Ford Set To Post All-Time Record Q3 Profit; Fiestas Selling For More Than Civics And Corollas

Paul Niedermeyer
by Paul Niedermeyer

If you regret not buying Ford stock when it was $1, you might want to reconsider even at the current $14. Bloomberg reports that Ford may well report a record third quarter profit of some $1.37 billion, based on the projections of five analysts. Considering that the market is still depressed, some analysts see plenty of potential left on the upside, projecting a possible $20 share price within the next 12 months. The keys to Ford’s success? Here’s just one: the new Fiesta is fetching $3,000 to $4,000 above its $14k base price, because buyers are happily taking them loaded with options. The result is that average transaction prices for the Fiesta are higher than Honda Civics and Toyota Corollas. And the Fiesta is a class smaller. The small cars-can’t-be-sold-profitably-by-Detroit curse has finally been exploded.

Ford also increased market share in the Q3, 15.% from 13% two years earlier. But the critical factor is that market share gains aren’t being bought by heavy discounting or low prices. Ford’s “New Whiz Kids” have proven themselves, and then some, by steadily maximizing transaction prices through careful adjustment of features and maintaining discipline.

It (Ford) also boosted revenue per-model by cutting discounts by 23 percent since 2008, according to Autodata, a researcher based in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. Buyers paid an average of $30,636 (emphasis added) per model in September, up 10 percent from five years ago, Edmunds.com, a Santa Monica, California-based auto-pricing website, estimates.

“Ford was among the first to recognize that making money is more important than moving the metal,” Johnson said. “There’s now a general level of pricing discipline across Detroit, which is leading to higher average transaction prices.”

The combination of higher than market-average transaction prices, cost cutting during the recent downturn, and a successful product mix has propelled Ford’s surging profitability. Ford is also gaining market share in key import-heavy geographic area, such as the West Coast (10.8%) and Northeast (10.4%). And Ford is gaining with younger buyers, with a 12% share of the 18-24 year-old market.

Ford’s previous Q3 record profit was in 1997, at the height of the Explorer and Expedition-driven SUV boom.

Paul Niedermeyer
Paul Niedermeyer

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  • Chicago Dude Chicago Dude on Oct 26, 2010

    Maybe TTAC will have another article later today, but if not, Ford announced some other things this morning that are newsworthy. During Q3, they paid off an additional $2 billion in debt and are scheduled to make a $3.6 billion payment to the UAW retiree trust on Friday. With that payment, Ford will have completely paid off their UAW retiree debts (on which they were paying 9% interest). This is one more step towards being a viable company in the long term. Ford also states that they anticipate ending this year with the same amount of cash as debt. This is a full year earlier than their original plan. All in all, this makes me happy for my F stock. Hope they can keep it going and start paying a dividend soon.

  • Mor2bz Mor2bz on Oct 26, 2010
    People demand economy and will pay any price to get it.
  • BrandX "I can charge using the 240V outlets, sure, but it’s slow."No it's not. That's what all home chargers use - 240V.
  • Jalop1991 does the odometer represent itself in an analog fashion? Will the numbers roll slowly and stop wherever, or do they just blink to the next number like any old boring modern car?
  • MaintenanceCosts E34 535i may be, for my money, the most desirable BMW ever built. (It's either it or the E34 M5.) Skeptical of these mods but they might be worth undoing.
  • Arthur Dailey What a load of cow patties from fat cat politicians, swilling at the trough of their rich backers. Business is all for `free markets` when it benefits them. But are very quick to hold their hands out for government tax credits, tax breaks or government contracts. And business executives are unwilling to limit their power over their workers. Business executives are trained to `divide and conquer` by pitting workers against each other for raises or promotions. As for the fat cat politicians what about legislating a living wage, so workers don't have to worry about holding down multiple jobs or begging for raises? And what about actually criminally charging those who hire people who are not legally illegible to work? Remember that it is business interests who regularly lobby for greater immigration. If you are a good and fair employer, your workers will never feel the need to speak to a union. And if you are not a good employer, then hopefully 'you get the union that you deserve'.
  • 28-Cars-Later Finally, something possibly maybe worth buying.
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