months, anticipates a long stay and hasn’t seen his 63 birthday, the timing was, at the least, odd. More importantly, Laymon effectively turned a succession plan into a very public episode of Survivor Dearborn.

Ford Death Watch 41: Time to Bail

Matthew Neundorf — Thu, 24 Jan 2008 20:58:36 +0000

Alan Mulally began last year as a passenger on a nose-diving Ford Motor Company. Clocking the company’s $12.6b fiscal flummox, FoMoCo’s CEO left no punches unpulled. "We fully recognize our business reality,” Big Al pronounced. “And we’re dealing with it.” Twelve months later, Mulally’s machine’s cut a new deal with the United Auto Workers (UAW), scaled back production and launched some new whips. During today’s announcement, Big Al proudly pronounced the new new turnaround a success. “Each of our automotive operations is improving, and we are encouraged by the progress.” That makes one of us.

Ford Death Watch 40: Mercury R.I.P.

Steven Lang — Tue, 08 Jan 2008 17:17:08 +0000

Four vehicles. That’s all you’ll find on Mercury's web site. If you’re as “lucky” as I am, Mercury will respond to your browsing by asking if you want to spend five minutes on a questionnaire. Say what? Asking for five minutes of your customer's time before you even show them your products? That isn’t the smartest thing to do to a spam-weary public. Then again, once you click on the word "No" and return to the actual products, you begin to realize that the entire Mercury product line represents the brand’s not-so-smart existence.

Ford Death Watch 39: Bah Humbug

Matthew Neundorf — Thu, 20 Dec 2007 13:17:07 +0000

It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas; at least in Dearborn. Ford has reinstated merit raises for their white collar workers. Bonuses for its blue collared brigade are under consideration. Ford’s global manufacturing guru Joe Heinrichs figures “it’s important to reward people for doing the right thing.” Which is… three straight quarters of besting Wall Street’s paltry projections and slowing the Way Fordward’s cash burn. With the long anticipated sale of Jaguar and Land Rover only days away, it would seem that Mulally’s machine is running smoothly. Yes Virginia, there is a Santa Claus.

Ford Death Watch 38: Wiggle Room

Robert Farago — Tue, 06 Nov 2007 15:07:11 +0000

So Ford and the United Auto Workers (UAW) have hammered-out a new deal. Our fave sage Daniel Howes over at The Detroit News hailed the tentative agreement with the usual rhetoric: new paradigms, inflection points, fresh thinking, transformation and general bullishness. Yes, well, as over ten thousand Chrysler union workers recently discovered, there’s many a pink slip between the cup and the lip. Make no mistake: there are details bedeviling this Ford agreement. And the union rank and file are heading into the ratification process with their eyes wide open.

Ford Death Watch 37: Is Mulally Making the Grade?

William C Montgomery — Fri, 07 Sep 2007 16:05:29 +0000

The House that Henry Built was close to ruin when Junior Bill fell on his sword to bounce Boeing’s best to The Blue Oval. One year later, BusinessWeek (BW) gives FoMoCo CEO Alan Mulally an A-. And yet the reaper’s blade still hangs over Dearborn. And Mulally still toils to prove that his first year’s effort was worth $133.55 per minute (based on a 60 hour work week). Meanwhile, surveying the lay of the land post-Mulally, we reckon BW’s senior correspondent had more than sweetened tumbâk in his hookah when he penned this report card.

Ford Death Watch 36: What Profit a Man?

Matthew Neundorf — Tue, 07 Aug 2007 11:45:11 +0000

Last week, Ford exceeded Wall Street’s expectations by reporting a profit. A profit! As in, the American automaker took in more money than they spent! Pundits unfamiliar with the fact that Ford carries around so much debt it makes Atlas' planetary burden seem like a small backpack, oblivious to the missing ten foot pole marks on Ford dealers' inventory, hailed the news as a sign that the only Way Fordward is up. You know you need to worry when the CEO himself feels obliged to warn stockholders and camp followers that billion dollar losses lie directly ahead. And indeed they do.

Ford’s Death Watch 35: Everything Must Go

Samir Syed — Sun, 17 Jun 2007 11:30:21 +0000

Desperate times, desperate measures. Ford Motor Company has retained the services of three investment banks to advise it on the sale of Jaguar, Land Rover and, perhaps, Volvo. Flogging the remains of the Premium Automotive Group (post-Aston) will plug a giant hole in the automaker's balance sheet, give FoMoCo a cash injection to sustain short-term operations and fuel its do-or-die turnaround plan. As Stan Laurel would say, well, here's another nice mess you've gotten me into.

Ford Death Watch 34: PAG Pegs Out. Who will buy Jaguar, Land Rover and Volvo?

Michael Martineck — Fri, 15 Jun 2007 15:51:27 +0000

Adoption is a lengthy process. Prospective parents must submit to all kinds of scrutiny to prove themselves suitable child care providers. And for good reason. You can’t give ‘em back, as they say. Not so in the business world. Ford has officially put siblings Jaguar and Land Rover up for sale, with some sources placing Volvo’s custody in question. The move ends nearly a year of speculation, or nearly two decades of speculation, depending on how prophetic you’ve been.

Ford Death Watch 33: Good, Fast, Cheap or None of the Above?

Michael Martineck — Thu, 07 Jun 2007 16:32:19 +0000

Last year, the Ford Motor Co. lost $12.7b. The company is carrying $188b in debt. Its bonds are non-investment grade. It’s got to the point where less than one in ten American analysts recommends the former blue chip stock. In fact, by any measure of financial health, Ford is knocking on death’s door. So why did Alan R. Mulally leave Boeing to heal The Blue Oval-- aside from the $45m plus transferred into his bank account? Mulally is an engineer, a man who can’t resist taking something apart and trying to put it back together better. Or, if you prefer, Humpty Dumpty.

Ford Death Watch 32: Taking Stock

Matthew Neundorf — Sun, 13 May 2007 11:26:00 +0000

At Thursday's annual Glass House Gang get-together, eight of ten shareholder proposals got the axe. The kyboshed suggestions include a mandate to disclose the identities of all execs collecting upwards of $500k, another giving 10 percent stakeholders the ability to call stockholder meetings, and a directive asking for a strategic plan for Ford’s future health care liabilities. The Ford family also fell under attack via a motion to remove their Class B stock “super- ~~vetoing~~ voting” powers. It isn’t the first time that the Ford family’s control has come under shareholder scrutiny, but that plebiscite perished too, albeit by a smaller margin than ever before.

Ford Death Watch 31: David Mamet’s Hair Splitting TV Ads Miss Their Mark

Matthew Neundorf — Thu, 26 Apr 2007 16:15:34 +0000

In 1997, Kiwi film director Lee Tamahori brought playwright David Mamet’s words to the silver screen in an Alec Baldwin/Anthony Hopkins vehicle called The Edge. Ten years later and David Mamet lensed an ad campaign for a crossover utility vehicle by the same name. Mamet’s trademark dialogue takes center stage, pitting the Blue Oval’s most important cute-ute against the upscale competition from Germany (BMW X5) for speed and Japan (Lexus RX350) for quietness. Does Mamet’s champion edge out its pricier rivals? Duh.

Ford Death Watch 30: Executive Compensation

Matthew Neundorf — Thu, 05 Apr 2007 17:04:36 +0000

In the first three months of his employment, Ford CEO Alan Mulally earned himself a cool $28.2m. So how’s the high flying ex-Boeing exec doing in his campaign to save the embattled automaker? According to Big Al, “it’s going pretty well." He’s “reduced complexity” (i.e. paid bureaucrats to leave), sent Aston packing, unloaded the first of thirteen surplus-to-requirements Visteon plants and started to make good on cost savings targets. On the income side of the ledger? Not so hot.