GM IPO: $10b Of Common Stock, $3b Of Preferred Stock

Edward Niedermeyer
by Edward Niedermeyer

Reuters has followed up its look inside the Government’s involvement in GM with a breaking report on the specifics of The General’s IPO. According to Reuters sources, the IPO will include 365 million common shares for $26 to $29 each, for a total of between $9.5b and $10b. The Treasury is expected to sell between $1.5b and $2b of its 61 percent stake in GM, likely to “four or five sovereign wealth funds,” bringing its stake down to 43.3 percent. The Canadian and Ontario governments are expected to sell down their stake from 11.7 percent to 9.6 percent, while the UAW VEBA trust-owned stake is likely to to drop from 17.5 percent to 15 percent. A Reuters source concludes that

The IPO would likely value the entire company at close to $60 billion, below the $67 billion needed if U.S. taxpayers are to break even on the common stock held by the Treasury

The WSJ adds

At the midpoint of the proposed price range, GM’s stock outstanding, including warrants, would be worth about $50 billion, roughly the same level as Ford Motor Co. The IPO’s underwriters are hoping to sell at the top end of the range, and for the stock to rise 20% or more when trading begins. At that level, GM could be worth $60 billion or more.

According to the Reuters report

GM is expected to begin its IPO roadshow on Wednesday. It is expected to price its IPO on November 17 and begin trading on the New York and Toronto stock exchanges on November 18… GM will have two groups for the roadshow whose stops will include New York, Boston and key financial points in Europe, Asia and the Middle East

That the government is reducing its stake by only a couple of billion dollars comes as no surprise; former CEO Ed Whitacre was said to have left over the government’s unwillingness to completely liquidate its 61 percent stake in the automaker. That the Treasury will sell its stake largely to Sovereign Wealth Funds is a bit surprising, in that such a purchase is likely to carry some form of political backlash along the lines of the Dubai Ports World controversy. We also expected the UAW VEBA fund to drop more of its equity during the IPO.

Perhaps most interesting of all is the implied market cap valuation of between $50 and $60b. Given that Ford is making mad money and closing in on a $49b market cap, it’s hard to imagine The General being worth much more. And then there’s the symbolic value of the $50b valuation: that’s approximately the amount Treasury spent on direct aid to GM. If the market says GM is worth less than the $50b taxpayers put into the company, the auto bailout will certainly be seen in a more jaundiced light. We’ll keep an eye on developments as GM moves towards kicking off its IPO roadshow.

Edward Niedermeyer
Edward Niedermeyer

More by Edward Niedermeyer

Comments
Join the conversation
2 of 8 comments
  • .5MT .5MT on Nov 01, 2010

    Cool, time to get even with the China and Dubai, cut 'em a deal. They'll love it.

  • John Horner John Horner on Nov 01, 2010

    Principle shareholders putting little or none of their stock into an IPO is standard banking practice. The IPO event creates a public market for the stock, but you almost never actually float anything close to the majority of outstanding shares at the initial offering. That is why it is called an initial offering, not the only offering or the final offering.

    Assuming Reuters has it right, about 20% of GM will be offered at the IPO. That is a pretty normal things to do.

  • ToolGuy This might be a good option for my spouse when it becomes available -- thought about reserving one but the $500 deposit is a little too serious. Oh sorry, that was the Volvo EX30, not the Mustang. Is Volvo part of Ford? Is the Mustang an EV? I'm so confused.
  • Mikey My late wife loved Mustangs ..We alway rented one while travelling . GM blood vetoed me purchasing one . 3 years after retirement bought an 08 rag top, followed by a 15 EB Hard top, In 18 i bought a low low mileage 05 GT rag with a stick.. The car had not been properly stored. That led to rodent issues !! Electrical nightmare. Lots of bucks !! The stick wasn't kind to my aging knees.. The 05 went to a long term dedicated Mustang guy. He loves it .. Today my garage tenant is a sweet 19 Camaro RS rag 6yl Auto. I just might take it out of hibernation this weekend. The Mustang will always hold a place in my heart.. Kudos to Ford for keeping it alive . I refuse to refer to the fake one by that storied name .
  • Ajla On the Mach-E, I still don't like it but my understanding is that it helps allow Ford to continue offering a V8 in the Mustang and F-150. Considering Dodge and Ram jumped off a cliff into 6-cylinder land there's probably some credibility to that story.
  • Ajla If I was Ford I would just troll Stellantis at all times.
  • Ronin It's one thing to stay tried and true to loyal past customers; you'll ensure a stream of revenue from your installed base- maybe every several years or so.It's another to attract net-new customers, who are dazzled by so many other attractive offerings that have more cargo capacity than that high-floored 4-Runner bed, and are not so scrunched in scrunchy front seats.Like with the FJ Cruiser: don't bother to update it, thereby saving money while explaining customers like it that way, all the way into oblivion. Not recognizing some customers like to actually have right rear visibility in their SUVs.
Next