By on January 2, 2013

Now that the Top 150 most popular vehicles around the globe are out of the way and 2013 has finally arrived, I thought I would ask 50 questions for this New Year… If you know the answer please feel free to comment! And also post yours…

Can’t be bothered about the New Year and wish you were in 2012 still? That’s fine, you can check out the best-selling cars in 2012 in 171 countries and territories in my blog. Yes. That many.

Back to my questions…

And the first one is:

Chery is creating a new brand for Europe: Qoros. Will it be a success?

1. Will Chery crack Europe with the Qoros GQ3?

The Chevrolet Onix has the potential to threaten the VW Gol in Brazil. Will it? 

2. Will the Hyundai HB20 or Chevrolet Onix threaten the VW Gol’s supremacy in Brazil?

3. Which Passenger Car will top the Chinese year-end ranking?

4. Will General Motors, Toyota, Hyundai or any other major manufacturer announce the creation of a low-cost brand outside China? Will Nissan unveil a low-cost Datsun range as planned?

5. Will the new BYD F3 and Chery QQ make 2013 the year of the renaissance for local models in China?

6. Will Kaili, Volkswagen’s low-cost Chinese brand, finally be launched? If so will it be more successful than GM’s Baojun? Nissan’s Venucia? Honda’s Linian? Ciimo?

Opel Adam

7. Will the Mokka and Adam help Opel towards recovery?

8. Will a BMW or Mercedes break into the UK year-end Top 5 for the first time?

9. Will the Renault Duster break into the monthly Top 5 in Russia? India?

The Dacia Dokker could cannibalise sales of Renault Kangoo at home in France…

10. Will the Dacia Dokker dominate the French LCV market, the biggest in Europe?

Nissan Altima

11. Will the Nissan Altima or Honda Civic threaten the Toyota Camry for the Passenger Car crown in the US?

12. Will the new generation Chevy Silverado threaten the Ford F-Series in the US?

13. Will the Ford Focus pass the Toyota Corolla to become the world’s best selling car at year-end?

14. Will Great Wall succeed in the UK? Will it launch in another major European market?

15. Which of the Peugeot 208 or Renault Clio IV will finish the year #1 in France? Will they top another European country or will their success be restricted to their home country? Check out my forecast for the 2013 France models ranking here.

16. Will the VW Golf be threatened by anyone in Europe? Clio? 208? Fiesta? How many countries will it dominate?

17. Will Italy, Greece, Portugal, Croatia and Spain fall further into recession?

18. Will Europe stagnate or decline?

19. Will Peugeot/Citroen survive? Will Opel survive? Will the GM/PSA alliance thrive? Will Honda merge with another carmaker?

Toyota Corolla

20. Will the Toyota Corolla top the Australian year-end ranking for the first time? Check out my forecast for the 2013 Australian models ranking here.

21. Will Indonesia and Thailand continue their explosive growth?

22. Which markets will be the 10 engines of growth?

23. Will the VW Up! go further up and reach the German/European Top 10?

The Peugeot 2008 could help Peugeot survive in 2013…

24. Will the Peugeot 2008 and Renault Captur succeed or flop?

25. Will Mercedes, BMW and Audi continue their implacable growth in Europe?

26. Which of Mercedes, BMW or Audi will be the #1 premium brand in the world?

27. Will PSA end up selling its Peugeot 301 and Citroen C-Elysée in Western Europe to avoid grey market imports like Renault had to do with the Dacia Logan?

Mercedes A-Class

28. Will the new Mercedes A-Class beat the BMW 1 Series and Audi A3 in Europe?

29. Will Hyundai reach 10% of the Brazilian market as planned?

30. Will Russia become the #1 car market in Europe, passing Germany?

31. Will the Nissan Qashqai finish the year in pole position in Spain?

Renault said the Lodgy is destined for MPV-thirsty markets like Indonesia. Will it launch there in 2013?

32. Will Renault launch the Lodgy in Indonesia? The Dokker? A no-frills Modus? – just my suggestions :-)

33. Will the 500L, 500X and 500XL get Fiat back on its feet in Europe?

34. Will the new generation Jetta and Santana be more successful than their predecessors in China?

35. Will Renault sell more cars in Brazil than in France?

2013 Dacia Logan

36. Will the 2nd generation Dacia/Renault Sandero-Logan be more successful than the first?

37. Will the Skoda Rapid replace the Octavia in pole position in Czech Republic? Slovakia? Poland? Ukraine? Hungary?

38. Will the all-new Skoda Octavia beat the all-new VW Golf in Switzerland?

39. Will Great Wall place one of its locally-produced models #1 in Bulgaria?

40. Will Chinese manufacturers continue their worldwide expansion and open more plants in new countries?

41. Will Hyundai pass Toyota in Africa? Will it continue to grow as fast in Europe? Worldwide?

42. Will Toyota stay #1 in the world?

43. Will the Volvo V40 rank on the Swedish podium at year-end?

44. Will the new Holden Commodore stabilise the nameplate’s sales in Australia?

45. Will Mazda sell more cars in Australia than in Japan?

Honda N-One

46. Will Honda sell the N-One in Europe?

47. Will the Maserati Kubang finally go on sale? Please?

48. Will Kia place one model in the worldwide Top 10?

49. Will the Hyundai Santa Fe break into the monthly US Top 20? Top 10?

50. Which from the US or China will gain more ground?

And these were my 50 questions for 2013.

What are yours?

Let’s reconvene on January 1, 2014 for all the answers…

Matt Gasnier, based in Sydney, Australia, runs a blog named Best Selling Cars, dedicated to counting cars all over the world.

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6 Comments on “Best Selling Cars Around The Globe: My 50 Questions For 2013...”


  • avatar
    MrWhopee

    As for question 32: Unlikely, since Renault no longer exist in Indonesia. It’s ‘partner’, Nissan, has already bracketed the MPV market with Grand livina on the small side, Evalia on the medium side, and Serena on the mid-luxury side, and Elgrand at the top of the range. I doubt it needs another rebranded Renault MPV to fill the market. Though if Renault wants to come back to the country somehow, the Lodgy might be a good product to establish the beachhead, but it will face an uphill battle to say the least. I don’t think Renault has any assembly plant on any country that has trade agreement with Indonesia, thus it will be hit with big taxes if imported, say, from France or Algeria or something.

    The Renault Grand Espace might be a better bet, competing in the ‘luxury minivan’ category, with prices starting at $70,000 and went up to over $100,000. Much easier to hide high taxes and shipping cost in there. But persuading rich folks that Renault makes a desirable luxury MPV is difficult at best, as the richer you are, the more conservative you tend to be.

  • avatar

    1. YES
    2. YES
    3. Ford Focus
    4. Perhaps Hyundai or Toyota.
    5. YES
    6. YES
    7. Yes
    8. MERCEDES
    9. Russia no – India Yes.
    10. NO
    11. ALTIMA
    12. YES
    13. NO
    14. NO
    15. Renault
    16. NO
    17. YES
    18. STAGNATE
    19. YES
    20. YES
    21. YES
    22. BMW, Mercedes, Ford, Chrysler, GM, VW, Fiat, Honda, Toyota, Nissan, Hyundai
    23. YES
    24. Mild Success
    25. YES
    26. MERCEDES
    28. YES
    29. YES.
    30. In soviet Russia, car passes you
    31. NO
    32. Maybe in 2014
    33. YES
    34. YES
    35. NO
    36 – 39. YES
    40. OF COURSE – what’s to stop them?
    41. NO
    42. YES
    43. NO
    44. NO – SRT is about to takeover.
    45. YES
    46. Probably in 2014
    47. Probably in 2014
    48. NO
    49. YES
    50. Chrysler

  • avatar

    Hi Matt! Great exercise. Let me answer as best I can in regards to your questions into my neck of the woods:

    2. Will the Hyundai HB20 or Chevrolet Onix threaten the VW Gol’s supremacy in Brazil?
    Chevy Onix possibly, but not this year. HB20, no. Why? Chevy has the network capilarity to get it into any house in any nook and cranny of Brazil. Hyundai doesn’t. Over the holiday season I talked to lots and lots of folks. Already started feeling the inevitable backlash against HB20 (due to pricing, non-availability). Chevy on the other hand seems to be riding a wave of support. The general feeling is: great, Chevy’s back!

    29. Will Hyundai reach 10% of the Brazilian market as planned?
    In 2013? No way. Not enough capacity, not enough dealers. The more you see them on the street the more common they become. They will lose some of their luster. Also, more cars means more customers at dealers meaning the aftersales service (which is already not the best will suffer) which is very important in Brazil will face an uphill battle.
    2015 seems like a possibility but for that to happen, VW, Fiat and GM will have to lse a lot of market. I do see the Brazilian market becoming more fractured (maybe a European like scenario with many players with single digits and not 3 with 2 digits like today).
    My review for 2013 is that Renault will quite possibly pass Ford, Hyundai will pass Nissan, Honda and Toyota. In 2014 however, Nissan’s factory starts producing in Brazil. They dispute much the same buyer as Hyundai. The March and Versa will become very strong again, making it difficult for Hyndai to stay ahead of Nissan in 2014.

    35. Will Renault sell more cars in Brazil than in France?
    Quite possibly but there is a big but. As we speak, Renault has closed production for 2 months at their plant in Brazil. They’re basically buiding another plant inside the existing one. They will increase capacity to 300 000 (IIRC). If they sell all they produce like now, they will pass the number in Brazil that they get in France. But thanks to this 2 month problem, I expect it to happen next year.

    36. Will the 2nd generation Dacia/Renault Sandero-Logan be more successful than the first?
    In Brazil yes, especially Logan. Sandero sells well. Price is key (don’t get too greedy Renault).

  • avatar
    Slab

    26. Which of Mercedes, BMW or Audi will be the #1 premium brand in the world?

    All three are chasing volume now. How much longer will they be considered “premium” brands?

    • 0 avatar
      th009

      As long as people are willing to pay a premium price for those cars.

      And for this reason I much prefer the term “premium” to “luxury” or “near-luxury” or “entry-luxury” or …

  • avatar
    Greg Locock

    “44. Will the new Holden Commodore stabilise the nameplate’s sales in Australia?”

    No. Firstly, and less importantly, it isn’t really new.

    Far more important is the general trend of sales of D/E segment sedans against time, it is an unstoppable downward trend, with a lot further to go yet. The same trend has already been seen and gone to its conclusion in the USA.

    Thirdly, the competition from overseas will continue to take advantage of Australia’s ludicrous exchange rate (as they should). If Charlie Chucklehead wants to pay a 20% premium for his car that is his right, but at some point he’s going to be thinking he’s been taken for a ride.

    There is a fourth reason but I don’t want to make the fanbois here cry.


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