Detroit's Passenger Car Sales Are Falling Way Faster Than the Overall U.S. Auto Industry's

Timothy Cain
by Timothy Cain

Across the U.S. auto industry, there are a number of auto brands that are actually selling more passenger cars in 2017 than in 2016: Jaguar, Lincoln, Infiniti, Subaru, Volkswagen.

Some specific models, many with all-wheel-drive availability like the Audi A5, Subaru Impreza, and Volkswagen Golf, are enjoying far greater sales success this year than last.

But you know the story. Generally speaking, Americans are buying far fewer cars now than they used to. From more than 50 percent just five years ago, passenger car market share is down to 37 percent. Nowhere is this more obvious than at traditional domestic manufacturers, the Detroit Three.

While the U.S. auto industry has reported a drop of 3 percent compared with 2016’s record sales pace, passenger car sales have fallen four times faster than that. But the domestic drop is far more severe than the decline faced by import marques.

Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Chrysler, Dodge, Ford, and Lincoln combined to lose 19 percent of their car sales volume so far this year. All other brands were down “just” 9 percent. As a result, these traditional Detroit brands saw their share of the U.S. passenger car market fall from 36 percent in 2016’s first eight months to 25 percent in the first eight months of 2017, a massive decline over the span of just one year.

After discovering that foreign automakers will likely build more vehicles than the Detroit Three in America this year, we wanted to take a look at the root cause of the downturn at General Motors, Ford Motor Company, and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles.

It’s certainly not pickup trucks.

It’s cars.

GM, Ford, and FCA are ending shifts at car plants, laying off workers, and discontinuing models all because America’s consumers are turning away from Detroit-branded cars far faster than they’re turning away from cars in general. The brands are attempting to gradually wean themselves off fleet-reliance, as well.

There are a handful of notable exceptions to the general theme of decline, but in many of those cases, there’s a simple explanation. Chevrolet Cruze sales, for instance, are up 9 percent this year. But that’s only after an awful 2016 — compared with 2015, Cruze volume is down 18 percent this year. The Cadillac CT6’s 77-percent jump is simply a quirk of a 2016 calendar that didn’t provide any meaningful CT6 totals until May. Over the last four months, CT6 sales are up 1 percent. Big increases from the Chevrolet SS and Dodge Viper come as dealers clear out remaining models.

For the most part, Detroit’s cars are fading. And fast.

RankCar2017 8 Months2016 8 Months%


Change
Fusion138,489189,892-27.1% Cruze133,966122,7969.1% Malibu117,173148,868-21.3% Focus112,076128,889-13.0% Charger58,14862,214-6.5% Mustang56,34980,829-30.3% Challenger47,49645,4434.5% Camaro46,29747,958-3.5% Impala43,79667,119-34.7% 30035,43638,581-8.2% Fiesta32,40934,577-6.3% Taurus29,47230,869-4.5% Sonic22,69137,258-39.1% MKZ18,90120,415-7.4% Corvette17,38519,890-12.6% 20016,56245,774-63.8% LaCrosse14,53417,920-18.9% Volt13,89514,295-2.8% C-Max12,34813,721-10.0% Spark11,82725,458-53.5% Bolt11,670—— XTS9,62312,977-25.8% Dart9,38534,670-72.9% ATS8,99814,360-37.3% Regal8,28813,765-39.8% Continental8,020—— CT67,1434,04876.5% CTS7,04510,645-33.8% Cascada4,2415,326-20.4% Verano3,95121,439-81.6% SS2,8102,14830.8% Viper51740926.4% Caprice PPV393552-28.8% MKS1534,083-96.3% GT42—— ELR17517-96.7% Avenger1142-73.8%General Motors485,743587,339-17.3% Ford Motor Company408,259503,275-18.9% Chrysler/Dodge167,555227,133-26.2% Total1,061,5571,317,747-19.4%

[Images: Ford, General Motors]

Timothy Cain is a contributing analyst at The Truth About Cars and Autofocus.ca and the founder and former editor of GoodCarBadCar.net. Follow on Twitter @timcaincars and Instagram.

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  • Inside Looking Out Inside Looking Out on Oct 01, 2017

    Americans disrespect own national anthem and flag. How do you expect them to even consider American cars? America = bad is a new normal for the long time already.

    • See 9 previous
    • BobNelson BobNelson on Oct 03, 2017

      Inside Looking Out, "Your comments prove my point that anti-americanism is a new normal in US." Not exactly. The new normal is, in reality, "Intentionally offensive one-line zingers replace intelligent conversation." You seem to be defining "anti-Americanism" as disagreement with you. That's kinda egotist, ya know...

  • John R John R on Oct 02, 2017

    I guess the good news is that the Chevy SS has become that much more attainable.

  • Analoggrotto Does anyone seriously listen to this?
  • Thomas Same here....but keep in mind that EVs are already much more efficient than ICE vehicles. They need to catch up in all the other areas you mentioned.
  • Analoggrotto It's great to see TTAC kicking up the best for their #1 corporate sponsor. Keep up the good work guys.
  • John66ny Title about self driving cars, linked podcast about headlight restoration. Some relationship?
  • Jeff JMII--If I did not get my Maverick my next choice was a Santa Cruz. They are different but then they are both compact pickups the only real compact pickups on the market. I am glad to hear that the Santa Cruz will have knobs and buttons on it for 2025 it would be good if they offered a hybrid as well. When I looked at both trucks it was less about brand loyalty and more about price, size, and features. I have owned 2 gm made trucks in the past and liked both but gm does not make a true compact truck and neither does Ram, Toyota, or Nissan. The Maverick was the only Ford product that I wanted. If I wanted a larger truck I would have kept either my 99 S-10 extended cab with a 2.2 I-4 5 speed or my 08 Isuzu I-370 4 x 4 with the 3.7 I-5, tow package, heated leather seats, and other niceties and it road like a luxury vehicle. I believe the demand is there for other manufacturers to make compact pickups. The proposed hybrid Toyota Stout would be a great truck. Subaru has experience making small trucks and they could make a very competitive compact truck and Subaru has a great all wheel drive system. Chevy has a great compact pickup offered in South America called the Montana which gm could make in North America and offered in the US and Canada. Ram has a great little compact truck offered in South America as well. Compact trucks are a great vehicle for those who want an open bed for hauling but what a smaller more affordable efficient practical vehicle.
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