Hammer Time: Look Out! Here Comes a Spider Pig…

Steven Lang
by Steven Lang

This year is going to be a devastatingly bad one for car valuations. If you’re a keeper, this is great news. New and near-new cars are going to continue with their proverbial freefall. You will more than likely be able to get a good vehicle with 80 percent of its useful life for 40 percent of the price (two to four year old vehicle). The frugalists amongst the keeper crowd will likely do even better than that. A well-engineered seven- to nine-year-old vehicle may truly be the best sweet spot in the market right now. With some diligence, you can find a conservatively driven car with 50 percent of its life (90k to 120k miles) for a mere 20 percent of its new car price. But what will be the absolute best deals? Read on . . .

The unloved leftover rules! I always encourage folks to buy a car during its last year of the model run or get the unpopular but well-made car that’s going to be discontinued. Either one will be a strong overall value. Some like to say that brands that are on the ropes and periphery (e.g., Saturn, Suzuki, Hummer, Mitsubishi) deserve special consideration. I disagree. At least for the enthusiast, the quality of the design and culture of the company that made the car will be there long after the brand is defunct. “Cheap” is expensive and sometimes discounts are there for a good reason . . . but sometimes you can have them for the taking.

So what’s on my “best” list for new cars? Glad you didn’t ask. But, OK. Here are a few:

  • Entry Level: Nissan Versa; Mitsubishi Lancer
  • Compact Funster: Suzuki SX4
  • Midsize Family Car: Kia Optima (4-cylinder); Saturn Aura; Ford Fusion; Chevy Malibu
  • Full-Size Novocaine: Ford Taurus / Mercury Sable; leftover Azeras.
  • Sub-$30K Convertibles: Chrysler Sebring Convertible (sorry, that’s $13K); Mazda MX-5
  • Conventional Sports Sedan and/or Coupe: Nissan Altima
  • Schizoid Sports Sedan: Lexus IS-F
  • Minivan Mommies: Hyundai Entourage
  • Breadbox Design Inc.: Honda Element; Ford Flex
  • Truck: Perhaps a Dodge Ram 30 days from now. Otherwise a Toyota Tacoma.

Which car would I be willing to keep for the next 15 years?

2007 Volvo V70R

Steven Lang
Steven Lang

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  • Davey49 Davey49 on Apr 18, 2009

    I love how people actually believe that "Certified" actually means something. "Certified" by who? It's not like there's some kind of agency going around to dealers saying, "This one's good, sell it!" The 2007 Element has an average mark in CR for brakes, usually reliable cars will have better or much better than average. The Element has had problems with the windshields cracking. Rastus- most have gone to chains. There was a time when belts were preferred for less noise, more compact packaging and simpler oiling (no oil bath required for the chain) The development of quieter single row chains has helped with the noise and packaging issues. The Taurus/Sable has a ton more room than the Crown Vic/G.Marquis.

  • Tedward Tedward on Apr 20, 2009

    davey49 The Element that I have to deal with has gone through 3 sets of pads and rotors in the past 6 months...and about half that cost has been eaten by the Honda dealer. They've admitted that they have other customers with the same problem, which was confirmed by a local mail-woman who had to get rid of hers for the same reason. Apparently any exposure to dust or dirt pretty much guarantees shot rotors (this is Honda's explanation) and they recommend that a) the car never be driven on dirt roads, and b) the car be brought in no less than every 10k miles to have the brakes checked. Obviously both of these solutions are unnacceptable. The Element is never hooned or driven aggresively and otherwise it's been problem free (with about 56k miles on it right now). Honda has not made any changes to the car, and as far as the owner has heard, has no plans to do so, even though the dealer service dept. admits there's a design problem.

  • Theflyersfan I know given the body style they'll sell dozens, but for those of us who grew up wanting a nice Prelude Si with 4WS but our student budgets said no way, it'd be interesting to see if Honda can persuade GenX-ers to open their wallets for one. Civic Type-R powertrain in a coupe body style? Mild hybrid if they have to? The holy grail will still be if Honda gives the ultimate middle finger towards all things EV and hybrid, hides a few engineers in the basement away from spy cameras and leaks, comes up with a limited run of 9,000 rpm engines and gives us the last gasp of the S2000 once again. A send off to remind us of when once they screamed before everything sounds like a whirring appliance.
  • Jeff Nice concept car. One can only dream.
  • Funky D The problem is not exclusively the cost of the vehicle. The problem is that there are too few use cases for BEVs that couldn't be done by a plug-in hybrid, with the latter having the ability to do long-range trips without requiring lengthy recharging and being better able to function in really cold climates.In our particular case, a plug-in hybrid would run in all electric mode for the vast majority of the miles we would drive on a regular basis. It would also charge faster and the battery replacement should be less expensive than its BEV counterpart.So the answer for me is a polite, but firm NO.
  • 3SpeedAutomatic 2012 Ford Escape V6 FWD at 147k miles:Just went thru a heavy maintenance cycle: full brake job with rotors and drums, replace top & bottom radiator hoses, radiator flush, transmission flush, replace valve cover gaskets (still leaks oil, but not as bad as before), & fan belt. Also, #4 fuel injector locked up. About $4.5k spread over 19 months. Sole means of transportation, so don't mind spending the money for reliability. Was going to replace prior to the above maintenance cycle, but COVID screwed up the market ( $4k markup over sticker including $400 for nitrogen in the tires), so bit the bullet. Now serious about replacing, but waiting for used and/or new car prices to fall a bit more. Have my eye on a particular SUV. Last I checked, had a $2.5k discount with great interest rate (better than my CU) for financing. Will keep on driving Escape as long as A/C works. 🚗🚗🚗
  • Rna65689660 For such a flat surface, why not get smoke tint, Rtint or Rvynil. Starts at $8. I used to use a company called Lamin-x, but I think they are gone. Has held up great.
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