China's Dongfeng On The Prowl For Western Beauties

Bertel Schmitt
by Bertel Schmitt

Western auto makers in distress are in the cross-hairs of Chinese auto makers that are riding one of the largest car booms in history. When Geely closed its deal with Ford over Volvo, we wrote: “Government owned companies like FAW, SAIC, Dongfeng, or BAIC will watch closely how privately owned Geely will digest the Volvo purchase. If successful, western car companies will be on their shopping list again.” They already are.

According to Reuters, China’s Dongfeng “ said it sees opportunities for mergers and acquisitions in the global auto sector still reeling from the fallout of the global downturn.”

Dongfeng “will closely monitor opportunities for overseas acquisitions,” Chairman Xu Ping told reporters in a news conference today.

He added that a rising Yuan, which many believe will take place in the next few months, would further strengthen Dongfeng’s position in making any acquisitions.

Succumbing to pressure from (or making a deal with) the U.S., China is expected to let its currency float, at least a bit more than now. That will make American union leaders happy. They think jobs will come back stateside in droves. They most likely will be disappointed. A stronger Chinese currency makes foreign sourced products – or companies – cheaper for China. China can go up the value chain. Instead of competing with the U.S. with cheap stuff, there will be competition for more expensive stuff. For instance for cars.

As China visionary Jack Perkowski notes in his blog Managing The Dragon,

“Japan’s exports to the United States continued to increase in the mid-1980s, even after the country allowed the yen to appreciate significantly against the dollar. Similarly, China’s exports to the United States increased by 40 percent from July, 2005 to July, 2008, a three year period which saw the Yuan appreciate by 21 percent.”

A stronger Yuan will add to the inflationary pressure on America while the U.S. printing press is already in overdrive.

Be it as it may, Chinese car makers will translate their cash and possibly a higher Yuan into buying foreign expertise. State-owned Dongfeng, the Chinese joint venture partner of Nissan, Honda, and PSA is sitting on $2.55b in cash. If they need more, the government will provide it.

According to Reuters, “Chinese auto makers are eager to buy technologies and brands from overseas to enhance their competitiveness in the U.S. and European markets.”

Ever since I have been writing for TTAC, China’s #3 Dongfeng has been seen as a player. In November 2008, China’s 21st Century Business Herald said that Dongfeng was interested in buying GM and/or Chrysler. If they only would have. At that time, both companies still had some value, and the U.S. tax payer would have been spared the bail-out cost.

Instead, the U.S. has embarked on silly trade wars about tires and gift wrapping ribbons that have not brought a single job back to the U.S. By insisting on a higher Yuan, the U.S. lowers the price on foreign know-how and assets, and hastens the speed by which the U.S. auto industry will be wiped out by the Chinese.

But explain that to the knuckleheads at the UAW. They only learn one way: The hard way.

Bertel Schmitt
Bertel Schmitt

Bertel Schmitt comes back to journalism after taking a 35 year break in advertising and marketing. He ran and owned advertising agencies in Duesseldorf, Germany, and New York City. Volkswagen A.G. was Bertel's most important corporate account. Schmitt's advertising and marketing career touched many corners of the industry with a special focus on automotive products and services. Since 2004, he lives in Japan and China with his wife <a href="http://www.tomokoandbertel.com"> Tomoko </a>. Bertel Schmitt is a founding board member of the <a href="http://www.offshoresuperseries.com"> Offshore Super Series </a>, an American offshore powerboat racing organization. He is co-owner of the racing team Typhoon.

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  • Wsn Wsn on Apr 14, 2010

    Why does everyone think that the fixed exchange rate is to hold the value of RMB down? I lived in China for 17 years and witnessed the RMB going from $0.5 down to about $0.1. I can tell you, the fixed exchange rate was there to hold the value UP, not DOWN. Just look at the USA, if the government wants to de-value the currency, they don't need to fix anything. Just print more paper money. Only governments that face an ever-declining currency would post an official fixed exchange rate and disallow any free exchange. Look at Soviet Union and very recently, Argentina. My prediction is: if RMB is allowed to float, it will go up against the USD in the first year (due to propaganda) and then it will be flushed down into the toilet, not unlike the Soviet Ruble.

    • L'avventura L'avventura on Apr 14, 2010

      The RMB has been pegged to the dollar since July 2008. The US dollar has also been depreciating in value, hence the RMB also depreciates. This forces other countries to also devalue, readjust, their currency. Let's also keep in mind that the RMB is kept low by shouldering more US debt (treasury bonds). Also, the RMB isn't going to be allowed to float, rather China will be 'easing' its policy so it can appreciate a bit more. Let's keep in mind, allowing the RMB to freely float will actually hurt the US. It means massive rise in consumer prices, being that everything is built in China. This means an equivalent boost in inflation, a danger being that we are already in a period of extravagant QE. This will create a very large implication for the US bond market, and manufacturing jobs will most certainly not be returning to the US.

  • Wsn Wsn on Apr 14, 2010

    Add to my previous post: If the Americans really think that the RMB is undervalued, they can invest in RMB. Like, accept RMB as payment for American exports to China. But really, they won't, because they only say it, they don't mean it.

  • ToolGuy First picture: I realize that opinions vary on the height of modern trucks, but that entry door on the building is 80 inches tall and hits just below the headlights. Does anyone really believe this is reasonable?Second picture: I do not believe that is a good parking spot to be able to access the bed storage. More specifically, how do you plan to unload topsoil with the truck parked like that? Maybe you kids are taller than me.
  • ToolGuy The other day I attempted to check the engine oil in one of my old embarrassing vehicles and I guess the red shop towel I used wasn't genuine Snap-on (lots of counterfeits floating around) plus my driveway isn't completely level and long story short, the engine seized 3 minutes later.No more used cars for me, and nothing but dealer service from here on in (the journalists were right).
  • Doughboy Wow, Merc knocks it out of the park with their naming convention… again. /s
  • Doughboy I’ve seen car bras before, but never car beards. ZZ Top would be proud.
  • Bkojote Allright, actual person who knows trucks here, the article gets it a bit wrong.First off, the Maverick is not at all comparable to a Tacoma just because they're both Hybrids. Or lemme be blunt, the butch-est non-hybrid Maverick Tremor is suitable for 2/10 difficulty trails, a Trailhunter is for about 5/10 or maybe 6/10, just about the upper end of any stock vehicle you're buying from the factory. Aside from a Sasquatch Bronco or Rubicon Jeep Wrangler you're looking at something you're towing back if you want more capability (or perhaps something you /wish/ you were towing back.)Now, where the real world difference should play out is on the trail, where a lot of low speed crawling usually saps efficiency, especially when loaded to the gills. Real world MPG from a 4Runner is about 12-13mpg, So if this loaded-with-overlander-catalog Trailhunter is still pulling in the 20's - or even 18-19, that's a massive improvement.
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