Japan In September 2012: Coming Back To Earth

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

September was the month when the torrid growth of Japanese car sales came to an end. Sales of all cars were down 3.4 percent in Japan. The market is down for two reasons, mathematical and governmental.

The mathematical reason for the arrested growth lies in the fact that in September 2011, Japanese car sales, severely depressed as a result of the March 11 tsunami, showed first signs of recovery. The governmental reason weighs heavier on September sales: The incentive program came to a halt in September.

Regular vehicle sales Japan September 2012ManufacturerSept ’12Sept ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYDaihatsu241333-27.6%2,3032,1377.8%Hino4,7044,5144.2%32,04124,93028.5%Honda26,18843,422-39.7%365,463278,45531.2%Isuzu6,9154,58350.9%46,22330,68050.7%Lexus3,7925,770-34.3%34,40032,0207.4%Mazda15,53117,409-10.8%136,678112,90021.1%Mitsubishi8,0346,47924.0%46,28142,8927.9%Mitsubishi Fuso2,9883,109-3.9%26,56918,35844.7%Nissan51,31253,427-4.0%406,013338,71019.9%Subaru11,8519,07430.6%76,72156,33336.2%Suzuki7,4717,3691.4%73,03758,90224.0%Toyota121,937131,072-7.0%1,274,983813,59256.7%UD Trucks8561,024-16.4%6,8865,78319.1%Other26,65826,2051.7%178,729151,25918.2%Total288,478313,790-8.1%2,706,3271,966,95137.6%Data courtesy Japan Automobile Dealers Association

Sales of registered cars were down 8.1 percent, says the Japan Automobile Dealers Association.

Mini vehicle sales Japan September 2012ManufacturerSept ’12Sept ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYSuzuki50,51046,0859.6%462,806353,73130.8%Daihatsu51,55152,092-1.0%541,425393,31837.7%Mitsubishi6,0049,842-39.0%65,16972,965-10.7%Subaru4,6618,449-44.8%60,92560,4740.7%Honda27,17312,091124.7%240,90396,030150.9%Mazda4,7124,950-4.8%41,53634,78419.4%Nissan10,19114,675-30.6%123,792105,83817.0%Toyota3,3992161473.6%35,02321616114.4%Other71600.0%372927.6%Total158,208148,4016.6%1,571,6161,117,38540.7%Data courtesy Japan Mini Vehicles Association

Separately reported sales of mini vehicles defied gravity and were up 6.6 percent according to data supplied by the Japan Mini Vehicles Association.

Total vehicle sales Japan September 2012ManufacturerSept ’12Sept ’11YoYYTD ’12YTD ’11YoYDaihatsu51,79252,425-1.2%543,728395,45537.5%Hino4,7044,5144.2%32,04124,93028.5%Honda53,36155,513-3.9%606,366374,48561.9%Isuzu6,9154,58350.9%46,22330,68050.7%Lexus3,7925,770-34.3%34,40032,0207.4%Mazda20,24322,359-9.5%178,214147,68420.7%Mitsubishi14,03816,321-14.0%111,450115,857-3.8%Mitsubishi Fuso2,9883,109-3.9%26,56918,35844.7%Nissan61,50368,102-9.7%529,805444,54819.2%Subaru16,51217,523-5.8%137,646116,80717.8%Suzuki57,98153,4548.5%535,843412,63329.9%Toyota125,336131,288-4.5%1,310,006813,80861.0%UD Trucks8561,024-16.4%6,8865,78319.1%Other26,66526,2061.8%178,766151,28818.2%Total446,686462,191-3.4%4,277,9433,084,33638.7%

On a consolidated basis, sales dropped percent to 446,686units in September. January through September, the Japanese market (all vehicles) is up 38.7 percent to 4.3 million units, up from 3.1 million units in an earthquake-stricken 2011.

Market Share Japan September 2012ManufacturerSept ’12Sept ’11YTD ’12YTD ’11Daihatsu11.6%11.3%12.7%12.8%Hino1.1%1.0%0.7%0.8%Honda11.9%12.0%14.2%12.1%Isuzu1.5%1.0%1.1%1.0%Lexus0.8%1.2%0.8%1.0%Mazda4.5%4.8%4.2%4.8%Mitsubishi3.1%3.5%2.6%3.8%Mitsubishi Fuso0.7%0.7%0.6%0.6%Nissan13.8%14.7%12.4%14.4%Subaru3.7%3.8%3.2%3.8%Suzuki13.0%11.6%12.5%13.4%Toyota28.1%28.4%30.6%26.4%UD Trucks0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%Other6.0%5.7%4.2%4.9%Total100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

In terms of market share, Toyota-branded vehicles gained an impressive 4.2 percent, followed by Honda with a 2 percent gain. Nissan lost 2 percent.

Japan Big Three September 2012GroupToyota Motor CoNissanHondaUnits Sept ’12181,83261,50353,361Units Sept ’11188,22768,10255,513Units YoY-3.4%-9.7%-3.9%MS Sept ’1240.7%13.8%11.9%MS Sept ’1140.7%14.7%12.0%Units YTD ’121,885,775529,805606,366Units YTD ’111,234,193444,548374,485MS YTD ’1244.1%12.4%14.2%MS YTD ’1140.0%14.4%12.1%YoY YTD52.8%19.2%61.9%

Looking at the Big Three, Toyota and Honda exceed the market, Nissan is falling behind.

All in all, it will be interesting to see what October and November will bring. Japan is a make-to-order market, and purchases do not immediately translate into registrations.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • ToolGuy First picture: I realize that opinions vary on the height of modern trucks, but that entry door on the building is 80 inches tall and hits just below the headlights. Does anyone really believe this is reasonable?Second picture: I do not believe that is a good parking spot to be able to access the bed storage. More specifically, how do you plan to unload topsoil with the truck parked like that? Maybe you kids are taller than me.
  • ToolGuy The other day I attempted to check the engine oil in one of my old embarrassing vehicles and I guess the red shop towel I used wasn't genuine Snap-on (lots of counterfeits floating around) plus my driveway isn't completely level and long story short, the engine seized 3 minutes later.No more used cars for me, and nothing but dealer service from here on in (the journalists were right).
  • Doughboy Wow, Merc knocks it out of the park with their naming convention… again. /s
  • Doughboy I’ve seen car bras before, but never car beards. ZZ Top would be proud.
  • Bkojote Allright, actual person who knows trucks here, the article gets it a bit wrong.First off, the Maverick is not at all comparable to a Tacoma just because they're both Hybrids. Or lemme be blunt, the butch-est non-hybrid Maverick Tremor is suitable for 2/10 difficulty trails, a Trailhunter is for about 5/10 or maybe 6/10, just about the upper end of any stock vehicle you're buying from the factory. Aside from a Sasquatch Bronco or Rubicon Jeep Wrangler you're looking at something you're towing back if you want more capability (or perhaps something you /wish/ you were towing back.)Now, where the real world difference should play out is on the trail, where a lot of low speed crawling usually saps efficiency, especially when loaded to the gills. Real world MPG from a 4Runner is about 12-13mpg, So if this loaded-with-overlander-catalog Trailhunter is still pulling in the 20's - or even 18-19, that's a massive improvement.
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